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Keenan Allen Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Indianapolis Colts

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs MIA · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

8.66.84.9pts · range 3.8–13.4 ptspts · range 3.0–10.5 ptspts · range 2.2–7.7 pts
DESPERATE START

WR45WR48WR52 this weekWR39 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs DAL, L 23–27

6.6 pts4.6 pts2.6 pts · 4 catches on 8 targets, 26 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs MIA ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start

Keenan Allen is a deep-league flex at best this week. We project 5 targets, 4 receptions and 36 receiving yards. He swings: 6, 14 and 7 points in his last three, so the upside comes with a low floor. Last week was a repeat for Allen, with 8 touches after 7. Points have been hard to find against Miami: the 4th-fewest allowed to receivers. A flex this week, not a core starter.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

8.66.84.9

pts · WR45WR48WR52 this week

range 3.83.02.2–13.410.57.7 pts

Season average

10.17.65.1

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

3.7

Receiving yards

36.2

Receiving TDs

0.2

Matchup · defense

25.6pts allowed to WRsTough · 4th fewest

Trends to know

  • Points behind the work: about 10 PPR points a game against about 12 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

81.161.141.1

WR34 · 8 games

Per game

10.17.65.1

WR39WR50WR65

Touchdowns

1

WR62 of 223

Targets

58

WR20 of 223

Receptions

40

WR17 of 223

Receiving yards

351

WR38 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 12 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 4 or fewer pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4

There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 13 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

12.3'24 avg10.7'25 avg9.2W11.5W218.3W3—W49.5W516.2W66.1W713.7W86.6W98.6W10WR1WR2WR3
10'24 avg8.4'25 avg6.2W11W215.3W3—W47W512.2W64.6W710.2W84.6W96.8W10WR1WR2WR3
7.6'24 avg6'25 avg3.2W10.5W212.3W3—W44.5W58.2W63.1W76.7W82.6W94.9W10WR1WR2WR3
8.1'24 avg7.2'25 avg6W15W29W3—W49W511W63W77W88W95.3W10WR1WR2WR3
21%W117%W226%W3—W421%W529%W614%W723%W825%W9WR1WR2WR3
4.7'24 avg4.8'25 avg6W11W26W3—W45W58W63W77W84W93.7W10WR1WR2WR3
49.6'24 avg45.7'25 avg32W15W263W3—W445W582W631W767W826W936.2W10WR1WR2WR3
0.5'24 avg0.2'25 avg0W10W21W3—W40W50W60W70W80W9WR1WR2WR3
67%W151%W273%W3—W445%W571%W649%W752%W856%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Keenan Allen has 58 targets (WR20) and 351 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 10 PPR points per game (WR39). For Week 10 vs the Miami Dolphins, Allen projects for 9 PPR points (WR45), and about half the time between 3.8 and 13.4.

2026 so farAllenAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game10.115.4−34%
Targets / game7.27.9−8%
Target share22%24%−7%
Receiving yards / game4471−38%
Yards / target6.19.3−35%
Catch rate69%66%+5%
Touchdowns / game0.120.50−75%
Snap share58%76%−24%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 20th

31.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · MIA, HOU, NYG

Rest of season

Easy · 5th

33.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 8th

33.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10vs MIA25.6Tough · 29th
W11@ HOU38.5Easy · 2nd
W12vs NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W14@ PHI37.9Easy · 4th
W15@ TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W16vs CIN30.8Middle · 18th
W17@ CLE29.5Middle · 21st
W18vs JAX33.2Middle · 14th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game7.2 · 23rd of 201
Target share22% · 25th of 201
Snap share58% · 74th of 200
Red-zone targets5.0 · 44th of 201
Yards / target6.1 · 101st of 132
PPR points / game10.1 · 39th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not play56%25%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs BALL 23–419.26.23.2———6632021%67%320
W2@ KCL 30–331.51.00.5———515017%51%50
W3vs HOUW 19–1718.315.312.3———9663126%73%631
W4@ WASW 30–13Did not play—————————
W5@ PITL 22–349.57.04.59.87.85.89545021%45%450
W6vs TENL 20–2616.212.28.28.66.95.211882029%71%820
W7@ MINL 10–166.14.63.110.68.26.13331014%49%310
W8@ JAXL 7–4213.710.26.78.56.64.97767023%52%670
W9vs DALL 23–276.64.62.69.06.34.68426025%56%260

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2016SD112.39.36.3WR16512.39.36.376630630
2017LAC16278.2227.2176.2WR317.414.211.0WR41591021393614026
2018LAC16260.1211.6163.1WR1216.313.210.2WR18136971196612716
2019LAC16261.5209.5157.5WR616.313.19.8WR81491041199612156
2020LAC14245.1195.1145.1WR1417.513.910.4WR714710099289918
2021LAC16257.8204.8151.8WR1116.112.89.5WR121571061138611386
2022LAC10164.0131.098.0WR4216.413.19.8WR11896675247604
2023LAC13278.9224.9170.9WR821.517.313.1WR31501081243712497
2024CHI15184.4149.4114.4WR3412.310.07.6WR361217074477447
2025LAC17182.7142.2101.7WR2910.78.46.0WR401228177747774
2026IND881.161.141.1WR3410.17.65.1WR39584035113511

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0030279
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report