Next Down IQ
★

Stefon Diggs Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Washington Commanders

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ NYG · Thu, Nov 12 · 8:15 PM

11.18.96.8pts · range 5.4–15.3 ptspts · range 4.4–12.3 ptspts · range 3.3–9.4 pts
START

WR25WR25WR25 this weekWR26 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs LA, L 13–20

8.1 pts6.6 pts5.1 pts · 3 catches on 5 targets, 51 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ NYG ·

No injury report yet

Start

Stefon Diggs is a borderline WR2 / WR3 this week. We're looking for 6 targets, 4 receptions and 49 receiving yards. The quarterback matters here: Diggs is playing with Daniels. Touchdowns account for about 40% of the recent points for Diggs. Last week was a repeat for Diggs, with 5 touches after 6. He belongs in your lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

11.18.96.8

pts · WR25WR25WR25 this week

range 5.44.43.3–15.312.39.4 pts

Season average

12.910.88.6

pts per game · 7 games

Projected stats

Receptions

4.3

Receiving yards

48.6

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

29.9pts allowed to WRsMiddle · 13th fewest

Trends to know

  • Opportunities down: about 6 a game over the last two games, down from 8.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

90.375.360.3

WR26 · 7 games

Per game

12.910.88.6

WR26WR24WR25

Touchdowns

5

WR6 of 223

Targets

49

WR33 of 223

Receptions

30

WR39 of 223

Receiving yards

303

WR47 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 15 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 5 or fewer pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4

There is a 50% chance he scores between 5 and 15 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

15.2'24 avg12.4'25 avg15.5W121.7W27.3W38.5W4—W516.4W612.8W88.1W911.1W10WR1WR2WR3
12.3'24 avg9.9'25 avg13.5W119.2W25.3W36W4—W513.4W611.3W86.6W98.9W10WR1WR2WR3
9.4'24 avg7.4'25 avg11.5W116.7W23.3W33.5W4—W510.4W69.8W85.1W96.8W10WR1WR2WR3
8'24 avg6'25 avg9W16W27W39W4—W57W66W85W96.4W10WR1WR2WR3
31%W118%W223%W325%W4—W520%W622%W815%W9WR1WR2WR3
5.9'24 avg5'25 avg4W15W24W35W4—W56W63W83W94.3W10WR1WR2WR3
62'24 avg59.6'25 avg55W147W233W335W4—W544W638W851W948.6W10WR1WR2WR3
0.5'24 avg0.2'25 avg1W12W20W30W4—W51W61W80W9WR1WR2WR3
63%W151%W259%W366%W4—W561%W665%W861%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Stefon Diggs has 49 targets (WR33) and 303 receiving yards in 7 games, averaging 13 PPR points per game (WR26). For Week 10 at the New York Giants, Diggs projects for 11 PPR points (WR25), and about half the time between 5.4 and 15.3.

2026 so farDiggsAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game12.915.4−16%
Targets / game7.07.9−11%
Target share22%24%−10%
Receiving yards / game4371−39%
Yards / target6.29.3−33%
Catch rate61%66%−7%
Touchdowns / game0.710.50+42%
Snap share61%76%−20%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 21st

31.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · NYG, CIN, ARI

Rest of season

Easy · 6th

33.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 22nd

30.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W11vs CIN30.8Middle · 18th
W12@ ARI32.2Middle · 15th
W13@ TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W14vs HOU38.5Easy · 2nd
W15vs ATL33.6Middle · 13th
W16@ MIN25.3Tough · 30th
W17@ JAX33.2Middle · 14th
W18vs DAL34.8Easy · 8th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game7.0 · 25th of 201
Target share22% · 29th of 201
Snap share61% · 66th of 200
Red-zone targets6.0 · 35th of 201
Yards / target6.2 · 99th of 132
PPR points / game12.9 · 26th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not play61%15%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1@ PHIL 22–2415.513.511.5———9455131%63%551
W2@ DALL 20–3721.719.216.7———6547218%51%472
W3vs SEAW 33–317.35.33.3———7433023%59%330
W4vs INDL 13–308.56.03.510.18.26.39535025%66%350
W5vs NYGT 27–27Did not play—————————
W6@ SFL 17–2316.413.410.47.05.64.37644120%61%441
W8vs PHIW 27–1012.811.39.812.09.27.06338122%65%381
W9vs LAL 13–208.16.65.112.310.37.85351015%61%510

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2016MIN13193.3151.3109.3WR3114.911.68.4WR141128490339133
2017MIN14198.2166.2134.2WR1914.211.99.6WR13956484988628
2018MIN15266.3215.3164.3WR1017.814.411.0WR111491021021910839
2019MIN15212.1180.6149.1WR2414.112.09.9WR2594631130611916
2020BUF16328.6265.1201.6WR320.516.612.6WR31661271535815368
2021BUF17285.5234.0182.5WR716.813.810.7WR10164103122510122510
2022BUF16316.6262.6208.6WR419.816.413.0WR5154108142911142611
2023BUF17273.8220.3166.8WR916.113.09.8WR131601071183811888
2024HOU8121.998.474.9WR6415.212.39.4WR18644749635044
2025NE17210.3167.8125.3WR1712.49.97.4WR25102851013410134
2026WAS790.375.360.3WR2612.910.88.6WR26493030353035

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0031588
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report