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Adonai Mitchell Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ New York Jets

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs BUF · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

8.16.85.5pts · range 4.5–13.3 ptspts · range 3.8–11.2 ptspts · range 3.1–9.1 pts
SIT

WR51WR48WR42 this weekWR44 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ KC, L 12–35

0.0 pts0.0 pts0.0 pts · 0 catches on 7 targets, 0 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs BUF ·

No injury report yet

Sit

Not a start in most leagues: we project 6 targets, 3 receptions and 41 receiving yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

8.16.85.5

pts · WR51WR48WR42 this week

range 4.53.83.1–13.311.29.1 pts

Season average

9.78.16.5

pts per game · 5 games

Projected stats

Receptions

2.6

Receiving yards

40.8

Receiving TDs

0.2

Matchup · defense

34.3pts allowed to WRsEasy · 10th most

Trends to know

  • Opportunities up: about 8 a game over the last two games, up from 6.
  • Snap share climbing: 89% last game, 64% before.
  • Points behind the work: about 10 PPR points a game against about 12 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

48.540.532.5

WR71 · 5 games

Per game

9.78.16.5

WR44WR43WR42

Touchdowns

1

WR62 of 223

Targets

34

WR56 of 223

Receptions

16

WR71 of 223

Receiving yards

265

WR63 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 11 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 4 or fewer pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4

There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 13 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

3.2'24 avg5.5'25 avg9W112.3W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W727.2W80W98.1W10WR1WR2WR3
2.5'24 avg4.5'25 avg7.5W19.3W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W723.7W80W96.8W10WR1WR2WR3
1.8'24 avg3.4'25 avg6W16.3W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W720.2W80W95.5W10WR1WR2WR3
3.2'24 avg4.6'25 avg3W112W2—W3—W4—W5—W63W79W87W95.6W10WR1WR2WR3
13%W133%W2—W3—W4—W5—W610%W729%W823%W9WR1WR2WR3
1.4'24 avg2.1'25 avg3W16W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W77W80W92.6W10WR1WR2WR3
18.4'24 avg28.3'25 avg60W163W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W7142W80W940.8W10WR1WR2WR3
0'24 avg0.1'25 avg0W10W2—W3—W4—W5—W60W71W80W9WR1WR2WR3
69%W182%W2—W3—W4—W5—W644%W761%W889%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Adonai Mitchell has 34 targets (WR56) and 265 receiving yards in 5 games, averaging 10 PPR points per game (WR44). Usage is rising: 16 targets over the last two games, up from about 12 per two games before that. For Week 10 vs the Buffalo Bills, Mitchell projects for 8 PPR points (WR51), and about half the time between 4.5 and 13.3.

2026 so farMitchellAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game9.715.4−37%
Targets / game6.87.9−13%
Target share23%24%−6%
Receiving yards / game5371−25%
Yards / target7.89.3−16%
Catch rate47%66%−29%
Touchdowns / game0.200.50−60%
Snap share69%76%−9%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 13th

32.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · BUF, LAC, MIA

Rest of season

Middle · 16th

31.8 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 14th

32.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10vs BUF34.3Easy · 10th
W11@ LAC36.6Easy · 5th
W12@ MIA25.6Tough · 29th
W14vs DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W15@ ARI32.2Middle · 15th
W16vs NE38.4Easy · 3rd
W17vs MIN25.3Tough · 30th
W18@ BUF34.3Easy · 10th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game6.8 · 28th of 201
Target share23% · 23rd of 201
Snap share69% · 52nd of 200
Red-zone targets5.0 · 44th of 201
Yards / target7.8 · 65th of 132
PPR points / game9.7 · 44th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not playDid not playDid not play89%23%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ TENW 23–109.07.56.0———3360013%69%600
W2vs GBL 17–2012.39.36.3———12663033%82%630
W3@ DETL 24–31Did not play—————————
W4@ CHIL 12–23Did not play—————————
W5vs CLEW 17–12Did not play—————————
W6@ NEL 19–26Did not play—————————
W7vs MIAL 25–280.00.00.09.27.35.7300010%44%00
W8vs LVL 33–3827.223.720.26.85.34.297142129%61%1421
W9@ KCL 12–350.00.00.09.47.86.2700023%89%00

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2024IND1753.842.330.8WR1123.22.51.8WR122552331203180
2025IND/NYJ1687.971.454.9WR735.54.53.4WR88743345324492
2026NYJ548.540.532.5WR729.78.16.5WR45341626512651

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0039890
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report