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Christian McCaffrey Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ San Francisco 49ers

Week 10 fantasy outlook

RBSan Francisco 49ers#23

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM

22.319.817.3pts · range 17.8–33.4 ptspts · range 15.8–29.7 ptspts · range 13.8–26.0 pts
MUST START

RB2RB2RB3 this weekRB3 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs LV, W 38–17

22.7 pts21.7 pts20.7 pts · 18 carries for 68 yds, 2 catches on 3 targets, 19 yds, 2 TDs

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ DAL ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Christian McCaffrey is a locked-in start this week. Our projection for the game: 15 carries, 75 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 41 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. McCaffrey has moved up in this offense. Close to 39% of the points McCaffrey has scored lately were touchdowns. Dallas is a soft spot for running backs: the 4th-most points allowed. Start him this week and don't overthink it.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

22.319.817.3

pts · RB2RB2RB3 this week

range 17.815.813.8–33.429.726.0 pts

Season average

20.818.616.3

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Rushing attempts

17.7

Rushing yards

74.8

Receptions

5.0

Matchup · defense

25.8pts allowed to RBsEasy · 4th most

Trends to know

  • Points ahead of the work: about 21 PPR points a game against about 16 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
  • Three straight games at or above the season average.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

166.7148.7130.7

RB4 · 8 games

Per game

20.818.616.3

RB3RB3RB5

Touchdowns

10

RB3 of 148

Carries

102

RB22 of 148

Rushing yards

457

RB18 of 148

Receptions

36

RB3 of 148

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among RBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 31 or more pts40% a strong chance
Dud: 11 or fewer pts15% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 18 and 33 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

11.9'24 avg24.5'25 avg13.8W122.6W221.6W316W417.3W530.7W622W722.7W922.3W10RB1RB2RB3
10.1'24 avg21.5'25 avg11.3W120.6W219.6W314.5W415.8W526.2W619W721.7W919.8W10RB1RB2RB3
8.2'24 avg18.5'25 avg8.8W118.6W217.6W313W414.3W521.7W616W720.7W917.3W10RB1RB2RB3
12.5'24 avg18.3'25 avg10W110W215W315W411W516W67W718W917.7W10RB1RB2RB3
50.5'24 avg70.7'25 avg68W123W275W352W468W564W639W768W974.8W10RB1RB2RB3
4.8'24 avg7.6'25 avg8W14W25W35W43W510W67W73W95.2W10RB1RB2RB3
3.8'24 avg6'25 avg5W14W24W33W43W59W66W72W95W10RB1RB2RB3
36.5'24 avg54.4'25 avg20W143W241W318W415W553W661W719W940.8W10RB1RB2RB3
0'24 avg1'25 avg0W12W21W31W41W52W61W72W9RB1RB2RB3
87'24 avg125.1'25 avg88W166W2116W370W483W5117W6100W787W9RB1RB2RB3
55%W152%W283%W374%W482%W585%W652%W768%W9RB1RB2RB3

Last seasons Game RB1/RB2/RB3 Season avg Next game

RB1/RB2/RB3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th RB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Christian McCaffrey has 102 carries for 457 yards and 45 targets in 8 games, averaging 21 PPR points per game (RB3). For Week 10 at the Dallas Cowboys, McCaffrey projects for 22 PPR points (RB2), and about half the time between 17.8 and 33.4.

2026 so farMcCaffreyAvg starter RBAvg RBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game20.816.6+25%
Designed carries / game12.815.8−19%
Targets / game5.63.7+53%
Rush yards / game5769−18%
Yards / carry4.54.3+4%
Touchdowns / game1.250.78+61%
Snap share69%64%+8%

Average starter = the top 24 RBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 20th

21.7 PPR allowed to RBs / game · DAL, MIN, SEA

Rest of season

Tough · 30th

20.8 PPR allowed to RBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 25th

20.8 PPR allowed to RBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to RBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ DAL25.8Easy · 4th
W11vs MIN18.9Tough · 28th
W12vs SEA20.5Middle · 19th
W13@ NYG19.2Tough · 26th
W14vs LA19.1Tough · 27th
W15@ LAC22.6Middle · 12th
W16@ KC19.8Tough · 25th
W17vs PHI20.0Tough · 22nd
W18@ ARI20.9Middle · 17th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to RBs this season.

Role profile

Designed carries / game12.8 · 25th of 130
Targets / game5.6 · 3rd of 130
Snap share69% · 10th of 130
Red-zone carries25.0 · 12th of 130
Yards / carry4.5 · 25th of 92
PPR points / game20.8 · 3rd of 130

Rank among RBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%68%50%13%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W9

Snap share Target share Carry share (team's designed runs)

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ LAW 27–713.811.38.8———106808520055%880
W2vs MIAW 35–1322.620.618.6———102324443052%662
W3vs ARIW 36–3021.619.617.6———157515441083%1161
W4vs DENW 24–1416.014.513.018.216.113.9155215318074%701
W5@ SEAW 32–2917.315.814.318.716.414.0116813315082%831
W6vs WASW 23–1730.726.221.719.316.914.41664210953085%1172
W7@ ATLL 20–2922.019.016.019.616.814.573917661052%1001
W9vs LVW 38–1722.721.720.721.615.413.0186813219168%872

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTotal ydsTotal TD
2017CAR16228.6188.6148.6RB1014.311.89.3RB14117435211380651510867
2018CAR16385.5332.0278.5RB224.120.817.4RB3219109871241078676196513
2019CAR16471.2413.2355.2RB129.425.822.2RB128713871514211610054239219
2020CAR390.481.973.4RB5430.127.324.5592255191714913746
2021CAR7127.5109.090.5RB3818.215.612.9RB5994421413734317852
2022CAR/SF17356.4313.9271.4RB221.018.516.0RB224411398108857415188013
2023SF16391.3357.8324.3RB124.522.420.3RB127214591483675647202321
2024SF447.840.332.8RB6911.910.18.2RB27502020191514603480
2025SF17416.6365.6314.6RB124.521.518.5RB13111202101291029247212617
2026SF8166.7148.7130.7RB420.818.616.3RB310245794536270172710

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar RB projection this week

The RBs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0033280
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More RB rankings · Usage report