Next Down IQ
★

Justin Herbert Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Los Angeles Chargers

Week 10 fantasy outlook

QBLos Angeles Chargers#10

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM

11.911.911.9ptsptspts
SIT

QB23QB23QB23 this weekQB35 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs HOU, L 22–44

10.4 pts10.4 pts10.4 pts · 13 of 23 passing, 193 yds, 1 TD, 7 rush yds

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ BAL ·

No injury report yet

Sit

Not a start in most leagues this week. We project 29 pass attempts, 171 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 1 interception and 19 rushing yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

11.911.911.9

pts · QB23QB23QB23 this week

Season average

10.110.110.1

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

171.0

Passing TDs

1.0

Rushing yards

18.7

Matchup · defense

17.6pts allowed to QBsMiddle · 15th most
Show likely range

Floor · Ceiling

Range not shown for QBs yet — why?

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

Risky floor A dud is more likely than a big game. About a 1-in-7 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-4 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

80.680.680.6

QB27 · 8 games

Per game

10.110.110.1

QB35QB35QB35

Passing TDs

6

QB26 of 69

Passing yards

1591

QB21 of 69

Rushing yards

190

QB7 of 69

Interceptions

11

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

16.8'24 avg17.9'25 avg13.3W17.9W212.7W39.6W410.2W58.8W67.8W810.4W911.9W10QB1QB2
16.8'24 avg17.9'25 avg13.3W17.9W212.7W39.6W410.2W58.8W67.8W810.4W911.9W10QB1QB2
16.8'24 avg17.9'25 avg13.3W17.9W212.7W39.6W410.2W58.8W67.8W810.4W911.9W10QB1QB2
227.6'24 avg232.9'25 avg209W1192W2226W3189W4121W5204W6257W8193W9171W10QB1QB2
19.5'24 avg21.2'25 avg17W115W220W319W414W522W624W813W914.9W10QB1QB2
1.4'24 avg1.6'25 avg1W11W21W31W41W50W60W81W91W10QB1QB2
0.2'24 avg0.8'25 avg1W12W21W32W41W51W62W81W90.5W10QB1QB2
18'24 avg31.1'25 avg29W12W217W340W454W526W615W87W918.7W10QB1QB2
100%W1100%W2100%W3100%W4100%W5100%W6100%W879%W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Justin Herbert has thrown for 1591 yards and 6 touchdowns in 8 games, averaging 10 fantasy points per game (QB35). For Week 10 at the Baltimore Ravens, Herbert projects for 12 PPR points (QB23).

2026 so farHerbertAvg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game10.120.4−51%
Pass yards / game199260−24%
Pass TD / game0.81.9−61%
Rush yards / game2417+42%
Snap share97%98%±0%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 11th

17.5 PPR allowed to QBs / game · BAL, NYJ, NE

Rest of season

Middle · 19th

16.3 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 25th

15.2 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ BAL17.6Middle · 15th
W11vs NYJ17.6Middle · 14th
W12vs NE17.4Middle · 16th
W13@ TB11.7Tough · 30th
W14@ LV20.4Easy · 3rd
W15vs SF14.9Tough · 24th
W16@ MIA18.2Easy · 10th
W17vs KC12.4Tough · 28th
W18@ DEN16.9Middle · 19th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game198.9 · 25th of 54
Pass attempts / game29.4 · 26th of 46
Completion %61% · 33rd of 46
Passing TDs6 · 26th of 46
Yards / attempt6.8 · 25th of 46
Interceptions11 · 45th of 46
Sacks taken31 · 45th of 46
Rush yards / game23.8 · 12th of 54
PPR points / game10.1 · 35th of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%79%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1vs ARIL 14–2613.313.313.3———1727209115290100%
W2vs LVL 14–267.97.97.9———152719212320100%
W3@ BUFL 16–2412.712.712.7———2034226114170100%
W4@ SEAL 23–309.69.69.614.814.814.81931189126400100%
W5vs DENL 17–2310.210.210.28.58.58.51424121116540100%
W6@ KCL 6–228.88.88.815.515.515.52237204015260100%
W8@ LAL 9–247.87.87.812.714.814.82432257024150100%
W9vs HOUL 22–4410.410.410.411.814.514.513231931117079%

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2020LAC15332.8332.8332.8QB922.222.222.2QB839659543363110202345
2021LAC17380.8380.8380.8QB222.422.422.4QB244367250143815143023
2022LAC17281.3280.3279.3QB1116.516.516.4QB1547769947392510151470
2023LAC13234.2233.7233.2QB1718.018.017.9QB122974563134207112283
2024LAC17285.4285.4285.4QB1116.816.816.8QB133325043870233173062
2025LAC16286.9286.9286.9QB1017.917.917.9QB1134051237272613244982
2026LAC880.680.680.6QB2710.110.110.1QB351442351591611111900

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar QB projection this week

The QBs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0036355
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report