Next Down IQ
★

Jalen Nailor Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Las Vegas Raiders

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs SEA · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM

5.84.83.7pts · range 2.0–7.9 ptspts · range 1.7–6.5 ptspts · range 1.3–5.1 pts
SIT

WR64WR62WR63 this weekWR104 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ SF, L 17–38

2.9 pts1.9 pts0.9 pts · 2 catches on 4 targets, 9 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs SEA ·

No injury report yet

Sit

Not a start for most managers: we project 4 targets, 2 receptions and 26 receiving yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

5.84.83.7

pts · WR64WR62WR63 this week

range 2.01.71.3–7.96.55.1 pts

Season average

4.03.12.3

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

2.1

Receiving yards

25.7

Receiving TDs

0.2

Matchup · defense

22.7pts allowed to WRsTough · 1st fewest

Trends to know

  • Snap share climbing: 74% last game, 55% before.
  • Points behind the work: about 4 PPR points a game against about 6 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

32.225.218.2

WR97 · 8 games

Per game

4.03.12.3

WR104WR109WR116

Touchdowns

1

WR62 of 223

Targets

28

WR68 of 223

Receptions

14

WR77 of 223

Receiving yards

122

WR100 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 8 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 2 or fewer pts35% a strong chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 2 and 8 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

6.1'24 avg5.9'25 avg5.7W11.9W22.6W30W4—W51.9W63.4W713.8W82.9W95.8W10WR1WR2WR3
5.2'24 avg5.1'25 avg4.2W11.4W22.1W30W4—W51.4W62.4W711.8W81.9W94.8W10WR1WR2WR3
4.4'24 avg4.2'25 avg2.7W10.9W21.6W30W4—W50.9W61.4W79.8W80.9W93.7W10WR1WR2WR3
2.5'24 avg3.1'25 avg5W13W23W30W4—W54W65W74W84W93.8W10WR1WR2WR3
17%W110%W210%W30%W4—W510%W612%W716%W812%W9WR1WR2WR3
1.6'24 avg1.7'25 avg3W11W21W30W4—W51W62W74W82W92.1W10WR1WR2WR3
24.4'24 avg26.1'25 avg27W19W216W30W4—W59W614W738W89W925.7W10WR1WR2WR3
0.4'24 avg0.2'25 avg0W10W20W30W4—W50W60W71W80W9WR1WR2WR3
60%W160%W257%W323%W4—W564%W675%W746%W874%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Jalen Nailor has 28 targets (WR68) and 122 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 4 PPR points per game (WR104). For Week 10 vs the Seattle Seahawks, Nailor projects for 6 PPR points (WR64), and about half the time between 2.0 and 7.9.

2026 so farNailorAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game4.015.4−74%
Targets / game3.57.9−55%
Target share10%24%−58%
Receiving yards / game1571−78%
Yards / target4.49.3−53%
Catch rate50%66%−24%
Touchdowns / game0.120.50−75%
Snap share57%76%−25%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 31st

26.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · SEA, DEN, CLE

Rest of season

Tough · 27th

30.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 9th

33.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10vs SEA22.7Tough · 32nd
W11@ DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W12@ CLE29.5Middle · 21st
W14vs LAC36.6Easy · 5th
W15vs DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W16vs TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W17@ ARI32.2Middle · 15th
W18@ KC23.5Tough · 31st

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game3.5 · 81st of 201
Target share10% · 92nd of 201
Snap share57% · 79th of 200
Red-zone targets4.0 · 58th of 201
Yards / target4.4 · 126th of 132
PPR points / game4.0 · 104th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not play74%12%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs MIAW 27–135.74.22.7———5327017%60%270
W2@ LACW 26–141.91.40.9———319010%60%90
W3@ NOW 35–272.62.11.6———3116010%57%160
W4vs KCL 27–300.00.00.05.74.83.800000%23%00
W5@ NEL 17–45Did not play—————————
W6vs BUFL 30–331.91.40.94.53.73.0419010%64%90
W7vs LAL 21–353.42.41.44.84.43.55214012%75%140
W8@ NYJW 38–3313.811.89.85.04.73.74438116%46%381
W9@ SFL 17–382.91.90.95.44.63.6429012%74%90

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2022MIN632.928.423.9WR1325.54.74.0WR9713917911791
2023MIN55.94.42.9WR1861.20.90.6WR17163290290
2024MIN17103.089.075.0WR786.15.24.4WR89422841464106
2025MIN17100.786.271.7WR615.95.14.2WR81532944444574
2026LV832.225.218.2WR974.03.12.3WR104281412211221

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0037291
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report