Tetairoa McMillan Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Carolina PanthersNext game
Week 10 @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR19WR19WR18 this weekWR14 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ NO ·No injury report yet
Tetairoa McMillan is a low-end WR2 this week. Our projection for the game: 7 targets, 4 receptions and 59 receiving yards. Better each time out lately: 8, 12 and 16 points. He's a clear start this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
12.210.17.9
pts · WR19WR19WR18 this week
range 6.35.24.1–18.415.211.9 pts
Season average
15.612.79.8
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
4.3
Receiving yards
58.9
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
124.5101.578.5
WR13 · 8 games
Per game
15.612.79.8
WR14WR15WR17
Touchdowns
3
WR19 of 223
Targets
71
WR11 of 223
Receptions
46
WR13 of 223
Receiving yards
625
WR13 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 18 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Tetairoa McMillan has 71 targets (WR11) and 625 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 16 PPR points per game (WR14). For Week 10 at the New Orleans Saints, McMillan projects for 12 PPR points (WR19), and about half the time between 6.3 and 18.4.
| 2026 so far | McMillan | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 15.6 | 15.4 | +1% |
| Targets / game | 8.9 | 7.9 | +13% |
| Target share | 25% | 24% | +4% |
| Receiving yards / game | 78 | 71 | +10% |
| Yards / target | 8.8 | 9.3 | −5% |
| Catch rate | 65% | 66% | −2% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.38 | 0.50 | −26% |
| Snap share | 82% | 76% | +8% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 18th
31.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · NO, BAL, TB
Rest of season
Tough · 29th
29.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Tough · 30th
27.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ NO | 31.2 | Middle · 17th |
| W11 | vs BAL | 33.9 | Easy · 11th |
| W12 | @ TB | 30.0 | Middle · 19th |
| W13 | @ MIN | 25.3 | Tough · 30th |
| W14 | vs NO | 31.2 | Middle · 17th |
| W15 | vs CIN | 30.8 | Middle · 18th |
| W16 | @ PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W17 | vs SEA | 22.7 | Tough · 32nd |
| W18 | vs ATL | 33.6 | Middle · 13th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CHI | L 37–59 | 10.58.05.5 | ——— | 8 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 24% | 82% | 75 | 0 |
| W2 | @ ATL | W 34–3 | 15.112.610.1 | ——— | 10 | 5 | 101 | 0 | 31% | 80% | 101 | 0 |
| W3 | @ CLE | L 18–21 | 3.72.71.7 | ——— | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 12% | 95% | 17 | 0 |
| W4 | vs DET | W 32–26 | 45.238.231.2 | 12.110.18.0 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 | 41% | 89% | 192 | 2 |
| W6 | @ PHI | W 25–14 | 14.611.68.6 | 15.112.49.8 | 9 | 6 | 86 | 0 | 26% | 76% | 86 | 0 |
| W7 | vs TB | L 13–43 | 8.06.04.0 | 15.111.48.9 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 21% | 68% | 40 | 0 |
| W8 | @ GB | L 19–27 | 11.88.85.8 | 13.310.27.9 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 31% | 89% | 58 | 0 |
| W9 | vs DEN | L 21–26 | 15.613.611.6 | 14.411.28.7 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 1 | 16% | 80% | 56 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 211.4176.4141.4WR16 | 12.410.48.3WR24 | 122 | 70 | 1014 | 7 | 1014 | 7 |
| 2026 | CAR | 8 | 124.5101.578.5WR13 | 15.612.79.8WR14 | 71 | 46 | 625 | 3 | 625 | 3 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0040124
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report