Christian Watson Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Green Bay PackersNext game
Week 10 vs MIN · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR8WR6WR6 this weekWR7 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs MIN ·No injury report yet
Christian Watson is a locked-in start this week. The projection is 8 targets, 5 receptions, 85 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Each of his last three games has been better: 11, 17, then 30 points. No change in the work: Watson had 8 touches last week, 10 before that. Minnesota has given up the 3rd-fewest points to receivers. He's an easy start this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
16.614.011.4
pts · WR8WR6WR6 this week
range 10.08.46.9–22.919.315.7 pts
Season average
19.716.914.2
pts per game · 9 games
Projected stats
Receptions
5.2
Receiving yards
85.2
Receiving TDs
0.5
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Points ahead of the work: about 20 PPR points a game against about 14 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
176.9152.4127.9
WR3 · 9 games
Per game
19.716.914.2
WR7WR5WR4
Touchdowns
7
WR2 of 223
Targets
74
WR9 of 223
Receptions
49
WR10 of 223
Receiving yards
879
WR3 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 10 and 23 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Christian Watson has 74 targets (WR9) and 879 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 20 PPR points per game (WR7). For Week 10 vs the Minnesota Vikings, Watson projects for 17 PPR points (WR8), and about half the time between 10.0 and 22.9.
| 2026 so far | Watson | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 19.7 | 15.4 | +28% |
| Targets / game | 8.2 | 7.9 | +5% |
| Target share | 22% | 24% | −7% |
| Receiving yards / game | 98 | 71 | +38% |
| Yards / target | 11.9 | 9.3 | +28% |
| Catch rate | 66% | 66% | ±0% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.78 | 0.50 | +54% |
| Snap share | 77% | 76% | +1% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Tough · 28th
28.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · MIN, LA, NO
Rest of season
Middle · 21st
30.9 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Middle · 18th
31.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs MIN | 25.3 | Tough · 30th |
| W12 | @ LA | 27.6 | Tough · 26th |
| W13 | @ NO | 31.2 | Middle · 17th |
| W14 | vs BUF | 34.3 | Easy · 10th |
| W15 | vs MIA | 25.6 | Tough · 29th |
| W16 | @ CHI | 29.4 | Tough · 22nd |
| W17 | vs HOU | 38.5 | Easy · 2nd |
| W18 | vs DET | 35.2 | Easy · 7th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ MIN | L 22–39 | 32.729.726.7 | ——— | 8 | 6 | 147 | 2 | 20% | 76% | 147 | 2 |
| W2 | @ NYJ | W 20–17 | 14.112.110.1 | ——— | 11 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 38% | 90% | 41 | 1 |
| W3 | vs ATL | L 14–35 | 22.619.115.6 | ——— | 10 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 20% | 80% | 96 | 1 |
| W4 | @ TB | W 17–14 | 7.76.24.7 | 11.910.18.2 | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 10% | 68% | 47 | 0 |
| W5 | vs CHI | W 31–7 | 32.329.326.3 | 11.910.18.2 | 8 | 6 | 143 | 2 | 26% | 80% | 143 | 2 |
| W6 | vs DAL | W 23–13 | 9.47.96.4 | 16.213.711.2 | 8 | 3 | 64 | 0 | 20% | 88% | 64 | 0 |
| W7 | @ DET | L 17–20 | 10.78.25.7 | 15.612.810.6 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 19% | 81% | 57 | 0 |
| W8 | vs CAR | W 27–19 | 17.313.39.3 | 15.312.310.2 | 10 | 8 | 113 | 0 | 26% | 49% | 113 | 0 |
| W9 | @ NE | W 45–27 | 30.126.623.1 | 13.210.88.8 | 8 | 7 | 171 | 1 | 30% | 77% | 171 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | GB | 14 | 164.1143.6123.1WR41 | 11.710.38.8WR33 | 66 | 41 | 611 | 7 | 691 | 9 |
| 2023 | GB | 9 | 101.387.373.3WR68 | 11.39.78.1WR42 | 53 | 28 | 422 | 5 | 433 | 5 |
| 2024 | GB | 15 | 105.390.876.3WR76 | 7.06.15.1WR82 | 53 | 29 | 620 | 2 | 643 | 2 |
| 2025 | GB | 10 | 132.4114.997.4WR46 | 13.211.59.7WR19 | 55 | 35 | 611 | 6 | 614 | 6 |
| 2026 | GB | 9 | 176.9152.4127.9WR3 | 19.716.914.2WR7 | 74 | 49 | 879 | 7 | 879 | 7 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0038124
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report