Darren Waller Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Carolina PanthersNext game
Week 10 @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
TE15TE14TE13 this weekTE16 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ NO ·No injury report yet
Darren Waller is a streaming tight end at best this week. Our numbers for the game are 5 targets, 3 receptions and 38 receiving yards. A big part of the points for Waller came from touchdowns. No two recent games look alike: 12, 2 and 23 points. New Orleans gives tight ends room: the 7th-most points allowed this season. He's a flex option this week, not a lock.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
8.97.35.7
pts · TE15TE14TE13 this week
range 5.04.13.2–14.111.59.0 pts
Season average
9.68.26.7
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
3.2
Receiving yards
37.9
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities up: about 6 a game over the last two games, up from 4.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
76.965.453.9
TE18 · 8 games
Per game
9.68.26.7
TE16TE14TE11
Touchdowns
4
TE7 of 135
Targets
35
TE24 of 135
Receptions
23
TE24 of 135
Receiving yards
299
TE17 of 135
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 5 and 14 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game
TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Darren Waller has 35 targets (TE24) and 299 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 10 PPR points per game (TE16). Usage is rising: 12 targets over the last two games, up from about 8 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the New Orleans Saints, Waller projects for 9 PPR points (TE15), and about half the time between 5.0 and 14.1.
| 2026 so far | Waller | Avg starter TEAvg TE | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 9.6 | 13.2 | −27% |
| Targets / game | 4.4 | 6.9 | −37% |
| Target share | 12% | 21% | −42% |
| Receiving yards / game | 37 | 55 | −31% |
| Yards / target | 8.5 | 8.0 | +6% |
| Catch rate | 66% | 73% | −9% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.50 | 0.47 | +6% |
| Snap share | 49% | 80% | −39% |
Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Easy · 11th
15.0 PPR allowed to TEs / game · NO, BAL, TB
Rest of season
Middle · 16th
13.7 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Middle · 20th
13.2 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to TEs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ NO | 16.4 | Easy · 7th |
| W11 | vs BAL | 13.8 | Middle · 14th |
| W12 | @ TB | 14.7 | Easy · 11th |
| W13 | @ MIN | 9.3 | Tough · 32nd |
| W14 | vs NO | 16.4 | Easy · 7th |
| W15 | vs CIN | 15.9 | Easy · 8th |
| W16 | @ PIT | 12.7 | Middle · 20th |
| W17 | vs SEA | 10.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W18 | vs ATL | 12.8 | Middle · 19th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.
Role profile
Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CHI | L 37–59 | 4.83.82.8 | ——— | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 6% | 35% | 28 | 0 |
| W2 | @ ATL | W 34–3 | 18.316.815.3 | ——— | 3 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 9% | 44% | 33 | 2 |
| W3 | @ CLE | L 18–21 | 10.17.65.1 | ——— | 8 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 19% | 51% | 51 | 0 |
| W4 | vs DET | W 32–26 | 6.65.13.6 | 6.75.44.2 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 15% | 53% | 36 | 0 |
| W6 | @ PHI | W 25–14 | 0.00.00.0 | 8.87.25.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 46% | 0 | 0 |
| W7 | vs TB | L 13–43 | 12.011.511.0 | 8.36.75.2 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 1 | 7% | 45% | 50 | 1 |
| W8 | @ GB | L 19–27 | 2.11.61.1 | 7.15.94.7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 6% | 62% | 11 | 0 |
| W9 | vs DEN | L 21–26 | 23.019.015.0 | 5.95.34.2 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 27% | 53% | 90 | 1 |
Season by season
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| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | BAL | 12 | 30.525.520.5TE58 | 2.52.11.7TE59 | 17 | 10 | 85 | 2 | 85 | 2 |
| 2018 | OAK | 4 | 15.612.69.6TE81 | 3.93.12.4TE45 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 0 | 96 | 0 |
| 2019 | OAK | 16 | 221.0176.0131.0TE3 | 13.811.08.2TE6 | 117 | 90 | 1145 | 3 | 1150 | 3 |
| 2020 | LV | 16 | 278.6225.1171.6TE2 | 17.414.110.7TE2 | 145 | 107 | 1196 | 9 | 1196 | 9 |
| 2021 | LV | 11 | 133.5106.078.5TE17 | 12.19.67.1TE6 | 93 | 55 | 665 | 2 | 665 | 2 |
| 2022 | LV | 9 | 84.870.856.8TE31 | 9.47.96.3TE10 | 43 | 28 | 388 | 3 | 388 | 3 |
| 2023 | NYG | 12 | 113.287.261.2TE21 | 9.47.35.1TE13 | 74 | 52 | 552 | 1 | 552 | 1 |
| 2025 | MIA | 9 | 88.776.764.7TE33 | 9.98.57.2TE17 | 34 | 24 | 283 | 6 | 287 | 6 |
| 2026 | CAR | 8 | 76.965.453.9TE18 | 9.68.26.7TE16 | 35 | 23 | 299 | 4 | 299 | 4 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0031610
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More TE rankings · Usage report