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Michael Penix Jr. Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Atlanta Falcons

Week 10 fantasy outlook

QBAtlanta Falcons#9

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs KC · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

12.912.912.9ptsptspts
DESPERATE START

QB22QB22QB22 this weekQB25 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs CIN, L 17–34

13.5 pts13.5 pts13.5 pts · 20 of 31 passing, 162 yds, 1 TD, 50 rush yds

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs KC ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start ▼

Most leagues can leave him on the bench: we project 28 pass attempts, 204 passing yards, 1 passing touchdown, 1 interception and 10 rushing yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

12.912.912.9

pts · QB22QB22QB22 this week

Season average

13.813.813.8

pts per game · 7 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

204.1

Passing TDs

1.2

Rushing yards

10.3

Matchup · defense

12.4pts allowed to QBsTough · 5th fewest
Show likely range

Floor · Ceiling

Range not shown for QBs yet — why?

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

High ceiling More big games in his range than most at his position. About a 1-in-3 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-10 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

96.396.396.3

QB24 · 7 games

Per game

13.813.813.8

QB25QB25QB25

Passing TDs

10

QB18 of 69

Passing yards

1444

QB25 of 69

Rushing yards

65

QB26 of 69

Interceptions

6

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

8.8'24 avg13.4'25 avg—W1—W214W312.7W414.4W523.1W620.4W7-1.9W813.5W912.9W10QB1QB2
8.8'24 avg13.4'25 avg—W1—W214W312.7W414.4W523.1W620.4W7-1.9W813.5W912.9W10QB1QB2
8.8'24 avg13.4'25 avg—W1—W214W312.7W414.4W523.1W620.4W7-1.9W813.5W912.9W10QB1QB2
155'24 avg220.2'25 avg—W1—W2256W3223W4240W5225W6213W7125W8162W9204.1W10QB1QB2
12.2'24 avg18.4'25 avg—W1—W218W315W419W519W625W78W820W917.7W10QB1QB2
0.6'24 avg1'25 avg—W1—W21W31W41W53W63W70W81W91.2W10QB1QB2
0.6'24 avg0.3'25 avg—W1—W21W30W40W50W60W74W81W90.6W10QB1QB2
2.2'24 avg7.8'25 avg—W1—W2-2W3-2W48W51W6-1W711W850W910.3W10QB1QB2
—W1—W2100%W3100%W495%W5100%W6100%W7100%W8100%W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 1444 yards and 10 touchdowns in 7 games, averaging 14 fantasy points per game (QB25). For Week 10 vs the Kansas City Chiefs, Jr. projects for 13 PPR points (QB22).

2026 so farJr.Avg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game13.820.4−33%
Pass yards / game206260−21%
Pass TD / game1.41.9−26%
Rush yards / game917−44%
Snap share99%98%+2%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 29th

14.3 PPR allowed to QBs / game · KC, MIN, DET

Rest of season

Tough · 29th

15.3 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 19th

16.2 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10vs KC12.4Tough · 28th
W12@ MIN8.4Tough · 32nd
W13vs DET22.2Easy · 1st
W14@ CLE14.1Tough · 25th
W15@ WAS18.9Easy · 5th
W16vs TB11.7Tough · 30th
W17vs NO17.9Easy · 11th
W18@ CAR16.7Middle · 20th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game206.3 · 23rd of 54
Pass attempts / game28.4 · 27th of 46
Completion %62% · 32nd of 46
Passing TDs10 · 18th of 46
Yards / attempt7.3 · 18th of 46
Interceptions6 · 32nd of 46
Sacks taken9 · 13th of 46
Rush yards / game9.3 · 33rd of 54
PPR points / game13.8 · 25th of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not play100%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1@ PITL 13–20Did not play——————————
W2vs CARL 3–34Did not play——————————
W3@ GBW 35–1414.014.014.0———1825256112-20100%
W4@ NOW 45–2412.712.712.713.413.413.41520223102-20100%
W5vs BALL 23–3014.414.414.413.313.313.319322401028095%
W6vs CHIL 23–3123.123.123.113.413.413.4193322530110100%
W7vs SFW 29–2020.420.420.414.413.313.32534213305-10100%
W8@ TBL 0–16-1.9-1.9-1.915.013.613.6824125045110100%
W9vs CINL 17–3413.513.513.512.811.611.62031162113500100%

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2024ATL544.144.144.1QB478.88.88.8QB4461105775331111
2025ATL9120.3120.3120.3QB3313.413.413.4QB291662761982931701
2026ATL796.396.396.3QB2413.813.813.8QB2512419914441065650

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar QB projection this week

The QBs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0039917
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report