DeMario Douglas Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ New England PatriotsNext game
Week 10 @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM
WR36WR36WR36 this weekWR38 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ DET ·No injury report yet
DeMario Douglas is a low-end WR3 this week. That adds up to 4 targets, 4 receptions and 45 receiving yards in our projection. Be careful with Douglas: the scoring is ahead of the workload. No two recent games look alike: 5, 17 and 15 points. Detroit has given up the 7th-most points to receivers this year. Touchdowns account for about 30% of the recent points for Douglas. He's a flex option this week, not a lock.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
9.77.96.2
pts · WR36WR36WR36 this week
range 4.83.93.0–15.712.89.9 pts
Season average
10.79.07.3
pts per game · 9 games
Projected stats
Receptions
3.6
Receiving yards
45.2
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Snap share climbing: 68% last game, 56% before.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
96.480.965.4
WR23 · 9 games
Per game
10.79.07.3
WR38WR35WR35
Touchdowns
4
WR12 of 223
Targets
46
WR39 of 223
Receptions
31
WR34 of 223
Receiving yards
434
WR25 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 5 and 16 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
DeMario Douglas has 46 targets (WR39) and 434 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 11 PPR points per game (WR38). For Week 10 at the Detroit Lions, Douglas projects for 10 PPR points (WR36), and about half the time between 4.8 and 15.7.
| 2026 so far | Douglas | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 10.7 | 15.4 | −30% |
| Targets / game | 5.1 | 7.9 | −35% |
| Target share | 17% | 24% | −28% |
| Receiving yards / game | 48 | 71 | −32% |
| Yards / target | 9.4 | 9.3 | +2% |
| Catch rate | 67% | 66% | +2% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.44 | 0.50 | −12% |
| Snap share | 58% | 76% | −24% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Easy · 3rd
35.4 PPR allowed to WRs / game · DET, LAC, BUF
Rest of season
Tough · 30th
29.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Tough · 31st
26.4 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ DET | 35.2 | Easy · 7th |
| W12 | @ LAC | 36.6 | Easy · 5th |
| W13 | vs BUF | 34.3 | Easy · 10th |
| W14 | vs MIN | 25.3 | Tough · 30th |
| W15 | @ KC | 23.5 | Tough · 31st |
| W16 | @ NYJ | 28.1 | Tough · 25th |
| W17 | vs DEN | 27.6 | Tough · 27th |
| W18 | vs MIA | 25.6 | Tough · 29th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ SEA | L 10–13 | 7.04.52.0 | ——— | 7 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 23% | 62% | 20 | 0 |
| W2 | vs PIT | W 20–3 | 1.91.40.9 | ——— | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10% | 47% | 9 | 0 |
| W3 | @ JAX | L 6–35 | 4.84.33.8 | ——— | 5 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 17% | 59% | 38 | 0 |
| W4 | @ BUF | W 29–26 | 3.52.51.5 | 5.74.63.5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 8% | 46% | 15 | 0 |
| W5 | vs LV | W 45–17 | 22.520.518.5 | 5.84.73.6 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 2 | 16% | 49% | 65 | 2 |
| W6 | vs NYJ | W 26–19 | 19.616.112.6 | 8.26.65.1 | 8 | 7 | 86 | 1 | 27% | 59% | 86 | 1 |
| W7 | @ CHI | L 24–30 | 5.33.82.3 | 9.46.95.2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 13% | 65% | 23 | 0 |
| W8 | @ MIA | W 24–19 | 16.615.113.6 | 9.87.05.3 | 3 | 3 | 76 | 1 | 16% | 65% | 76 | 1 |
| W9 | vs GB | L 27–45 | 15.212.710.2 | 11.17.85.9 | 9 | 5 | 102 | 0 | 25% | 68% | 102 | 0 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | NE | 14 | 107.282.758.2WR64 | 7.75.94.2WR66 | 79 | 49 | 561 | 0 | 602 | 0 |
| 2024 | NE | 17 | 147.7114.781.7WR47 | 8.76.74.8WR61 | 87 | 66 | 621 | 3 | 637 | 3 |
| 2025 | NE | 17 | 95.880.364.8WR65 | 5.64.73.8WR86 | 46 | 31 | 447 | 3 | 468 | 3 |
| 2026 | NE | 9 | 96.480.965.4WR23 | 10.79.07.3WR38 | 46 | 31 | 434 | 4 | 434 | 4 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0038621
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report