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Sam Darnold Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Seattle Seahawks

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM

13.813.813.8ptsptspts
DESPERATE START

QB17QB17QB17 this weekQB28 on the season

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ LV ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start ▲

Sam Darnold is streamer territory this week. We're looking for 30 pass attempts, 221 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 1 interception and 8 rushing yards. Darnold has more of the work than he did a few weeks ago. Darnold got about 37% of his recent points from touchdowns. Las Vegas has been generous to quarterbacks, with the 3rd-most points allowed. Grab him as a bench stash for now.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

13.813.813.8

pts · QB17QB17QB17 this week

Season average

13.213.213.2

pts per game · 7 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

220.8

Passing TDs

1.5

Rushing yards

7.9

Matchup · defense

20.4pts allowed to QBsEasy · 3rd most

Trends to know

  • Snap share climbing: 100% last game, 85% before.
Show likely range

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

About a 1-in-3 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-8 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

92.392.392.3

QB25 · 7 games

Per game

13.213.213.2

QB28QB28QB28

Passing TDs

10

QB18 of 69

Passing yards

1478

QB24 of 69

Rushing yards

72

QB25 of 69

Interceptions

9

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

18.1'24 avg13.8'25 avg0.5W1—W227.7W313.3W48.3W511W614W717.5W8—W913.8W10QB1QB2
18.1'24 avg13.8'25 avg0.5W1—W227.7W313.3W48.3W511W614W717.5W8—W913.8W10QB1QB2
18.1'24 avg13.8'25 avg0.5W1—W227.7W313.3W48.3W511W614W717.5W8—W913.8W10QB1QB2
254.1'24 avg238.1'25 avg13W1—W2379W3168W4195W5278W6257W7188W8—W9220.8W10QB1QB2
21.2'24 avg19'25 avg1W1—W231W313W418W527W620W717W8—W918.1W10QB1QB2
2.1'24 avg1.5'25 avg0W1—W24W32W41W50W61W72W8—W91.5W10QB1QB2
0.7'24 avg0.8'25 avg0W1—W22W31W42W52W61W71W8—W90.7W10QB1QB2
12.5'24 avg5.6'25 avg0W1—W25W36W45W519W617W720W8—W97.9W10QB1QB2
10%W1—W2100%W3100%W4100%W5100%W6100%W7100%W8—W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Sam Darnold has thrown for 1478 yards and 10 touchdowns in 7 games, averaging 13 fantasy points per game (QB28). For Week 10 at the Las Vegas Raiders, Darnold projects for 14 PPR points (QB17).

2026 so farDarnoldAvg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game13.220.4−35%
Pass yards / game211260−19%
Pass TD / game1.41.9−26%
Rush yards / game1017−38%
Snap share87%98%−11%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 7th

18.1 PPR allowed to QBs / game · LV, SF, DAL

Rest of season

Easy · 4th

17.5 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 13th

17.0 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ LV20.4Easy · 3rd
W12@ SF14.9Tough · 24th
W13vs DAL19.1Easy · 4th
W14vs NYG18.8Easy · 6th
W15@ PHI18.5Easy · 7th
W16vs LA15.8Tough · 23rd
W17@ CAR16.7Middle · 20th
W18@ LA15.8Tough · 23rd

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game211.1 · 21st of 54
Pass attempts / game30.1 · 21st of 46
Completion %60% · 40th of 46
Passing TDs10 · 18th of 46
Yards / attempt7.0 · 22nd of 46
Interceptions9 · 42nd of 46
Sacks taken17 · 32nd of 46
Rush yards / game10.3 · 26th of 54
PPR points / game13.2 · 28th of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not play100%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1vs NEW 13–100.50.50.5———12130000010%
W2@ ARIW 31–7Did not play——————————
W3@ WASL 31–3327.727.727.7———314537942150100%
W4vs LACW 30–2313.313.313.314.314.314.3132216821360100%
W5vs SFL 29–328.38.38.313.813.813.8182919512150100%
W6@ DENL 14–1711.011.011.014.714.714.72751278022190100%
W7vs KCW 20–314.014.014.014.914.814.82028257112170100%
W8vs CHIL 17–3417.517.517.514.515.815.81734188212200100%
W9vs ARIW 17–3Did not play——————————

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2018NYJ13168.1168.1168.1QB2712.912.912.9QB3223941428651715171351
2019NYJ13189.2189.2189.2QB2714.614.614.6QB252734413024191311622
2020NYJ12134.0134.0134.0QB3311.211.211.2QB36217364220891142172
2021CAR12157.3157.3157.3QB2813.113.113.1QB302434062527913172225
2022CAR686.386.386.3QB3514.414.414.4QB2182140114373141062
2023SF1023.423.423.4QB552.32.32.3QB562846297215151
2024MIN17308.0308.0308.0QB918.118.118.1QB936154543193512172121
2025SEA17235.4235.4235.4QB1413.813.813.8QB27323477404825148950
2026SEA792.392.392.3QB2513.213.213.2QB2812721114781090720

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0034869
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report