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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Seattle Seahawks

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM

19.716.312.9pts · range 12.8–28.0 ptspts · range 10.6–23.1 ptspts · range 8.4–18.3 pts
MUST START

WR4WR3WR3 this weekWR1 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs ARI, W 17–3

12.1 pts8.6 pts5.1 pts · 7 catches on 10 targets, 51 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ LV ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a locked-in start this week. We see 9 targets, 7 receptions, 96 receiving yards and 1 touchdown this week. Smith-Njigba is tied to a quarterback change: Lock is the one throwing now. Take the touchdowns away and about 30% of the recent points for Smith-Njigba disappear. Steady work for Smith-Njigba: 11 touches, then 10 last week. Get him in the lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

19.716.312.9

pts · WR4WR3WR3 this week

range 12.810.68.4–28.023.118.3 pts

Season average

25.821.817.9

pts per game · 9 games

Projected stats

Receptions

6.8

Receiving yards

95.6

Receiving TDs

0.6

Matchup · defense

33.6pts allowed to WRsMiddle · 12th most

Trends to know

  • Points ahead of the work: about 26 PPR points a game against about 19 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

232.1196.6161.1

WR1 · 9 games

Per game

25.821.817.9

WR1WR1WR1

Touchdowns

9

WR1 of 223

Targets

99

WR2 of 223

Receptions

71

WR1 of 223

Receiving yards

1036

WR1 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 27 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 9 or fewer pts15% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 13 and 28 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

14.9'24 avg21.2'25 avg26.2W142.5W235.4W312.6W422.8W525.4W631.3W723.8W812.1W919.7W10WR1WR2WR3
11.9'24 avg17.7'25 avg22.2W138W230.4W310.1W420.3W519.4W626.8W720.8W88.6W916.3W10WR1WR2WR3
9'24 avg14.2'25 avg18.2W133.5W225.4W37.6W417.8W513.4W622.3W717.8W85.1W912.9W10WR1WR2WR3
8.1'24 avg9.6'25 avg11W111W214W36W48W516W612W711W810W98.9W10WR1WR2WR3
46%W142%W231%W330%W430%W535%W644%W732%W836%W9WR1WR2WR3
5.9'24 avg7'25 avg8W19W210W35W45W512W69W76W87W96.8W10WR1WR2WR3
66.5'24 avg105.5'25 avg122W1155W2128W376W4102W5134W6150W7118W851W995.6W10WR1WR2WR3
0.4'24 avg0.6'25 avg1W13W22W30W41W50W61W71W80W9WR1WR2WR3
90%W167%W287%W388%W484%W592%W677%W797%W876%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 99 targets (WR2) and 1036 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 26 PPR points per game (WR1). For Week 10 at the Las Vegas Raiders, Smith-Njigba projects for 20 PPR points (WR4), and about half the time between 12.8 and 28.0.

2026 so farSmith-NjigbaAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game25.815.4+68%
Targets / game11.07.9+40%
Target share36%24%+48%
Receiving yards / game11571+63%
Yards / target10.59.3+13%
Catch rate72%66%+9%
Touchdowns / game1.000.50+98%
Snap share84%76%+11%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 17th

31.8 PPR allowed to WRs / game · LV, SF, DAL

Rest of season

Middle · 20th

31.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 13th

32.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ LV33.6Middle · 12th
W12@ SF27.1Tough · 28th
W13vs DAL34.8Easy · 8th
W14vs NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W15@ PHI37.9Easy · 4th
W16vs LA27.6Tough · 26th
W17@ CAR31.4Middle · 16th
W18@ LA27.6Tough · 26th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game11.0 · 3rd of 201
Target share36% · 2nd of 201
Snap share84% · 13th of 200
Red-zone targets13.0 · 5th of 201
Yards / target10.5 · 21st of 132
PPR points / game25.8 · 1st of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%76%36%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs NEW 13–1026.222.218.2———118122146%90%1221
W2@ ARIW 31–742.538.033.5———119155342%67%1553
W3@ WASL 31–3335.430.425.4———1410128231%87%1282
W4vs LACW 30–2312.610.17.619.015.712.46576030%88%760
W5vs SFL 29–3222.820.317.819.015.712.485102130%84%1181
W6@ DENL 14–1725.419.413.419.416.112.81612134035%92%1340
W7vs KCW 20–331.326.822.321.116.813.2129150144%77%1631
W8vs CHIL 17–3423.820.817.822.317.413.8116118132%97%1181
W9vs ARIW 17–312.18.65.121.916.713.310751036%76%510

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2023SEA17149.8118.386.8WR488.87.05.1WR58936362846284
2024SEA17253.0203.0153.0WR914.911.99.0WR201371001130611566
2025SEA17359.9300.4240.9WR221.217.714.2WR2163119179310182910
2026SEA9232.1196.6161.1WR125.821.817.9WR199711036910659

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0038543
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report