Next Down IQ
★

Bijan Robinson Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Atlanta Falcons

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs KC · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

18.316.514.8pts · range 9.0–20.4 ptspts · range 8.1–18.5 ptspts · range 7.3–16.6 pts
MUST START

RB4RB4RB4 this weekRB4 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs CIN, L 17–34

26.7 pts23.7 pts20.7 pts · 19 carries for 100 yds, 6 catches on 7 targets, 47 yds, 1 TD

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs KC ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Bijan Robinson is a locked-in start this week. We're looking for 18 carries, 81 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 31 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Robinson is seeing more of the ball, with no injury behind it. His touchdowns are overdue, judging by the chances he has had inside the 20. Kansas City has given up the 8th-fewest points to running backs. Give him the start this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

18.316.514.8

pts · RB4RB4RB4 this week

range 9.08.17.3–20.418.516.6 pts

Season average

20.018.316.6

pts per game · 9 games

Projected stats

Rushing attempts

16.8

Rushing yards

81.3

Receptions

3.4

Matchup · defense

19.8pts allowed to RBsTough · 8th fewest

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

180.0164.5149.0

RB3 · 9 games

Per game

20.018.316.6

RB4RB4RB4

Touchdowns

6

RB13 of 148

Carries

169

RB3 of 148

Rushing yards

880

RB1 of 148

Receptions

31

RB6 of 148

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among RBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 25 or more pts15% an outside chance
Dud: 9 or fewer pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4

There is a 50% chance he scores between 9 and 20 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

20.1'24 avg21.8'25 avg31.3W111.1W235.3W327.7W415.8W57.3W617.2W77.6W826.7W918.3W10RB1RB2RB3
18.3'24 avg19.5'25 avg27.3W19.6W234.3W327.2W413.8W56.3W614.7W77.6W823.7W916.5W10RB1RB2RB3
16.5'24 avg17.2'25 avg23.3W18.1W233.3W326.7W411.8W55.3W612.2W77.6W820.7W914.8W10RB1RB2RB3
17.9'24 avg16.9'25 avg21W116W229W319W417W59W620W719W819W916.8W10RB1RB2RB3
85.6'24 avg86.9'25 avg83W172W2194W3145W486W561W663W776W8100W981.3W10RB1RB2RB3
4.2'24 avg6.1'25 avg10W14W22W32W47W52W65W71W87W94.8W10RB1RB2RB3
3.6'24 avg4.6'25 avg8W13W22W31W44W52W65W70W86W93.4W10RB1RB2RB3
25.4'24 avg48.2'25 avg90W19W219W32W432W5-8W659W70W847W930.6W10RB1RB2RB3
0.9'24 avg0.6'25 avg1W10W22W32W40W50W60W70W81W9RB1RB2RB3
111'24 avg135.2'25 avg173W181W2213W3147W4118W553W6122W776W8147W9RB1RB2RB3
77%W151%W272%W360%W481%W578%W681%W781%W882%W9RB1RB2RB3

Last seasons Game RB1/RB2/RB3 Season avg Next game

RB1/RB2/RB3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th RB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Bijan Robinson has 169 carries for 880 yards and 40 targets in 9 games, averaging 20 PPR points per game (RB4). For Week 10 vs the Kansas City Chiefs, Robinson projects for 18 PPR points (RB4), and about half the time between 9.0 and 20.4.

2026 so farRobinsonAvg starter RBAvg RBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game20.016.6+20%
Designed carries / game18.815.8+19%
Targets / game4.43.7+21%
Rush yards / game9869+41%
Yards / carry5.24.3+20%
Touchdowns / game0.670.78−14%
Snap share74%64%+15%

Average starter = the top 24 RBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 31st

18.8 PPR allowed to RBs / game · KC, MIN, DET

Rest of season

Tough · 27th

21.1 PPR allowed to RBs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 19th

21.2 PPR allowed to RBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to RBs / gameDefense rank
W10vs KC19.8Tough · 25th
W12@ MIN18.9Tough · 28th
W13vs DET17.8Tough · 31st
W14@ CLE21.3Middle · 15th
W15@ WAS19.9Tough · 23rd
W16vs TB15.7Tough · 32nd
W17vs NO27.9Easy · 1st
W18@ CAR27.6Easy · 2nd

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to RBs this season.

Role profile

Designed carries / game18.8 · 5th of 130
Targets / game4.4 · 11th of 130
Snap share74% · 7th of 130
Red-zone carries29.0 · 10th of 130
Yards / carry5.2 · 8th of 92
PPR points / game20.0 · 4th of 130

Rank among RBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%90%82%26%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share Carry share (team's designed runs)

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ PITL 13–2031.327.323.3———2183010890177%1731
W2vs CARL 3–3411.19.68.1———16720439051%810
W3@ GBW 35–1435.334.333.3———2919422219072%2132
W4@ NOW 45–2427.727.226.717.916.414.9191452212060%1472
W5vs BALL 23–3015.813.811.821.819.817.7178607432081%1180
W6vs CHIL 23–317.36.35.320.018.216.5961022-8078%530
W7vs SFW 29–2017.214.712.222.020.118.1206305559081%1220
W8@ TBL 0–167.67.67.618.918.316.419760100081%760
W9vs CINL 17–3426.723.720.721.220.117.91910017647082%1471

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTotal ydsTotal TD
2023ATL17246.3217.3188.3RB914.512.811.1RB1721497648658487414638
2024ATL17341.7311.2280.7RB320.118.316.5RB330414561472614311188715
2025ATL17370.8331.3291.8RB221.819.517.2RB228714787103798204229811
2026ATL9180.0164.5149.0RB320.018.316.6RB416988054031250111306

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0038542
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More RB rankings · Usage report