Zay Flowers Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Baltimore RavensNext game
Week 10 vs LAC · Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM
WR22WR22WR22 this weekWR13 on the season
Last game
5.3 pts3.8 pts2.3 pts · 3 carries for 17 yds, 3 catches on 6 targets, 6 yds
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs LAC ·No injury report yet
Zay Flowers is a low-end WR2 this week. In the projection he gets 6 targets, 4 receptions and 58 receiving yards. Fagnano is throwing the ball now, and Flowers is the player whose targets change with him. He's 2 games into this role, which is not enough to call. The load grew for Flowers: 5 touches became 9 last week, since Fagnano is now the quarterback. Look at the opponent: the Chargers have allowed the 5th-most points to receivers this season. Yes, start him this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
11.49.47.4
pts · WR22WR22WR22 this week
range 6.25.14.1–18.215.011.9 pts
Season average
15.913.210.6
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
4.0
Receiving yards
57.7
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities down: about 7 a game over the last two games, down from 9.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
127.5106.084.5
WR12 · 8 games
Per game
15.913.210.6
WR13WR12WR13
Touchdowns
3
WR19 of 223
Targets
64
WR15 of 223
Receptions
43
WR15 of 223
Receiving yards
614
WR14 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 18 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Zay Flowers has 64 targets (WR15) and 614 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 16 PPR points per game (WR13). Usage is falling: 11 targets over the last two games, down from about 18 per two games before that. For Week 10 vs the Los Angeles Chargers, Flowers projects for 11 PPR points (WR22), and about half the time between 6.2 and 18.2.
| 2026 so far | Flowers | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 15.9 | 15.4 | +4% |
| Targets / game | 8.0 | 7.9 | +2% |
| Target share | 30% | 24% | +25% |
| Receiving yards / game | 77 | 71 | +9% |
| Yards / target | 9.6 | 9.3 | +3% |
| Catch rate | 67% | 66% | +2% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.38 | 0.50 | −26% |
| Snap share | 67% | 76% | −12% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Easy · 2nd
35.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · LAC, CAR, HOU
Rest of season
Middle · 15th
31.8 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Tough · 25th
29.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs LAC | 36.6 | Easy · 5th |
| W11 | @ CAR | 31.4 | Middle · 16th |
| W12 | @ HOU | 38.5 | Easy · 2nd |
| W14 | vs TB | 30.0 | Middle · 19th |
| W15 | @ PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W16 | vs CLE | 29.5 | Middle · 21st |
| W17 | @ CIN | 30.8 | Middle · 18th |
| W18 | vs PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ IND | W 41–23 | 26.023.521.0 | ——— | 6 | 5 | 150 | 1 | 25% | 29% | 150 | 1 |
| W2 | vs NO | L 17–24 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W3 | @ DAL | W 34–31 | 15.412.910.4 | ——— | 6 | 5 | 84 | 0 | 30% | 33% | 104 | 0 |
| W4 | vs TEN | W 24–18 | 25.821.817.8 | 11.19.17.2 | 10 | 8 | 118 | 1 | 34% | 73% | 118 | 1 |
| W5 | @ ATL | W 30–23 | 14.610.66.6 | 14.011.59.0 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 29% | 82% | 66 | 0 |
| W6 | @ CLE | L 10–13 | 12.79.76.7 | 11.89.77.5 | 11 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 35% | 88% | 67 | 0 |
| W7 | vs CIN | L 13–35 | 27.723.719.7 | 16.213.110.2 | 11 | 8 | 137 | 1 | 32% | 85% | 137 | 1 |
| W8 | @ BUF | L 10–36 | 0.00.00.0 | 17.312.79.9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19% | 82% | 0 | 0 |
| W9 | vs JAX | L 10–33 | 5.33.82.3 | 12.410.18.0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 38% | 66% | 23 | 0 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | BAL | 16 | 206.4167.9129.4WR30 | 12.910.58.1WR31 | 108 | 77 | 858 | 5 | 914 | 6 |
| 2024 | BAL | 17 | 209.5172.5135.5WR25 | 12.310.18.0WR35 | 116 | 74 | 1059 | 4 | 1115 | 4 |
| 2025 | BAL | 17 | 243.3200.3157.3WR7 | 14.311.89.3WR13 | 118 | 86 | 1211 | 5 | 1273 | 6 |
| 2026 | BAL | 8 | 127.5106.084.5WR12 | 15.913.210.6WR13 | 64 | 43 | 614 | 3 | 665 | 3 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0039064
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report