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Michael Wilson Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Arizona Cardinals

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs LA · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM

10.88.76.6pts · range 6.3–15.0 ptspts · range 5.1–12.1 ptspts · range 3.9–9.3 pts
START

WR27WR27WR29 this weekWR22 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ SEA, L 3–17

12.0 pts9.0 pts6.0 pts · 6 catches on 7 targets, 60 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs LA ·

No injury report yet

Start

Michael Wilson is a high-end WR3 this week. We're projecting 7 targets, 4 receptions and 49 receiving yards. The change at quarterback to Minshew is what moves Wilson. The role is new, with 1 game so far. The load shrank for Wilson: 16 touches became 7 last week, since Minshew is now the quarterback. The Rams are a hard spot for receivers: the 7th-fewest points allowed. Get him in the lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

10.88.76.6

pts · WR27WR27WR29 this week

range 6.35.13.9–15.012.19.3 pts

Season average

13.410.67.7

pts per game · 9 games

Projected stats

Receptions

4.1

Receiving yards

48.7

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

27.6pts allowed to WRsTough · 7th fewest

Trends to know

  • Points behind the work: about 13 PPR points a game against about 17 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

120.795.269.7

WR15 · 9 games

Per game

13.410.67.7

WR22WR26WR33

Touchdowns

2

WR32 of 223

Targets

88

WR5 of 223

Receptions

51

WR9 of 223

Receiving yards

546

WR15 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 15 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 5 or fewer pts20% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 15 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

7.8'24 avg13'25 avg10.6W13.8W225.9W316.5W47.3W57.2W610.6W726.8W812W910.8W10WR1WR2WR3
6.3'24 avg10.7'25 avg8.1W12.8W220.4W313W45.3W55.2W68.6W722.8W89W98.7W10WR1WR2WR3
4.8'24 avg8.4'25 avg5.6W11.8W214.9W39.5W43.3W53.2W66.6W718.8W86W96.6W10WR1WR2WR3
4.4'24 avg7.4'25 avg7W17W217W313W47W57W68W715W87W97.4W10WR1WR2WR3
19%W127%W234%W337%W415%W521%W618%W737%W824%W9WR1WR2WR3
2.9'24 avg4.6'25 avg5W12W211W37W44W54W64W78W86W94.1W10WR1WR2WR3
34.2'24 avg59.2'25 avg56W118W289W395W430W532W655W7111W860W948.7W10WR1WR2WR3
0.2'24 avg0.4'25 avg0W10W21W30W40W50W60W71W80W9WR1WR2WR3
85%W194%W293%W394%W484%W592%W690%W779%W883%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Michael Wilson has 88 targets (WR5) and 546 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 13 PPR points per game (WR22). For Week 10 vs the Los Angeles Rams, Wilson projects for 11 PPR points (WR27), and about half the time between 6.3 and 15.0.

2026 so farWilsonAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game13.415.4−13%
Targets / game9.87.9+25%
Target share26%24%+6%
Receiving yards / game6171−14%
Yards / target6.29.3−33%
Catch rate58%66%−12%
Touchdowns / game0.220.50−56%
Snap share88%76%+16%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 27th

28.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · LA, KC, WAS

Rest of season

Tough · 22nd

30.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 20th

31.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10vs LA27.6Tough · 26th
W11@ KC23.5Tough · 31st
W12vs WAS34.7Easy · 9th
W13vs PHI37.9Easy · 4th
W15vs NYJ28.1Tough · 25th
W16@ NO31.2Middle · 17th
W17vs LV33.6Middle · 12th
W18vs SF27.1Tough · 28th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game9.8 · 8th of 201
Target share26% · 14th of 201
Snap share88% · 7th of 200
Red-zone targets20.0 · 1st of 201
Yards / target6.2 · 98th of 132
PPR points / game13.4 · 22nd of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%83%24%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ LACW 26–1410.68.15.6———7556019%85%560
W2vs SEAL 7–313.82.81.8———7218027%94%180
W3@ SFL 30–3625.920.414.9———171189134%93%891
W4@ NYGL 24–3616.513.09.511.99.77.513795037%94%950
W5vs DETL 21–457.35.33.312.610.38.07430015%84%300
W6@ LAW 18–167.25.23.211.59.37.17432021%92%320
W7vs DENL 16–3010.68.66.612.79.97.68455018%90%660
W8@ DALW 33–3026.822.818.811.49.27.0158111137%79%1281
W9@ SEAL 3–1712.09.06.011.510.78.27660024%83%600

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2023ARI13114.595.576.5WR608.87.35.9WR59583856535653
2024ARI16124.5101.077.5WR617.86.34.8WR72714754845554
2025ARI17220.6181.6142.6WR1013.010.78.4WR20126781006710067
2026ARI9120.795.269.7WR1513.410.67.7WR22885154625742

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0038559
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report