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Kenneth Walker III Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Kansas City Chiefs

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

17.215.814.4pts · range 12.2–23.8 ptspts · range 11.2–21.8 ptspts · range 10.2–19.8 pts
MUST START

RB5RB5RB5 this weekRB2 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs NYJ, W 35–12

36.3 pts34.3 pts32.3 pts · 18 carries for 102 yds, 4 catches on 4 targets, 41 yds, 3 TDs

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ ATL ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Kenneth Walker III is a locked-in start this week. The projection is 15 carries, 80 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 22 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Walker gets his points from the end zone more than from volume. The trend is pointing up, with 10, 12 and 36 points. The Atlanta defense has been easy on running backs, with the 5th-most points allowed. He should be in your lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

17.215.814.4

pts · RB5RB5RB5 this week

range 12.211.210.2–23.821.819.8 pts

Season average

24.622.921.3

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Rushing attempts

16.9

Rushing yards

80.2

Receptions

2.9

Matchup · defense

25.7pts allowed to RBsEasy · 5th most

Trends to know

  • Points ahead of the work: about 25 PPR points a game against about 19 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

196.4183.4170.4

RB2 · 8 games

Per game

24.622.921.3

RB2RB2RB2

Touchdowns

11

RB1 of 148

Carries

159

RB7 of 148

Rushing yards

872

RB2 of 148

Receptions

26

RB7 of 148

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among RBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 24 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 8 or fewer pts10% a long shot

There is a 50% chance he scores between 12 and 24 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

16.5'24 avg11.3'25 avg34.1W123.8W221.3W330.9W427.9W69.7W712.4W836.3W917.2W10RB1RB2RB3
14.4'24 avg10.4'25 avg32.6W120.8W220.3W330.4W426.9W67.7W710.4W834.3W915.8W10RB1RB2RB3
12.3'24 avg9.5'25 avg31.1W117.8W219.3W329.9W425.9W65.7W78.4W832.3W914.4W10RB1RB2RB3
13.9'24 avg13'25 avg23W124W218W322W419W614W721W818W916.9W10RB1RB2RB3
52.1'24 avg60.4'25 avg173W1117W270W3177W4128W636W769W8102W980.2W10RB1RB2RB3
4.8'24 avg2.1'25 avg6W110W22W31W43W65W75W84W93.4W10RB1RB2RB3
4.2'24 avg1.8'25 avg3W16W22W31W42W64W74W84W92.9W10RB1RB2RB3
27.2'24 avg16.6'25 avg18W161W23W32W411W621W715W841W922.1W10RB1RB2RB3
0.7'24 avg0.3'25 avg2W10W22W32W42W60W70W83W9RB1RB2RB3
79.3'24 avg77'25 avg191W1178W273W3179W4139W657W784W8143W9RB1RB2RB3
68%W182%W273%W375%W474%W674%W781%W865%W9RB1RB2RB3

Last seasons Game RB1/RB2/RB3 Season avg Next game

RB1/RB2/RB3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th RB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Kenneth Walker III has 159 carries for 872 yards and 36 targets in 8 games, averaging 25 PPR points per game (RB2). For Week 10 at the Atlanta Falcons, III projects for 17 PPR points (RB5), and about half the time between 12.2 and 23.8.

2026 so farIIIAvg starter RBAvg RBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game24.616.6+48%
Designed carries / game19.915.8+26%
Targets / game4.53.7+22%
Rush yards / game10969+57%
Yards / carry5.54.3+27%
Touchdowns / game1.380.78+77%
Snap share74%64%+16%

Average starter = the top 24 RBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 6th

24.0 PPR allowed to RBs / game · ATL, ARI, BUF

Rest of season

Easy · 11th

22.2 PPR allowed to RBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 22nd

20.8 PPR allowed to RBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to RBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ ATL25.7Easy · 5th
W11vs ARI20.9Middle · 17th
W12@ BUF25.3Easy · 9th
W13@ LA19.1Tough · 27th
W14@ CIN20.7Middle · 18th
W15vs NE18.9Tough · 29th
W16vs SF21.0Middle · 16th
W17@ LAC22.6Middle · 12th
W18vs LV26.0Easy · 3rd

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to RBs this season.

Role profile

Designed carries / game19.9 · 3rd of 130
Targets / game4.5 · 9th of 130
Snap share74% · 6th of 130
Red-zone carries34.0 · 5th of 130
Yards / carry5.5 · 5th of 92
PPR points / game24.6 · 2nd of 130

Rank among RBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%65%62%14%W1W2W3W4W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share Carry share (team's designed runs)

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs DENW 31–1034.132.631.1———2317316318168%1912
W2vs INDW 33–3023.820.817.8———24117010661082%1780
W3@ MIAW 24–1021.320.319.3———18701223173%732
W4@ LVW 30–2730.930.429.916.014.713.3221772112075%1792
W6vs LACW 22–627.926.925.917.716.114.61912823211074%1392
W7@ SEAL 3–209.77.75.718.715.514.2143605421074%570
W8@ DENL 24–2812.410.48.418.015.914.4216905415081%840
W9vs NYJW 35–1236.334.332.317.613.412.31810214441265%1433

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTotal ydsTotal TD
2022SEA15202.5189.0175.5RB1813.512.611.7RB17228105093527165012159
2023SEA15199.4184.9170.4RB1913.312.311.4RB2021990583729259111649
2024SEA11181.2158.2135.2RB2716.514.412.3RB121535737534629918728
2025SEA17191.9176.4160.9RB2211.310.49.5RB29221102753631282013095
2026KC8196.4183.4170.4RB224.622.921.3RB2159872736261724104411

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0038134
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More RB rankings · Usage report