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Deebo Samuel Sr. Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ San Francisco 49ers

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM

8.56.95.2pts · range 4.0–12.9 ptspts · range 3.3–10.5 ptspts · range 2.5–8.0 pts
DESPERATE START

WR46WR45WR48 this weekWR31 on the season

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ DAL ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start

He's on the bench in most leagues this week: we project 4 targets, 3 receptions and 38 receiving yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

8.56.95.2

pts · WR46WR45WR48 this week

range 4.03.32.5–12.910.58.0 pts

Season average

12.110.58.9

pts per game · 5 games

Projected stats

Receptions

3.2

Receiving yards

37.6

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

34.8pts allowed to WRsEasy · 8th most

Trends to know

  • Opportunities up: about 7 a game over the last two games, up from 5.
  • Points ahead of the work: about 12 PPR points a game against about 8 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

60.452.444.4

WR57 · 5 games

Per game

12.110.58.9

WR31WR28WR22

Touchdowns

3

WR19 of 223

Targets

20

WR93 of 223

Receptions

16

WR71 of 223

Receiving yards

206

WR81 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 12 or more pts35% a strong chance
Dud: 4 or fewer pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4

There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 13 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

10.2'24 avg11.8'25 avg18W16.5W215.4W318W42.5W5—W6—W7—W98.5W10WR1WR2WR3
8.5'24 avg9.5'25 avg15W15W215.4W315.5W41.5W5—W6—W7—W96.9W10WR1WR2WR3
6.8'24 avg7.3'25 avg12W13.5W215.4W313W40.5W5—W6—W7—W95.2W10WR1WR2WR3
5.4'24 avg6.2'25 avg7W14W20W36W43W5—W6—W7—W93.6W10WR1WR2WR3
21%W119%W20%W321%W411%W5—W6—W7—W9WR1WR2WR3
3.4'24 avg4.5'25 avg6W13W20W35W42W5—W6—W7—W93.2W10WR1WR2WR3
44.7'24 avg45.4'25 avg48W131W280W326W421W5—W6—W7—W937.6W10WR1WR2WR3
0.3'24 avg0.4'25 avg1W10W21W31W40W5—W6—W7—W9WR1WR2WR3
42%W160%W276%W367%W443%W5—W6—W7—W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Deebo Samuel Sr. has 20 targets (WR93) and 206 receiving yards in 5 games, averaging 12 PPR points per game (WR31). For Week 10 at the Dallas Cowboys, Sr. projects for 8 PPR points (WR46), and about half the time between 4.0 and 12.9.

2026 so farSr.Avg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game12.115.4−21%
Targets / game4.07.9−49%
Target share15%24%−40%
Receiving yards / game4171−42%
Yards / target10.39.3+11%
Catch rate80%66%+21%
Touchdowns / game0.600.50+19%
Snap share57%76%−25%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 30th

27.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · DAL, MIN, SEA

Rest of season

Tough · 26th

30.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 12th

32.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ DAL34.8Easy · 8th
W11vs MIN25.3Tough · 30th
W12vs SEA22.7Tough · 32nd
W13@ NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W14vs LA27.6Tough · 26th
W15@ LAC36.6Easy · 5th
W16@ KC23.5Tough · 31st
W17vs PHI37.9Easy · 4th
W18@ ARI32.2Middle · 15th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game4.0 · 71st of 201
Target share15% · 63rd of 201
Snap share57% · 78th of 200
Red-zone targets5.0 · 44th of 201
Yards / target10.3 · 24th of 132
PPR points / game12.1 · 31st of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not playDid not play43%11%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ LAW 27–718.015.012.0———7648121%42%601
W2vs MIAW 35–136.55.03.5———4331019%60%350
W3vs ARIW 36–3015.415.415.4———008010%76%941
W4vs DENW 24–1418.015.513.08.97.25.56526121%67%701
W5@ SEAW 32–292.51.50.58.77.15.43221011%43%250
W6vs WASW 23–17Did not play—————————
W7@ ATLL 20–29Did not play—————————
W9vs LVW 38–17Did not play—————————

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2019SF15189.1160.6132.1WR3112.610.78.8WR32815780239616
2020SF780.764.247.7WR9611.59.26.8WR46443339114171
2021SF16339.0300.5262.0WR321.218.816.4WR31217714056177014
2022SF13168.4140.4112.4WR3713.010.88.6WR28945663228645
2023SF15243.7213.7183.7WR1516.214.212.2WR1289608927111712
2024SF15153.6128.1102.6WR4410.28.56.8WR50815167038064
2025WAS16188.2152.2116.2WR2511.89.57.3WR33997272758026
2026SF560.452.444.4WR5712.110.58.9WR31201620632843

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0035719
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report