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Travis Kelce Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Kansas City Chiefs

Week 10 fantasy outlook

TEKansas City Chiefs#87

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

11.19.06.8pts · range 6.1–15.8 ptspts · range 4.9–12.7 ptspts · range 3.7–9.6 pts
START

TE7TE7TE7 this weekTE5 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs NYJ, W 35–12

17.3 pts15.3 pts13.3 pts · 1 carry for 1 yds, 4 catches on 6 targets, 72 yds, 1 TD

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ ATL ·

No injury report yet

Start

Travis Kelce is a low-end TE1 this week. We're projecting 6 targets, 4 receptions and 50 receiving yards. The direction is clear: up, from 8 to 12 to 17 points. Kelce held his workload, 6 targets last week against 7 the game before. He's a clear start this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

11.19.06.8

pts · TE7TE7TE7 this week

range 6.14.93.7–15.812.79.6 pts

Season average

12.410.38.3

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

4.3

Receiving yards

49.7

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

12.8pts allowed to TEsMiddle · 14th fewest

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

99.382.866.3

TE6 · 8 games

Per game

12.410.38.3

TE5TE5TE5

Touchdowns

3

TE12 of 135

Targets

48

TE10 of 135

Receptions

33

TE13 of 135

Receiving yards

482

TE4 of 135

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 15 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 5 or fewer pts20% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 16 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

12.2'24 avg11.4'25 avg10.1W125.1W213.9W33.5W49.3W68.4W711.7W817.3W911.1W10TE1TE2
9.2'24 avg9.1'25 avg8.6W120.6W212.9W32.5W47.3W66.4W79.2W815.3W99W10TE1TE2
6.2'24 avg6.9'25 avg7.1W116.1W211.9W31.5W45.3W64.4W76.7W813.3W96.8W10TE1TE2
8.3'24 avg6.4'25 avg5W111W22W34W45W68W77W86W95.8W10TE1TE2
20%W126%W29%W315%W417%W625%W718%W821%W9TE1TE2
6.1'24 avg4.5'25 avg3W19W22W32W44W64W75W84W94.3W10TE1TE2
51.4'24 avg50.1'25 avg71W1101W259W315W453W644W767W872W949.7W10TE1TE2
0.2'24 avg0.3'25 avg0W11W21W30W40W60W70W81W9TE1TE2
71%W185%W279%W383%W466%W683%W778%W870%W9TE1TE2

Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game

TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Travis Kelce has 48 targets (TE10) and 482 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 12 PPR points per game (TE5). For Week 10 at the Atlanta Falcons, Kelce projects for 11 PPR points (TE7), and about half the time between 6.1 and 15.8.

2026 so farKelceAvg starter TEAvg TEDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game12.413.2−6%
Targets / game6.06.9−13%
Target share20%21%−8%
Receiving yards / game6055+11%
Yards / target10.08.0+25%
Catch rate69%73%−5%
Touchdowns / game0.380.47−20%
Snap share77%80%−4%

Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 19th

13.8 PPR allowed to TEs / game · ATL, ARI, BUF

Rest of season

Middle · 19th

13.3 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 27th

11.4 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to TEs / gameDefense rank
W10@ ATL12.8Middle · 19th
W11vs ARI15.3Easy · 9th
W12@ BUF13.2Middle · 17th
W13@ LA10.8Tough · 25th
W14@ CIN15.9Easy · 8th
W15vs NE10.8Tough · 26th
W16vs SF13.7Middle · 15th
W17@ LAC9.7Tough · 30th
W18vs LV17.3Easy · 5th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game6.0 · 8th of 131
Target share20% · 8th of 131
Snap share77% · 12th of 131
Red-zone targets4.0 · 28th of 131
Yards / target10.0 · 6th of 54
PPR points / game12.4 · 5th of 131

Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%70%21%W1W2W3W4W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs DENW 31–1010.18.67.1———5371020%71%710
W2vs INDW 33–3025.120.616.1———119101126%85%1011
W3@ MIAW 24–1013.912.911.9———225919%79%591
W4@ LVW 30–273.52.51.512.410.07.64215015%83%150
W6vs LACW 22–69.37.35.311.59.37.05453017%66%530
W7@ SEAL 3–208.46.44.411.58.86.78444025%83%440
W8@ DENL 24–2811.79.26.79.78.36.37567018%78%670
W9vs NYJW 35–1217.315.313.311.08.36.36472021%70%731

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2016KC16223.0180.5138.0TE113.911.38.6TE2117851125411204
2017KC15233.5192.0150.5TE115.612.810.0TE2122831038810458
2018KC16294.6243.1191.6TE118.415.212.0TE1150103133610133610
2019KC16254.3205.8157.3TE115.912.99.8TE1136971229512336
2020KC15312.8260.3207.8TE120.917.413.9TE1145105141611141611
2021KC16262.8216.8170.8TE216.413.610.7TE21349211259112810
2022KC17316.3261.3206.3TE118.615.412.1TE1152110133812134312
2023KC15219.4172.9126.4TE314.611.58.4TE11219398459845
2024KC16195.4146.998.4TE512.29.26.2TE71339782338243
2025KC17193.2155.2117.2TE311.49.16.9TE91087685158525
2026KC899.382.866.3TE612.410.38.3TE5483348224833

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar TE projection this week

The TEs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0030506
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More TE rankings · Usage report