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Van Jefferson Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Washington Commanders

Week 10 fantasy outlook

WRWashington Commanders#12

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ NYG · Thu, Nov 12 · 8:15 PM

5.84.73.6pts · range 1.0–8.5 ptspts · range 0.8–6.9 ptspts · range 0.6–5.3 pts
SIT

WR64WR64WR64 this weekWR87 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs LA, L 13–20

16.8 pts14.3 pts11.8 pts · 5 catches on 7 targets, 58 yds, 1 TD

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ NYG ·

No injury report yet

Sit

A deep-league name this week. We project 3 targets, 2 receptions and 26 receiving yards.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

5.84.73.6

pts · WR64WR64WR64 this week

range 1.00.80.6–8.56.95.3 pts

Season average

5.64.83.9

pts per game · 3 games

Projected stats

Receptions

2.1

Receiving yards

26.2

Receiving TDs

0.2

Matchup · defense

29.9pts allowed to WRsMiddle · 13th fewest

Trends to know

  • Opportunities up: about 4 a game over the last two games, up from 0.
  • Snap share climbing: 58% last game, 8% before.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

16.814.311.8

WR120 · 3 games

Per game

5.64.83.9

WR87WR88WR81

Touchdowns

1

WR62 of 223

Targets

8

WR139 of 223

Receptions

5

WR126 of 223

Receiving yards

58

WR136 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 8 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 2 or fewer pts45% close to a coin flip

There is a 50% chance he scores between 1 and 8 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

3.7'24 avg4.4'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W816.8W95.8W10WR1WR2WR3
3'24 avg3.5'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W814.3W94.7W10WR1WR2WR3
2.3'24 avg2.6'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W811.8W93.6W10WR1WR2WR3
2.4'24 avg3.2'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W61W87W93.4W10WR1WR2WR3
—W1—W2—W3—W40%W5—W64%W821%W9WR1WR2WR3
1.4'24 avg1.8'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W85W92.1W10WR1WR2WR3
16.2'24 avg21.9'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W858W926.2W10WR1WR2WR3
0.1'24 avg0.1'25 avg—W1—W2—W3—W40W5—W60W81W9WR1WR2WR3
—W1—W2—W3—W45%W5—W612%W858%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Van Jefferson has 8 targets (WR139) and 58 receiving yards in 3 games, averaging 6 PPR points per game (WR87). For Week 10 at the New York Giants, Jefferson projects for 6 PPR points (WR64), and about half the time between 1.0 and 8.5.

2026 so farJeffersonAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game5.615.4−64%
Targets / game2.77.9−66%
Target share10%24%−61%
Receiving yards / game1971−73%
Yards / target7.29.3−22%
Catch rate62%66%−5%
Touchdowns / game0.330.50−34%
Snap share25%76%−67%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 21st

31.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · NYG, CIN, ARI

Rest of season

Easy · 6th

33.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 22nd

30.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W11vs CIN30.8Middle · 18th
W12@ ARI32.2Middle · 15th
W13@ TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W14vs HOU38.5Easy · 2nd
W15vs ATL33.6Middle · 13th
W16@ MIN25.3Tough · 30th
W17@ JAX33.2Middle · 14th
W18vs DAL34.8Easy · 8th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game2.7 · 105th of 201
Target share10% · 98th of 201
Snap share25% · 144th of 200
Red-zone targets1.0 · 113th of 201
PPR points / game5.6 · 87th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not playDid not playDid not playDid not play58%21%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ PHIL 22–24Did not play—————————
W2@ DALL 20–37Did not play—————————
W3vs SEAW 33–31Did not play—————————
W4vs INDL 13–30Did not play—————————
W5vs NYGT 27–270.00.00.03.02.41.900000%5%00
W6@ SFL 17–23Did not play—————————
W8vs PHIW 27–100.00.00.01.21.00.810004%12%00
W9vs LAL 13–2016.814.311.82.21.81.47558121%58%581

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2020LA1546.937.427.9WR1203.12.51.9WR140311922012191
2021LA17168.2143.2118.2WR369.98.47.0WR50895080268226
2022LA1178.966.954.9WR937.26.15.0WR76442436933693
2023LA/ATL1741.331.321.3WR1202.41.81.3WR140432020902130
2024PIT1763.651.639.6WR1033.73.02.3WR116402427622762
2025TEN1670.055.541.0WR894.43.52.6WR104522935013501
2026WAS316.814.311.8WR1215.64.83.9WR8785581581

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar WR projection this week

The WRs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0036415
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report