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Kyle Pitts Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Atlanta Falcons

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs KC · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

9.87.96.0pts · range 4.1–13.9 ptspts · range 3.3–11.2 ptspts · range 2.5–8.5 pts
FLEX / BORDERLINE

TE12TE12TE12 this weekTE22 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs CIN, L 17–34

5.3 pts3.8 pts2.3 pts · 3 catches on 5 targets, 23 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs KC ·

No injury report yet

Flex / borderline ▲

Kyle Pitts is a low-end TE1 this week. Our numbers for the game are 5 targets, 4 receptions and 41 receiving yards. Penix is the quarterback for now, which is what Pitts needs. About 40% of the recent scoring from Pitts came on touchdowns. Pitts held his workload, 5 targets last week against 5 the game before. The Kansas City defense has been easy on tight ends, with the 6th-most points allowed. Yes, start him this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

9.87.96.0

pts · TE12TE12TE12 this week

range 4.13.32.5–13.911.28.5 pts

Season average

7.96.55.1

pts per game · 9 games

Projected stats

Receptions

3.8

Receiving yards

41.1

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

16.9pts allowed to TEsEasy · 6th most

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

71.058.546.0

TE22 · 9 games

Per game

7.96.55.1

TE22TE23TE21

Touchdowns

4

TE7 of 135

Targets

37

TE21 of 135

Receptions

25

TE21 of 135

Receiving yards

220

TE29 of 135

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 14 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 4 or fewer pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3

There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 14 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

7.7'24 avg12.4'25 avg0W12.5W21.5W37.7W415.2W523W613.2W72.6W85.3W99.8W10TE1TE2
6.3'24 avg9.8'25 avg0W12W21W36.2W412.7W520.5W610.7W71.6W83.8W97.9W10TE1TE2
5'24 avg7.2'25 avg0W11.5W20.5W34.7W410.2W518W68.2W70.6W82.3W96W10TE1TE2
4.4'24 avg6.9'25 avg1W13W22W33W46W57W65W75W85W95.5W10TE1TE2
5%W110%W29%W315%W418%W521%W616%W722%W819%W9TE1TE2
2.8'24 avg5.2'25 avg0W11W21W33W45W55W65W72W83W93.8W10TE1TE2
35.4'24 avg54.6'25 avg0W115W25W347W442W560W622W76W823W941.1W10TE1TE2
0.2'24 avg0.3'25 avg0W10W20W30W41W52W61W70W80W9TE1TE2
63%W138%W259%W351%W467%W578%W656%W755%W868%W9TE1TE2

Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game

TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Kyle Pitts has 37 targets (TE21) and 220 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 8 PPR points per game (TE22). For Week 10 vs the Kansas City Chiefs, Pitts projects for 10 PPR points (TE12), and about half the time between 4.1 and 13.9.

2026 so farPittsAvg starter TEAvg TEDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game7.913.2−40%
Targets / game4.16.9−41%
Target share15%21%−28%
Receiving yards / game2455−55%
Yards / target5.98.0−26%
Catch rate68%73%−7%
Touchdowns / game0.440.47−6%
Snap share59%80%−25%

Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 2nd

17.1 PPR allowed to TEs / game · KC, MIN, DET

Rest of season

Easy · 1st

16.2 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 4th

16.7 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to TEs / gameDefense rank
W10vs KC16.9Easy · 6th
W12@ MIN9.3Tough · 32nd
W13vs DET25.1Easy · 1st
W14@ CLE14.8Easy · 10th
W15@ WAS19.0Easy · 3rd
W16vs TB14.7Easy · 11th
W17vs NO16.4Easy · 7th
W18@ CAR13.5Middle · 16th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game4.1 · 25th of 131
Target share15% · 20th of 131
Snap share59% · 31st of 131
Red-zone targets8.0 · 10th of 131
Yards / target5.9 · 38th of 54
PPR points / game7.9 · 22nd of 131

Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%68%19%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ PITL 13–200.00.00.0———10005%63%00
W2vs CARL 3–342.52.01.5———3115010%38%150
W3@ GBW 35–141.51.00.5———21509%59%50
W4@ NOW 45–247.76.24.76.35.03.83347015%51%470
W5vs BALL 23–3015.212.710.26.95.54.26542118%67%421
W6vs CHIL 23–3123.020.518.09.07.25.47560221%78%602
W7vs SFW 29–2013.210.78.210.78.36.35522116%56%221
W8@ TBL 0–162.61.60.610.98.26.2526022%55%60
W9vs CINL 17–345.33.82.311.58.26.25323019%68%230

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2021ATL17176.6142.6108.6TE610.48.46.4TE11110681026110261
2022ATL1075.661.647.6TE337.66.24.8TE22592835623562
2023ATL17137.3110.884.3TE128.16.55.0TE16905366736633
2024ATL17131.2107.784.2TE157.76.35.0TE21744760246024
2025ATL17210.8166.8122.8TE212.49.87.2TE51188892859285
2026ATL971.058.546.0TE227.96.55.1TE22372522042204

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0036970
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More TE rankings · Usage report