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Amon-Ra St. Brown Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Detroit Lions

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs NE · Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM

19.815.912.0pts · range 14.5–26.2 ptspts · range 11.7–21.0 ptspts · range 8.8–15.8 pts
MUST START

WR3WR4WR4 this weekWR6 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ MIA, W 19–9

16.6 pts12.6 pts8.6 pts · 8 catches on 10 targets, 86 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs NE ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Amon-Ra St. Brown is a locked-in start this week. The projection: 10 targets, 8 receptions, 86 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. He has been getting the ball in scoring position without the touchdowns to match. Points have jumped around: 24, then 13, then 17 points. No change in the work: St. Brown had 10 touches last week, 9 before that. New England is a soft spot for receivers: the 3rd-most points allowed. Get him in the lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

19.815.912.0

pts · WR3WR4WR4 this week

range 14.511.78.8–26.221.015.8 pts

Season average

19.715.912.1

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Receptions

7.8

Receiving yards

85.5

Receiving TDs

0.6

Matchup · defense

38.4pts allowed to WRsEasy · 3rd most

Trends to know

  • Opportunities down: about 10 a game over the last two games, down from 12.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

157.6127.196.6

WR8 · 8 games

Per game

19.715.912.1

WR6WR7WR8

Touchdowns

5

WR6 of 223

Targets

86

WR6 of 223

Receptions

61

WR4 of 223

Receiving yards

657

WR9 of 223

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 27 or more pts30% a real chance, about 1 in 3
Dud: 9 or fewer pts10% a long shot

There is a 50% chance he scores between 14 and 26 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

18.6'24 avg19.1'25 avg28.7W135.2W211.9W315.5W412.9W524.2W712.6W816.6W919.8W10WR1WR2WR3
15.2'24 avg15.6'25 avg23.7W130.7W29.9W311.5W49.9W519.7W79.1W812.6W915.9W10WR1WR2WR3
11.8'24 avg12.2'25 avg18.7W126.2W27.9W37.5W46.9W515.2W75.6W88.6W912W10WR1WR2WR3
8.3'24 avg10.1'25 avg14W113W28W311W411W511W78W810W910W10WR1WR2WR3
36%W134%W226%W322%W438%W535%W732%W840%W9WR1WR2WR3
6.8'24 avg6.9'25 avg10W19W24W38W46W59W77W88W97.8W10WR1WR2WR3
74.3'24 avg82.4'25 avg67W1142W219W375W469W5153W746W886W985.5W10WR1WR2WR3
0.7'24 avg0.6'25 avg2W12W21W30W40W50W70W80W9WR1WR2WR3
90%W195%W274%W396%W486%W578%W772%W875%W9WR1WR2WR3

Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game

WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Amon-Ra St. Brown has 86 targets (WR6) and 657 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 20 PPR points per game (WR6). For Week 10 vs the New England Patriots, Brown projects for 20 PPR points (WR3), and about half the time between 14.5 and 26.2.

2026 so farBrownAvg starter WRAvg WRDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game19.715.4+28%
Targets / game10.87.9+37%
Target share32%24%+32%
Receiving yards / game8271+16%
Yards / target7.69.3−18%
Catch rate71%66%+8%
Touchdowns / game0.620.50+24%
Snap share83%76%+9%

Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 11th

32.6 PPR allowed to WRs / game · NE, TB, CHI

Rest of season

Middle · 12th

32.5 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Tough · 28th

28.2 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to WRs / gameDefense rank
W10vs NE38.4Easy · 3rd
W11vs TB30.0Middle · 19th
W12vs CHI29.4Tough · 22nd
W13@ ATL33.6Middle · 13th
W14vs TEN40.7Easy · 1st
W15@ MIN25.3Tough · 30th
W16vs NYG29.9Middle · 20th
W17@ CHI29.4Tough · 22nd
W18@ GB35.7Easy · 6th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game10.8 · 4th of 201
Target share32% · 5th of 201
Snap share83% · 14th of 200
Red-zone targets18.0 · 2nd of 201
Yards / target7.6 · 69th of 132
PPR points / game19.7 · 6th of 201

Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%75%40%W1W2W3W4W5W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs NOW 31–3028.723.718.7———141067236%90%672
W2@ BUFL 31–4135.230.726.2———139142234%95%1422
W3vs NYJW 31–2411.99.97.9———8419126%74%191
W4@ CARL 26–3215.511.57.518.515.111.611875022%96%750
W5@ ARIW 45–2112.99.96.919.415.812.111669038%86%690
W7vs GBW 20–1724.219.715.217.814.210.9119153035%78%1520
W8vs MINW 19–1512.69.15.619.015.211.68746032%72%560
W9@ MIAW 19–916.612.68.614.510.07.610886040%75%860

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2021DET17227.3182.3137.3WR2113.410.78.1WR301199091259736
2022DET16267.6214.6161.6WR716.713.410.1WR101461061161612566
2023DET16330.9271.4211.9WR320.717.013.2WR4164119151510153910
2024DET17316.2258.7201.2WR318.615.211.8WR5141115126312126912
2025DET17324.0265.5207.0WR319.115.612.2WR4172117140111141011
2026DET8157.6127.196.6WR819.715.912.1WR6866165756665

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0036963
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More WR rankings · Usage report