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Aaron Jones Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Minnesota Vikings

Week 10 fantasy outlook

RBMinnesota Vikings#33

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

7.36.65.8pts · range 3.8–10.4 ptspts · range 3.5–9.4 ptspts · range 3.1–8.4 pts
DESPERATE START

RB34RB37RB39 this weekRB31 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs BUF, L 6–23

3.1 pts2.6 pts2.1 pts · 5 carries for 16 yds, 1 catch on 1 target, 5 yds

CompareGames

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ GB ·

No injury report yet

Desperate start ▲

Aaron Jones is a low-end RB3 this week. Our projection for the game: 9 carries, 35 rushing yards, 1 reception and 10 receiving yards. You can count on 3 to 6 points from him. Steady work for Jones: 7 touches, then 6 last week. Green Bay has allowed the 6th-most points to running backs. He's a flex option this week, not a lock.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

7.36.65.8

pts · RB34RB37RB39 this week

range 3.83.53.1–10.49.48.4 pts

Season average

10.49.48.4

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Rushing attempts

8.3

Rushing yards

34.7

Receptions

1.4

Matchup · defense

25.6pts allowed to RBsEasy · 6th most

Trends to know

  • Opportunities down: about 6 a game over the last two games, down from 21.
  • Points behind the work: about 10 PPR points a game against about 13 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

82.974.966.9

RB23 · 8 games

Per game

10.49.48.4

RB31RB29RB29

Touchdowns

2

RB37 of 148

Carries

115

RB17 of 148

Rushing yards

474

RB16 of 148

Receptions

16

RB24 of 148

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among RBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 10 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 3 or fewer pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3

There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 10 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

14.2'24 avg9.9'25 avg10W110.5W214.2W316.8W418.7W53.6W76W83.1W97.3W10RB1RB2RB3
12.7'24 avg8.7'25 avg10W110.5W211.7W314.8W417.2W53.1W75W82.6W96.6W10RB1RB2RB3
11.2'24 avg7.6'25 avg10W110.5W29.2W312.8W415.7W52.6W74W82.1W95.8W10RB1RB2RB3
15'24 avg11'25 avg12W123W217W320W425W58W75W85W98.3W10RB1RB2RB3
66.9'24 avg45.7'25 avg40W1105W258W394W4113W526W722W816W934.7W10RB1RB2RB3
3.6'24 avg3.4'25 avg1W10W26W38W43W51W72W81W92.1W10RB1RB2RB3
3'24 avg2.3'25 avg0W10W25W34W43W51W72W81W91.4W10RB1RB2RB3
24'24 avg16.6'25 avg0W10W234W334W44W50W718W85W99.8W10RB1RB2RB3
0.4'24 avg0.2'25 avg1W10W20W30W41W50W70W80W9RB1RB2RB3
90.9'24 avg62.2'25 avg40W1105W292W3128W4117W526W740W821W9RB1RB2RB3
46%W181%W280%W373%W487%W525%W740%W8—W9RB1RB2RB3

Last seasons Game RB1/RB2/RB3 Season avg Next game

RB1/RB2/RB3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th RB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Aaron Jones has 115 carries for 474 yards and 22 targets in 8 games, averaging 10 PPR points per game (RB31). Usage is falling: 10 carries over the last two games, down from about 35 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Green Bay Packers, Jones projects for 7 PPR points (RB34), and about half the time between 3.8 and 10.4.

2026 so farJonesAvg starter RBAvg RBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game10.416.6−38%
Designed carries / game14.415.8−9%
Targets / game2.83.7−25%
Rush yards / game5969−15%
Yards / carry4.14.3−5%
Touchdowns / game0.250.78−68%
Snap share62%64%−3%

Average starter = the top 24 RBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 4th

24.1 PPR allowed to RBs / game · GB, SF, ATL

Rest of season

Easy · 8th

22.4 PPR allowed to RBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 23rd

20.8 PPR allowed to RBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to RBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ GB25.6Easy · 6th
W11@ SF21.0Middle · 16th
W12vs ATL25.7Easy · 5th
W13vs CAR27.6Easy · 2nd
W14@ NE18.9Tough · 29th
W15vs DET17.8Tough · 31st
W16vs WAS19.9Tough · 23rd
W17@ NYJ24.7Easy · 10th
W18vs CHI20.2Middle · 20th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to RBs this season.

Role profile

Designed carries / game14.4 · 18th of 130
Targets / game2.8 · 34th of 130
Snap share62% · 19th of 130
Red-zone carries11.0 · 37th of 130
Yards / carry4.1 · 38th of 92
PPR points / game10.4 · 31st of 130

Rank among RBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%42%40%3%W1W2W3W4W5W7W8W9

Snap share Target share Carry share (team's designed runs)

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs GBW 39–2210.010.010.0———12401100046%401
W2@ CHIW 9–310.510.510.5———231050000081%1050
W3@ TBW 23–1614.211.79.2———175806534080%920
W4vs MIAW 15–1016.814.812.813.112.010.9209408434073%1280
W5@ NOW 23–1318.717.215.713.312.211.0251131334087%1171
W7vs INDW 16–103.63.12.614.212.811.58260110025%260
W8@ DETL 15–196.05.04.010.69.28.252202218040%400
W9vs BUFL 6–233.12.62.110.19.38.351601150—210

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gRush attRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDTotal ydsTotal TD
2017GB1080.075.571.0RB618.07.57.1RB508144841892204704
2018GB12171.4158.4145.4RB2414.313.212.1RB171337288352620619349
2019GB16314.8290.3265.8RB219.718.116.6RB323610841668494743155819
2020GB14258.9235.4211.9RB518.516.815.1RB42011104963473552145911
2021GB15229.0203.0177.0RB1115.313.511.8RB13171799465523916119010
2022GB17248.6219.1189.6RB914.612.911.2RB12213112127259395515167
2023GB11134.9119.9104.9RB3712.310.99.5RB261426562433023318893
2024MIN17241.6216.1190.6RB1514.212.711.2RB20255113856251408215467
2025MIN12118.7104.790.7RB419.98.77.6RB321325482412819917473
2026MIN882.974.966.9RB2310.49.48.4RB31115474222169505692

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

Related players

Teammates who share the ball

Most targets and carries on the team this season.

Similar RB projection this week

The RBs ranked just above and below in projected points.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0033293
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More RB rankings · Usage report