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Geno Smith Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ New York Jets

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs BUF · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

14.114.114.1ptsptspts
STREAMING OPTION

QB15QB15QB15 this weekQB23 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ KC, L 12–35

7.4 pts7.4 pts7.4 pts · 18 of 32 passing, 165 yds, 8 rush yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs BUF ·

No injury report yet

Streaming option

Geno Smith is streamer territory this week. The projection is 31 pass attempts, 231 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 1 interception and 9 rushing yards. Smith lives off touchdowns, and that makes the floor low. He's heading the wrong way, from 23 to 7 points over three games. There is no shift to report: Smith had 32 pass attempts last week, 32 before. A bench add for now, not a starter.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

14.114.114.1

pts · QB15QB15QB15 this week

Season average

14.514.514.5

pts per game · 9 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

230.8

Passing TDs

1.4

Rushing yards

9.3

Matchup · defense

16.1pts allowed to QBsTough · 11th fewest
Show likely range

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

About a 1-in-4 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-7 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

130.5130.5130.5

QB16 · 9 games

Per game

14.514.514.5

QB23QB23QB23

Passing TDs

12

QB15 of 69

Passing yards

2078

QB10 of 69

Rushing yards

54

QB29 of 69

Interceptions

3

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

15.6'24 avg11.6'25 avg9.3W115.6W226W38.8W410W512W623.5W718W87.4W914.1W10QB1QB2
15.6'24 avg11.6'25 avg9.3W115.6W226W38.8W410W512W623.5W718W87.4W914.1W10QB1QB2
15.6'24 avg11.6'25 avg9.3W115.6W226W38.8W410W512W623.5W718W87.4W914.1W10QB1QB2
254.1'24 avg201.7'25 avg215W1247W2321W3119W4182W5252W6287W7290W8165W9230.8W10QB1QB2
23.9'24 avg20.1'25 avg19W127W231W38W417W520W623W720W818W921.2W10QB1QB2
1.2'24 avg1.3'25 avg0W11W23W31W41W51W63W72W80W91.4W10QB1QB2
0.9'24 avg1.1'25 avg0W10W20W30W40W51W61W71W80W90.8W10QB1QB2
16'24 avg7.3'25 avg7W117W212W30W47W5-1W60W74W88W99.3W10QB1QB2
100%W1100%W2100%W3100%W4100%W5100%W6100%W7100%W8100%W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Geno Smith has thrown for 2078 yards and 12 touchdowns in 9 games, averaging 14 fantasy points per game (QB23). For Week 10 vs the Buffalo Bills, Smith projects for 14 PPR points (QB15).

2026 so farSmithAvg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game14.520.4−29%
Pass yards / game231260−11%
Pass TD / game1.31.9−31%
Rush yards / game617−64%
Snap share100%98%+2%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 18th

16.8 PPR allowed to QBs / game · BUF, LAC, MIA

Rest of season

Middle · 20th

16.3 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 23rd

15.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10vs BUF16.1Tough · 22nd
W11@ LAC16.2Middle · 21st
W12@ MIA18.2Easy · 10th
W14vs DEN16.9Middle · 19th
W15@ ARI20.9Easy · 2nd
W16vs NE17.4Middle · 16th
W17vs MIN8.4Tough · 32nd
W18@ BUF16.1Tough · 22nd

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game230.9 · 17th of 54
Pass attempts / game30.1 · 22nd of 46
Completion %68% · 10th of 46
Passing TDs12 · 15th of 46
Yards / attempt7.7 · 15th of 46
Interceptions3 · 15th of 46
Sacks taken28 · 44th of 46
Rush yards / game6.0 · 37th of 54
PPR points / game14.5 · 23rd of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%100%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1@ TENW 23–109.39.39.3———192421500670100%
W2vs GBL 17–2015.615.615.6———2741247105170100%
W3@ DETL 24–3126.026.026.0———3137321302120100%
W4@ CHIL 12–238.88.88.814.414.414.481511910000100%
W5vs CLEW 17–1210.010.010.012.812.812.8173018210570100%
W6@ NEL 19–2612.012.012.012.612.612.62030252112-10100%
W7vs MIAL 25–2823.523.523.513.312.712.7233028731200100%
W8vs LVL 33–3818.018.018.013.713.613.6203229021140100%
W9@ KCL 12–357.47.47.413.913.213.2183216500180100%

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2016NYJ27.97.97.9QB554.04.04.081412611090
2017NYG29.79.79.7QB534.84.84.82136212100120
2018LAC5-1.5-1.5-1.5QB73-0.3-0.3-0.3QB5214800020
2020SEA11.11.11.1QB761.11.11.14533002-20
2021SEA454.354.354.3QB4113.613.613.6QB276595702513421
2022SEA17303.9303.9303.9QB517.917.917.9QB939957242823011233661
2023SEA15227.3226.8226.3QB1915.215.115.1QB23323499362420981551
2024SEA17266.0266.0266.0QB1415.615.615.6QB1640757843202115162722
2025LV15173.9173.9173.9QB2411.611.611.6QB3330244830251917171090
2026NYJ9130.5130.5130.5QB1614.514.514.5QB2318327120781235540

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0030565
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report