A.J. Brown Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ New England PatriotsNext game
Week 10 @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM
WR24WR22WR22 this weekWR81 on the season
Last game
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ DET ·No injury report yet
A.J. Brown is a borderline WR2 / WR3 this week. That adds up to 7 targets, 4 receptions and 55 receiving yards in our projection. He gives you 6 to 8 points: a dependable range. Detroit has allowed the 7th-most points to receivers. He belongs in your lineup if he plays: check before kickoff.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
11.39.47.4
pts · WR24WR22WR22 this week
range 4.94.13.2–15.612.910.1 pts
Season average
6.44.93.4
pts per game · 3 games
Projected stats
Receptions
4.0
Receiving yards
54.6
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities up: about 8 a game over the last two games, up from 4.
- Snap share climbing: 91% last game, 60% before.
- Points behind the work: about 6 PPR points a game against about 11 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
19.114.610.1
WR113 · 3 games
Per game
6.44.93.4
WR81WR85WR92
Touchdowns
0
WR112 of 223
Targets
20
WR93 of 223
Receptions
9
WR102 of 223
Receiving yards
101
WR108 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 5 and 16 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
A.J. Brown has 20 targets (WR93) and 101 receiving yards in 3 games, averaging 6 PPR points per game (WR81). For Week 10 at the Detroit Lions, Brown projects for 11 PPR points (WR24), and about half the time between 4.9 and 15.6.
| 2026 so far | Brown | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 6.4 | 15.4 | −59% |
| Targets / game | 6.7 | 7.9 | −15% |
| Target share | 22% | 24% | −9% |
| Receiving yards / game | 34 | 71 | −52% |
| Yards / target | 5.0 | 9.3 | −46% |
| Catch rate | 45% | 66% | −32% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.00 | 0.50 | −100% |
| Snap share | 70% | 76% | −8% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Easy · 3rd
35.4 PPR allowed to WRs / game · DET, LAC, BUF
Rest of season
Tough · 30th
29.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Tough · 31st
26.4 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ DET | 35.2 | Easy · 7th |
| W12 | @ LAC | 36.6 | Easy · 5th |
| W13 | vs BUF | 34.3 | Easy · 10th |
| W14 | vs MIN | 25.3 | Tough · 30th |
| W15 | @ KC | 23.5 | Tough · 31st |
| W16 | @ NYJ | 28.1 | Tough · 25th |
| W17 | vs DEN | 27.6 | Tough · 27th |
| W18 | vs MIA | 25.6 | Tough · 29th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ SEA | L 10–13 | 5.64.12.6 | ——— | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 13% | 44% | 26 | 0 |
| W2 | vs PIT | W 20–3 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W3 | @ JAX | L 6–35 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W4 | @ BUF | W 29–26 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W5 | vs LV | W 45–17 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W6 | vs NYJ | W 26–19 | 5.74.22.7 | 7.36.04.7 | 10 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 33% | 76% | 27 | 0 |
| W7 | @ CHI | L 24–30 | 7.86.34.8 | 10.910.17.9 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 20% | 91% | 48 | 0 |
| W8 | @ MIA | W 24–19 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W9 | vs GB | L 27–45 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | TEN | 16 | 217.1191.1165.1WR21 | 13.611.910.3WR30 | 84 | 52 | 1051 | 8 | 1111 | 9 |
| 2020 | TEN | 14 | 247.5212.5177.5WR12 | 17.715.212.7WR6 | 106 | 70 | 1075 | 11 | 1075 | 11 |
| 2021 | TEN | 13 | 180.9149.4117.9WR32 | 13.911.59.1WR28 | 105 | 63 | 869 | 5 | 879 | 5 |
| 2022 | PHI | 17 | 299.6255.6211.6WR6 | 17.615.012.4WR8 | 145 | 88 | 1496 | 11 | 1496 | 11 |
| 2023 | PHI | 17 | 289.6236.6183.6WR5 | 17.013.910.8WR8 | 158 | 106 | 1456 | 7 | 1456 | 7 |
| 2024 | PHI | 13 | 216.9183.4149.9WR20 | 16.714.111.5WR13 | 97 | 67 | 1079 | 7 | 1079 | 7 |
| 2025 | PHI | 15 | 220.3181.3142.3WR11 | 14.712.19.5WR11 | 121 | 78 | 1003 | 7 | 1003 | 7 |
| 2026 | NE | 3 | 19.114.610.1WR113 | 6.44.93.4WR81 | 20 | 9 | 101 | 0 | 101 | 0 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0035676
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report