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DK Metcalf Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM

11.89.77.6pts · range 7.4–16.8 ptspts · range 6.1–13.8 ptspts · range 4.8–10.8 pts
START

WR21WR21WR21 this weekWR43 on the season

Last game

Week 8 vs CLE, W 27–6

1.4 pts0.9 pts0.4 pts · 1 catch on 6 targets, 4 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ CIN ·

No injury report yet

Start

DK Metcalf is a low-end WR2 this week. We expect 8 targets, 4 receptions and 56 receiving yards. The points keep dropping: 20, then 8, then 1. In Week 8 was a repeat for Metcalf, with 6 touches after 6. His usage is down, about 6 targets a game over the last two after 9, but that is still a starter's share, so the call holds. He should be in your lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

11.89.77.6

pts · WR21WR21WR21 this week

range 7.46.14.8–16.813.810.8 pts

Season average

9.77.75.6

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

4.2

Receiving yards

56.3

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

30.8pts allowed to WRsMiddle · 15th fewest

Trends to know

  • Opportunities down: about 6 a game over the last two games, down from 9.
  • Points behind the work: about 10 PPR points a game against about 14 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

77.961.444.9

WR36 · 8 games

Per game

9.77.75.6

WR43WR49WR57

Touchdowns

1

WR62 of 223

Targets

64

WR15 of 223

Receptions

33

WR24 of 223

Receiving yards

378

WR33 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 16 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 5 or fewer pts20% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 7 and 17 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

12.7'24 avg12.5'25 avg8W16.7W212.1W316.5W45.3W520.3W67.6W71.4W811.8W10WR1WR2WR3
10.5'24 avg10.5'25 avg6W14.7W210.6W314W43.8W514.8W66.6W70.9W89.7W10WR1WR2WR3
8.3'24 avg8.5'25 avg4W12.7W29.1W311.5W42.3W59.3W65.6W70.4W87.6W10WR1WR2WR3
7.2'24 avg6.6'25 avg10W19W25W39W44W515W66W76W88W10WR1WR2WR3
27%W124%W216%W323%W413%W534%W621%W727%W8WR1WR2WR3
4.4'24 avg3.9'25 avg4W14W23W35W43W511W62W71W84.2W10WR1WR2WR3
66.1'24 avg56.7'25 avg40W127W231W3115W412W593W656W74W856.3W10WR1WR2WR3
0.3'24 avg0.5'25 avg0W10W21W30W40W50W60W70W8WR1WR2WR3
96%W197%W295%W397%W492%W595%W692%W792%W8WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

DK Metcalf has 64 targets (WR15) and 378 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 10 PPR points per game (WR43). Usage is falling: 12 targets over the last two games, down from about 17 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Cincinnati Bengals, Metcalf projects for 12 PPR points (WR21), and about half the time between 7.4 and 16.8.

2026 so farMetcalfAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game9.715.4−37%
Targets / game8.07.9+2%
Target share24%24%−1%
Receiving yards / game4771−33%
Yards / target5.99.3−36%
Catch rate52%66%−22%
Touchdowns / game0.120.50−75%
Snap share94%76%+24%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Middle · 15th

32.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · CIN, PHI, DEN

Rest of season

Easy · 1st

34.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 5th

35.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10@ CIN30.8Middle · 18th
W11@ PHI37.9Easy · 4th
W12vs DEN27.6Tough · 27th
W13vs HOU38.5Easy · 2nd
W14@ JAX33.2Middle · 14th
W15vs BAL33.9Easy · 11th
W16vs CAR31.4Middle · 16th
W17@ TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W18@ BAL33.9Easy · 11th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game8.0 · 15th of 201
Target share24% · 20th of 201
Snap share94% · 1st of 200
Red-zone targets5.0 · 44th of 201
Yards / target5.9 · 105th of 132
PPR points / game9.7 · 43rd of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%92%27%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs ATLW 20–138.06.04.0———10440027%96%400
W2@ NEL 3–206.74.72.7———9427024%97%270
W3vs CINW 30–2712.110.69.1———5331116%95%311
W4@ CLEL 24–2716.514.011.5———95115023%97%1150
W5vs INDW 34–225.33.82.312.710.68.44312013%92%230
W6@ TBW 26–1920.314.89.37.15.94.6151193034%95%930
W7@ NOW 16–107.66.65.614.211.79.06256021%92%560
W8vs CLEW 27–61.40.90.412.710.88.4614027%92%40

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2019SEA16187.1158.1129.1WR3311.79.98.1WR411005890079117
2020SEA16271.3229.8188.3WR717.014.411.8WR1012983130310130310
2021SEA17244.3206.8169.3WR1414.412.210.0WR23129759671297312
2022SEA17226.8181.8136.8WR1613.310.78.0WR25141901048610486
2023SEA16225.4192.4159.4WR2114.112.010.0WR22119661114811148
2024SEA15191.2158.2125.2WR3212.710.58.3WR341086699259925
2025PIT15187.2157.7128.2WR2612.510.58.5WR23995985068627
2026PIT877.961.444.9WR369.77.75.6WR43643337813891

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0035640
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report