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Jahmyr Gibbs Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Detroit Lions

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs NE · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM

23.621.920.1pts · range 17.4–30.3 ptspts · range 16.1–28.1 ptspts · range 14.8–25.9 pts
MUST START

RB1RB1RB1 this weekRB1 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ MIA, W 19–9

13.4 pts13.4 pts13.4 pts · 20 carries for 74 yds, 0 catches on 1 target, 0 yds, 1 TD

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs NE ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Jahmyr Gibbs is a locked-in start this week. The projection is 20 carries, 107 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 28 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Touchdowns are doing most of the work for Gibbs. The floor is low and the ceiling is high: 17, 25 and 13 points. New England has been one of the harder draws for running backs, with the 4th-fewest points allowed. His usage is down, about 24 carries and targets a game over the last two after 29, but that is still a starter's share, so the call holds. Start him this week and don't overthink it.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

23.621.920.1

pts · RB1RB1RB1 this week

range 17.416.114.8–30.328.125.9 pts

Season average

26.124.021.9

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Rushing attempts

22.1

Rushing yards

107.4

Receptions

3.4

Matchup · defense

18.9pts allowed to RBsTough · 4th fewest

Trends to know

  • Opportunities down: about 24 a game over the last two games, down from 29.
  • Points ahead of the work: about 26 PPR points a game against about 22 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

209.2192.2175.2

RB1 · 8 games

Per game

26.124.021.9

RB1RB1RB1

Touchdowns

11

RB1 of 148

Carries

177

RB1 of 148

Rushing yards

847

RB3 of 148

Receptions

34

RB5 of 148

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among RBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 32 or more pts20% an outside chance
Dud: 11 or fewer pts10% a long shot

There is a 50% chance he scores between 17 and 30 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

21.3'24 avg21.6'25 avg33.6W123.3W241.4W317.7W437.7W517.3W724.8W813.4W923.6W10RB1RB2RB3
19.8'24 avg19.3'25 avg31.1W120.3W237.9W315.7W435.2W514.8W723.8W813.4W921.9W10RB1RB2RB3
18.3'24 avg17.1'25 avg28.6W117.3W234.4W313.7W432.7W512.3W722.8W813.4W920.1W10RB1RB2RB3
14.7'24 avg14.3'25 avg29W116W220W315W425W529W723W820W922.1W10RB1RB2RB3
83.1'24 avg71.9'25 avg156W152W299W346W4151W5116W7153W874W9107.4W10RB1RB2RB3
3.7'24 avg5.5'25 avg5W18W28W37W46W56W74W81W94W10RB1RB2RB3
3.1'24 avg4.5'25 avg5W16W27W34W45W55W72W80W93.4W10RB1RB2RB3
30.4'24 avg36.2'25 avg30W161W265W331W456W527W715W80W927.7W10RB1RB2RB3
1.2'24 avg1.1'25 avg2W11W23W31W42W50W71W81W9RB1RB2RB3
113.5'24 avg108.2'25 avg186W1113W2164W377W4207W5143W7168W874W9RB1RB2RB3
74%W183%W269%W387%W470%W590%W776%W868%W9RB1RB2RB3

Last seasons Game RB1/RB2/RB3 Season avg Next game

RB1/RB2/RB3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th RB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Jahmyr Gibbs has 177 carries for 847 yards and 45 targets in 8 games, averaging 26 PPR points per game (RB1). For Week 10 vs the New England Patriots, Gibbs projects for 24 PPR points (RB1), and about half the time between 17.4 and 30.3.

2026 so farGibbsAvg starter RBAvg RBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game26.116.6+57%
Designed carries / game22.115.8+40%
Targets / game5.63.7+53%
Rush yards / game10669+52%
Yards / carry4.84.3+11%
Touchdowns / game1.380.78+77%
Snap share77%64%+21%

Average starter = the top 24 RBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 32nd

18.3 PPR allowed to RBs / game · NE, TB, CHI

Rest of season

Tough · 31st

20.7 PPR allowed to RBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 31st

19.4 PPR allowed to RBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to RBs / gameDefense rank
W10vs NE18.9Tough · 29th
W11vs TB15.7Tough · 32nd
W12vs CHI20.2Middle · 20th
W13@ ATL25.7Easy · 5th
W14vs TEN21.6Middle · 14th
W15@ MIN18.9Tough · 28th
W16vs NYG19.2Tough · 26th
W17@ CHI20.2Middle · 20th
W18@ GB25.6Easy · 6th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to RBs this season.

Role profile

Designed carries / game22.1 · 1st of 130
Targets / game5.6 · 3rd of 130
Snap share77% · 3rd of 130
Red-zone carries44.0 · 1st of 130
Yards / carry4.8 · 17th of 92
PPR points / game26.1 · 1st of 130

Rank among RBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%80%68%4%W1W2W3W4W5W7W8W9

Snap share Target share Carry share (team's designed runs)

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs NOW 31–3033.631.128.6———2915625530074%1862
W2@ BUFL 31–4123.320.317.3———165208661183%1131
W3vs NYJW 31–2441.437.934.4———209928765169%1643
W4@ CARL 26–3217.715.713.721.719.517.3154617431087%771
W5@ ARIW 45–2137.735.232.720.918.916.92515126556070%2072
W7vs GBW 20–1717.314.812.323.920.218.02911606527090%1430
W8vs MINW 19–1524.823.822.823.919.617.72315314215076%1681
W9@ MIAW 19–913.413.413.423.518.817.320741100068%741

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTotal ydsTotal TD
2023DET15242.1216.1190.1RB1016.114.412.7RB81829451071523161126111
2024DET17362.9336.9310.9RB121.319.818.3RB225014121663525174192920
2025DET17366.9328.4289.9RB321.619.317.1RB324312231394776165183918
2026DET8209.2192.2175.2RB126.124.021.9RB1177847945342852113211

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0039139
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More RB rankings · Usage report