Justin Jefferson Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Minnesota VikingsNext game
Week 10 @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR20WR20WR20 this weekWR20 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ GB ·No injury report yet
Justin Jefferson is a low-end WR2 this week. We're projecting 8 targets, 4 receptions and 59 receiving yards. Wentz is the quarterback now, and that changes the picture for Jefferson. The role held: 11 touches last week, 9 the game before. Green Bay has been generous to receivers, with the 6th-most points allowed. He's an easy start this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
12.110.07.8
pts · WR20WR20WR20 this week
range 6.25.14.0–16.313.310.4 pts
Season average
13.611.49.2
pts per game · 7 games
Projected stats
Receptions
4.3
Receiving yards
58.6
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities up: about 10 a game over the last two games, up from 6.
- Snap share climbing: 96% last game, 77% before.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
95.279.764.2
WR24 · 7 games
Per game
13.611.49.2
WR20WR22WR21
Touchdowns
4
WR12 of 223
Targets
51
WR29 of 223
Receptions
31
WR34 of 223
Receiving yards
393
WR30 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 16 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Justin Jefferson has 51 targets (WR29) and 393 receiving yards in 7 games, averaging 14 PPR points per game (WR20). Usage is rising: 20 targets over the last two games, up from about 12 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Green Bay Packers, Jefferson projects for 12 PPR points (WR20), and about half the time between 6.2 and 16.3.
| 2026 so far | Jefferson | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 13.6 | 15.4 | −11% |
| Targets / game | 7.3 | 7.9 | −7% |
| Target share | 29% | 24% | +18% |
| Receiving yards / game | 56 | 71 | −21% |
| Yards / target | 7.7 | 9.3 | −17% |
| Catch rate | 61% | 66% | −8% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.57 | 0.50 | +13% |
| Snap share | 80% | 76% | +6% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 14th
32.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · GB, SF, ATL
Rest of season
Easy · 9th
32.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 11th
32.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ GB | 35.7 | Easy · 6th |
| W11 | @ SF | 27.1 | Tough · 28th |
| W12 | vs ATL | 33.6 | Middle · 13th |
| W13 | vs CAR | 31.4 | Middle · 16th |
| W14 | @ NE | 38.4 | Easy · 3rd |
| W15 | vs DET | 35.2 | Easy · 7th |
| W16 | vs WAS | 34.7 | Easy · 9th |
| W17 | @ NYJ | 28.1 | Tough · 25th |
| W18 | vs CHI | 29.4 | Tough · 22nd |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs GB | W 39–22 | 31.227.223.2 | ——— | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 | 39% | 92% | 92 | 2 |
| W2 | @ CHI | W 9–3 | 8.57.05.5 | ——— | 6 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 32% | 100% | 55 | 0 |
| W3 | @ TB | W 23–16 | 5.24.23.2 | ——— | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 8% | 12% | 32 | 0 |
| W4 | vs MIA | W 15–10 | Did not play | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W5 | @ NO | W 23–13 | 18.815.812.8 | 12.510.27.8 | 7 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 24% | 89% | 68 | 1 |
| W7 | vs IND | W 16–10 | 8.46.44.4 | 14.211.28.7 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 29% | 93% | 44 | 0 |
| W8 | @ DET | L 15–19 | 14.311.89.3 | 12.811.18.5 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 32% | 96% | 33 | 1 |
| W9 | vs BUF | L 6–23 | 8.87.35.8 | 13.511.99.2 | 11 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 37% | — | 58 | 0 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | MIN | 16 | 274.2230.2186.2WR6 | 17.114.411.6WR9 | 125 | 88 | 1400 | 7 | 1402 | 7 |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 330.4276.4222.4WR4 | 19.416.313.1WR4 | 167 | 108 | 1616 | 10 | 1630 | 10 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 368.7304.7240.7WR1 | 21.717.914.2WR2 | 184 | 128 | 1809 | 8 | 1833 | 9 |
| 2023 | MIN | 10 | 202.2168.2134.2WR33 | 20.216.813.4WR5 | 100 | 68 | 1074 | 5 | 1062 | 5 |
| 2024 | MIN | 17 | 317.5266.0214.5WR2 | 18.715.612.6WR4 | 154 | 103 | 1533 | 10 | 1536 | 10 |
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 201.5159.5117.5WR21 | 11.99.46.9WR32 | 141 | 84 | 1048 | 2 | 1055 | 2 |
| 2026 | MIN | 7 | 95.279.764.2WR24 | 13.611.49.2WR20 | 51 | 31 | 393 | 4 | 382 | 4 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0036322
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report