Jake Ferguson Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Dallas CowboysNext game
Week 10 vs SF · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM
TE38TE38TE38 this weekTE35 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs SF ·No injury report yet
Only very deep leagues need him this week. We project 2 targets, 2 receptions and 16 receiving yards.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
4.43.52.5
pts · TE38TE38TE38 this week
Season average
6.15.04.0
pts per game · 9 games
Projected stats
Receptions
1.9
Receiving yards
15.5
Receiving TDs
0.2
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities down: about 1 a game over the last two games, down from 4.
- Touchdown-heavy: 4 touchdowns produced 44% of the season's PPR points.
Show likely range
Likely low
———
Likely high
———
There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
54.645.135.6
TE29 · 9 games
Per game
6.15.04.0
TE35TE31TE29
Touchdowns
4
TE7 of 135
Targets
27
TE33 of 135
Receptions
19
TE30 of 135
Receiving yards
136
TE41 of 135
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game
TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Jake Ferguson has 27 targets (TE33) and 136 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 6 PPR points per game (TE35). Usage is falling: 2 targets over the last two games, down from about 7 per two games before that. For Week 10 vs the San Francisco 49ers, Ferguson projects for 4 PPR points (TE38).
| 2026 so far | Ferguson | Avg starter TEAvg TE | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 6.1 | 13.2 | −54% |
| Targets / game | 3.0 | 6.9 | −57% |
| Target share | 8% | 21% | −61% |
| Receiving yards / game | 15 | 55 | −72% |
| Yards / target | 5.0 | 8.0 | −37% |
| Catch rate | 70% | 73% | −3% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.44 | 0.47 | −6% |
| Snap share | 56% | 80% | −29% |
Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Tough · 27th
12.2 PPR allowed to TEs / game · SF, TEN, PHI
Rest of season
Tough · 29th
12.4 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Tough · 28th
11.0 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to TEs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs SF | 13.7 | Middle · 15th |
| W11 | vs TEN | 12.6 | Middle · 21st |
| W12 | vs PHI | 10.3 | Tough · 27th |
| W13 | @ SEA | 10.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W15 | @ LA | 10.8 | Tough · 25th |
| W16 | vs JAX | 10.3 | Tough · 28th |
| W17 | vs NYG | 12.0 | Tough · 22nd |
| W18 | @ WAS | 19.0 | Easy · 3rd |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.
Role profile
Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ NYG | L 20–28 | 2.61.60.6 | ——— | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7% | 76% | 6 | 0 |
| W2 | vs WAS | W 37–20 | 20.318.316.3 | ——— | 4 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 13% | 60% | 43 | 2 |
| W3 | vs BAL | L 31–34 | 9.37.86.3 | ——— | 5 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 12% | 69% | 23 | 1 |
| W4 | @ HOU | W 34–30 | 4.12.61.1 | 7.76.14.4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9% | 71% | 11 | 0 |
| W5 | vs TB | L 16–24 | 4.93.41.9 | 7.96.24.6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 14% | 83% | 19 | 0 |
| W6 | @ GB | L 13–23 | 3.32.31.3 | 9.17.15.2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6% | 54% | 13 | 0 |
| W7 | @ PHI | W 38–21 | 0.00.00.0 | 7.05.94.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 56% | 0 | 0 |
| W8 | vs ARI | L 30–33 | 0.00.00.0 | 7.45.84.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5% | 0 | 0 |
| W9 | @ IND | W 27–23 | 10.19.18.1 | 2.41.91.4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 6% | 34% | 21 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | DAL | 16 | 48.438.929.4TE48 | 3.02.41.8TE54 | 22 | 19 | 174 | 2 | 174 | 2 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 177.1141.6106.1TE9 | 10.48.36.2TE10 | 102 | 71 | 761 | 5 | 761 | 5 |
| 2024 | DAL | 14 | 104.474.945.4TE25 | 7.55.43.2TE23 | 86 | 59 | 494 | 0 | 494 | 0 |
| 2025 | DAL | 17 | 188.1147.1106.1TE5 | 11.18.76.2TE11 | 102 | 82 | 600 | 8 | 601 | 8 |
| 2026 | DAL | 9 | 54.645.135.6TE29 | 6.15.04.0TE35 | 27 | 19 | 136 | 4 | 136 | 4 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0038041
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More TE rankings · Usage report