Next Down IQ
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Keon Coleman Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Buffalo Bills

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

8.36.95.4pts · range 3.3–11.9 ptspts · range 2.7–9.8 ptspts · range 2.2–7.8 pts
DESPERATE START

WR49WR45WR44 this weekWR57 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ MIN, W 23–6

4.7 pts3.2 pts1.7 pts · 3 catches on 6 targets, 17 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ NYJ ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start

Leave him out of most lineups. We project 4 targets, 3 receptions and 39 receiving yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

8.36.95.4

pts · WR49WR45WR44 this week

range 3.32.72.2–11.99.87.8 pts

Season average

8.97.56.0

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

2.9

Receiving yards

38.8

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

28.1pts allowed to WRsTough · 8th fewest

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

71.459.948.4

WR44 · 8 games

Per game

8.97.56.0

WR57WR54WR49

Touchdowns

3

WR19 of 223

Targets

33

WR58 of 223

Receptions

23

WR54 of 223

Receiving yards

304

WR46 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 12 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 4 or fewer pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3

There is a 50% chance he scores between 3 and 12 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

8.6'24 avg7.9'25 avg1.1W112.3W24.7W323.6W47.7W515.9W61.4W84.7W98.3W10WR1WR2WR3
7.5'24 avg6.4'25 avg0.6W19.3W24.2W320.6W47.2W513.9W60.9W83.2W96.9W10WR1WR2WR3
6.3'24 avg5'25 avg0.1W16.3W23.7W317.6W46.7W511.9W60.4W81.7W95.4W10WR1WR2WR3
4.4'24 avg4.5'25 avg1W16W22W37W42W56W63W86W94.2W10WR1WR2WR3
4%W121%W28%W323%W411%W520%W69%W821%W9WR1WR2WR3
2.2'24 avg2.9'25 avg1W16W21W36W41W54W61W83W92.9W10WR1WR2WR3
42.8'24 avg31.1'25 avg1W163W237W3116W47W559W64W817W938.8W10WR1WR2WR3
0.3'24 avg0.3'25 avg0W10W20W31W41W51W60W80W9WR1WR2WR3
50%W174%W248%W378%W470%W585%W677%W8—W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Keon Coleman has 33 targets (WR58) and 304 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 9 PPR points per game (WR57). For Week 10 at the New York Jets, Coleman projects for 8 PPR points (WR49), and about half the time between 3.3 and 11.9.

2026 so farColemanAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game8.915.4−42%
Targets / game4.17.9−47%
Target share15%24%−39%
Receiving yards / game3871−46%
Yards / target9.29.3−1%
Catch rate70%66%+6%
Touchdowns / game0.380.50−26%
Snap share69%76%−9%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 32nd

25.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · NYJ, MIA, KC

Rest of season

Tough · 31st

29.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 29th

27.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ NYJ28.1Tough · 25th
W11vs MIA25.6Tough · 29th
W12vs KC23.5Tough · 31st
W13@ NE38.4Easy · 3rd
W14@ GB35.7Easy · 6th
W15vs CHI29.4Tough · 22nd
W16@ DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W17@ MIA25.6Tough · 29th
W18vs NYJ28.1Tough · 25th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game4.1 · 70th of 201
Target share15% · 62nd of 201
Snap share69% · 51st of 200
Red-zone targets5.0 · 44th of 201
Yards / target9.2 · 38th of 132
PPR points / game8.9 · 57th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%77%21%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ HOUW 36–311.10.60.1———11104%50%10
W2vs DETW 41–3112.39.36.3———6663021%74%630
W3vs LACW 24–164.74.23.7———213708%48%370
W4vs NEL 26–2923.620.617.65.54.53.476116123%78%1161
W5@ LAW 37–347.77.26.78.77.15.5217111%70%71
W6@ LVW 33–3015.913.911.96.85.64.46459120%85%591
W8vs BALW 36–101.40.90.49.46.14.831409%77%40
W9@ MINW 23–64.73.21.78.36.04.86317021%—170

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2024BUF13111.597.082.5WR718.67.56.3WR62572955645654
2025BUF13102.483.464.4WR607.96.45.0WR60593840444044
2026BUF871.459.948.4WR448.97.56.0WR57332330433043

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0039901
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report