Nico Collins Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Houston TexansNext game
Week 10 @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR15WR15WR15 this weekWR15 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ CLE ·No injury report yet
Nico Collins is a high-end WR2 this week. We expect 7 targets, 5 receptions and 64 receiving yards. The scoring for Collins depends on finding the end zone. Boom or bust lately, with 11, 3 and 16 points. The role held: 4 touches last week, 5 the game before. The recent points for Collins lean on touchdowns, about 26% of them. His usage is down, about 4 targets a game over the last two after 8, but that is still a starter's share, so the call holds. Get him in the lineup this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
13.210.98.7
pts · WR15WR15WR15 this week
range 8.26.85.4–16.613.810.9 pts
Season average
15.312.910.6
pts per game · 6 games
Projected stats
Receptions
4.5
Receiving yards
64.3
Receiving TDs
0.4
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities down: about 4 a game over the last two games, down from 8.
- Points ahead of the work: about 15 PPR points a game against about 11 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
91.677.663.6
WR25 · 6 games
Per game
15.312.910.6
WR15WR13WR12
Touchdowns
4
WR12 of 223
Targets
39
WR47 of 223
Receptions
28
WR44 of 223
Receiving yards
384
WR32 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 8 and 17 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Nico Collins has 39 targets (WR47) and 384 receiving yards in 6 games, averaging 15 PPR points per game (WR15). Usage is falling: 9 targets over the last two games, down from about 15 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Cleveland Browns, Collins projects for 13 PPR points (WR15), and about half the time between 8.2 and 16.6.
| 2026 so far | Collins | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 15.3 | 15.4 | −1% |
| Targets / game | 6.5 | 7.9 | −17% |
| Target share | 20% | 24% | −16% |
| Receiving yards / game | 64 | 71 | −10% |
| Yards / target | 9.8 | 9.3 | +6% |
| Catch rate | 72% | 66% | +9% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.67 | 0.50 | +32% |
| Snap share | 71% | 76% | −7% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Tough · 22nd
30.9 PPR allowed to WRs / game · CLE, IND, BAL
Rest of season
Easy · 3rd
33.8 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 2nd
35.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ CLE | 29.5 | Middle · 21st |
| W11 | vs IND | 29.3 | Tough · 23rd |
| W12 | vs BAL | 33.9 | Easy · 11th |
| W13 | @ PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W14 | @ WAS | 34.7 | Easy · 9th |
| W15 | vs JAX | 33.2 | Middle · 14th |
| W16 | @ PHI | 37.9 | Easy · 4th |
| W17 | @ GB | 35.7 | Easy · 6th |
| W18 | vs TEN | 40.7 | Easy · 1st |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs BUF | L 31–36 | 21.217.714.2 | ——— | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 27% | 72% | 82 | 1 |
| W2 | vs CIN | L 6–20 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W3 | @ IND | L 17–19 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W4 | vs DAL | L 30–34 | 30.827.323.8 | 14.311.89.3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 | 31% | 69% | 118 | 2 |
| W5 | @ TEN | W 26–3 | 10.68.15.6 | 13.611.28.9 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 21% | 71% | 56 | 0 |
| W6 | @ JAX | W 34–31 | 10.99.47.9 | 13.511.28.8 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 16% | 73% | 79 | 0 |
| W7 | vs NYG | L 21–27 | 2.61.60.6 | 14.210.98.6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 18% | 67% | 6 | 0 |
| W9 | @ LAC | W 44–22 | 15.513.511.5 | 13.611.28.9 | 4 | 4 | 55 | 1 | 11% | 73% | 55 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HOU | 14 | 83.667.150.6WR87 | 6.04.83.6WR95 | 60 | 33 | 446 | 1 | 446 | 1 |
| 2022 | HOU | 10 | 97.178.660.1WR77 | 9.77.96.0WR51 | 66 | 37 | 481 | 2 | 481 | 2 |
| 2023 | HOU | 15 | 260.4220.4180.4WR12 | 17.414.712.0WR7 | 109 | 80 | 1297 | 8 | 1304 | 8 |
| 2024 | HOU | 12 | 210.6176.6142.6WR23 | 17.614.711.9WR9 | 99 | 68 | 1006 | 7 | 1006 | 7 |
| 2025 | HOU | 15 | 226.2190.7155.2WR8 | 15.112.710.3WR10 | 120 | 71 | 1117 | 6 | 1132 | 7 |
| 2026 | HOU | 6 | 91.677.663.6WR25 | 15.312.910.6WR15 | 39 | 28 | 384 | 4 | 396 | 4 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0036554
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report