Ja'Marr Chase Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Cincinnati BengalsNext game
Week 10 vs PIT · Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM
WR2WR2WR2 this weekWR5 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs PIT ·No injury report yet
Ja'Marr Chase is a locked-in start this week. In the projection he gets 10 targets, 8 receptions, 97 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. Chase has moved up in this offense. Better each time out lately: 17, 31 and 32 points. Start him this week and don't overthink it.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
21.817.713.7
pts · WR2WR2WR2 this week
range 13.010.58.1–27.822.717.5 pts
Season average
20.016.613.3
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
8.1
Receiving yards
97.2
Receiving TDs
0.7
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities up: about 14 a game over the last two games, up from 8.
- Points ahead of the work: about 20 PPR points a game against about 16 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
159.7133.2106.7
WR7 · 8 games
Per game
20.016.613.3
WR5WR6WR6
Touchdowns
7
WR2 of 223
Targets
73
WR10 of 223
Receptions
53
WR6 of 223
Receiving yards
647
WR11 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 13 and 28 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Ja'Marr Chase has 73 targets (WR10) and 647 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 20 PPR points per game (WR5). Usage is rising: 28 targets over the last two games, up from about 15 per two games before that. For Week 10 vs the Pittsburgh Steelers, Chase projects for 22 PPR points (WR2), and about half the time between 13.0 and 27.8.
| 2026 so far | Chase | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 20.0 | 15.4 | +30% |
| Targets / game | 9.1 | 7.9 | +16% |
| Target share | 25% | 24% | +4% |
| Receiving yards / game | 81 | 71 | +14% |
| Yards / target | 8.9 | 9.3 | −5% |
| Catch rate | 73% | 66% | +10% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.88 | 0.50 | +74% |
| Snap share | 82% | 76% | +8% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 19th
31.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · PIT, WAS, NO
Rest of season
Tough · 24th
30.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Middle · 17th
31.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W11 | @ WAS | 34.7 | Easy · 9th |
| W12 | vs NO | 31.2 | Middle · 17th |
| W13 | @ CLE | 29.5 | Middle · 21st |
| W14 | vs KC | 23.5 | Tough · 31st |
| W15 | @ CAR | 31.4 | Middle · 16th |
| W16 | @ IND | 29.3 | Tough · 23rd |
| W17 | vs BAL | 33.9 | Easy · 11th |
| W18 | vs CLE | 29.5 | Middle · 21st |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs TB | W 33–27 | 3.22.21.2 | ——— | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 12% | 94% | 12 | 0 |
| W2 | @ HOU | W 20–6 | 26.523.019.5 | ——— | 9 | 7 | 75 | 2 | 29% | 88% | 75 | 2 |
| W3 | @ PIT | L 27–30 | 24.820.315.8 | ——— | 12 | 9 | 98 | 1 | 32% | 100% | 98 | 1 |
| W4 | vs JAX | L 17–22 | 5.74.22.7 | 16.012.99.9 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 6% | 20% | 27 | 0 |
| W5 | @ MIA | W 31–24 | 19.716.713.7 | 14.411.68.8 | 10 | 6 | 77 | 1 | 32% | 89% | 77 | 1 |
| W7 | @ BAL | W 35–13 | 17.214.712.2 | 17.013.310.2 | 7 | 5 | 62 | 1 | 25% | 87% | 62 | 1 |
| W8 | vs TEN | W 43–36 | 31.125.620.1 | 19.213.810.6 | 16 | 11 | 141 | 1 | 34% | 96% | 141 | 1 |
| W9 | @ ATL | W 34–17 | 31.526.521.5 | 19.314.210.9 | 12 | 10 | 155 | 1 | 43% | 84% | 155 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | CIN | 17 | 304.6264.1223.6WR5 | 17.915.513.2WR5 | 128 | 81 | 1455 | 13 | 1476 | 13 |
| 2022 | CIN | 12 | 242.4198.9155.4WR11 | 20.216.613.0WR3 | 134 | 87 | 1046 | 9 | 1054 | 9 |
| 2023 | CIN | 16 | 262.7212.7162.7WR11 | 16.413.310.2WR11 | 145 | 100 | 1216 | 7 | 1210 | 7 |
| 2024 | CIN | 17 | 403.0339.5276.0WR1 | 23.720.016.2WR1 | 175 | 127 | 1708 | 17 | 1740 | 17 |
| 2025 | CIN | 16 | 313.6251.1188.6WR4 | 19.615.711.8WR3 | 185 | 125 | 1412 | 8 | 1426 | 8 |
| 2026 | CIN | 8 | 159.7133.2106.7WR7 | 20.016.613.3WR5 | 73 | 53 | 647 | 7 | 647 | 7 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0036900
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report