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Caleb Douglas Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Miami Dolphins

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

10.28.46.6pts · range 5.9–13.3 ptspts · range 4.9–11.0 ptspts · range 3.8–8.6 pts
FLEX / BORDERLINE

WR32WR30WR29 this weekWR30 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs DET, L 9–19

13.0 pts10.0 pts7.0 pts · 6 catches on 8 targets, 70 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ IND ·

No injury report yet

Flex / borderline

Caleb Douglas is a low-end WR3 this week. We project 6 targets, 4 receptions and 50 receiving yards. That's a wide spread over three games: 21, 8 and 13 points. Last week, Douglas had 8 touches, close to the 6 of the game before. Use him as a flex this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

10.28.46.6

pts · WR32WR30WR29 this week

range 5.94.93.8–13.311.08.6 pts

Season average

12.110.28.3

pts per game · 5 games

Projected stats

Receptions

3.6

Receiving yards

49.6

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

29.3pts allowed to WRsTough · 10th fewest

Trends to know

  • Opportunities up: about 7 a game over the last two games, up from 4.
  • Points ahead of the work: about 12 PPR points a game against about 9 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

60.651.141.6

WR56 · 5 games

Per game

12.110.28.3

WR30WR30WR29

Touchdowns

2

WR32 of 223

Targets

27

WR71 of 223

Receptions

19

WR60 of 223

Receiving yards

296

WR48 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 14 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 5 or fewer pts20% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 13 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

14.4W13.9W2—W3—W4—W521W78.3W813W910.2W10WR1WR2WR3
11.9W12.9W2—W3—W4—W520W76.3W810W98.4W10WR1WR2WR3
9.4W11.9W2—W3—W4—W519W74.3W87W96.6W10WR1WR2WR3
7W13W2—W3—W4—W53W76W88W95.5W10WR1WR2WR3
26%W113%W2—W3—W4—W514%W720%W838%W9WR1WR2WR3
5W12W2—W3—W4—W52W74W86W93.6W10WR1WR2WR3
94W119W2—W3—W4—W570W743W870W949.6W10WR1WR2WR3
0W10W2—W3—W4—W52W70W80W9WR1WR2WR3
91%W186%W2—W3—W4—W568%W786%W874%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Caleb Douglas has 27 targets (WR71) and 296 receiving yards in 5 games, averaging 12 PPR points per game (WR30). Usage is rising: 14 targets over the last two games, up from about 9 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Indianapolis Colts, Douglas projects for 10 PPR points (WR32), and about half the time between 5.9 and 13.3.

2026 so farDouglasAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game12.115.4−21%
Targets / game5.47.9−31%
Target share22%24%−9%
Receiving yards / game5971−16%
Yards / target11.09.3+18%
Catch rate70%66%+7%
Touchdowns / game0.400.50−21%
Snap share81%76%+6%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 23rd

30.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · IND, BUF, NYJ

Rest of season

Easy · 8th

32.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 3rd

35.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ IND29.3Tough · 23rd
W11@ BUF34.3Easy · 10th
W12vs NYJ28.1Tough · 25th
W13@ DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W14vs CHI29.4Tough · 22nd
W15@ GB35.7Easy · 6th
W16vs LAC36.6Easy · 5th
W17vs BUF34.3Easy · 10th
W18@ NE38.4Easy · 3rd

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game5.4 · 45th of 201
Target share22% · 27th of 201
Snap share81% · 24th of 200
Red-zone targets2.0 · 93rd of 201
Yards / target11.0 · 15th of 132
PPR points / game12.1 · 30th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not playDid not play74%38%W1W2W3W4W5W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ LVL 13–2714.411.99.4———7594026%91%940
W2@ SFL 13–353.92.91.9———3219013%86%190
W3vs KCL 10–24Did not play—————————
W4@ MINL 10–15Did not play—————————
W5vs CINL 24–31Did not play—————————
W7@ NYJW 28–2521.020.019.09.57.86.13270214%68%702
W8vs NEL 19–248.36.34.38.97.45.96443020%86%430
W9vs DETL 9–1913.010.07.09.67.76.18670038%74%700

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2026MIA560.651.141.6WR5612.110.28.3WR30271929622962

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0041523
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report