Joe Burrow Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Cincinnati BengalsNext game
Week 10 vs PIT · Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM
QB1QB1QB1 this weekQB2 on the season
Last game
29.5 pts29.5 pts29.5 pts · 24 of 29 passing, 271 yds, 3 TDs, 7 rush yds
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs PIT ·No injury report yet
Joe Burrow is a locked-in start this week. We project 37 pass attempts, 347 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, 1 interception and 9 rushing yards. The scoring for Burrow depends on finding the end zone. Points have been hard to find against Pittsburgh: the 4th-fewest allowed to quarterbacks. Start him with confidence this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
25.125.125.1
pts · QB1QB1QB1 this week
Season average
24.924.924.9
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Passing yards
347.3
Passing TDs
2.9
Rushing yards
9.4
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Three straight games at or above the season average.
Show likely range
Floor · Ceiling
There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.
About a 1-in-4 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-6 chance of a dud (half of it or less).
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
199.1199.1199.1
QB2 · 8 games
Per game
24.924.924.9
QB2QB2QB2
Passing TDs
23
QB1 of 69
Passing yards
2386
QB2 of 69
Rushing yards
77
QB23 of 69
Interceptions
6
—
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game
QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Joe Burrow has thrown for 2386 yards and 23 touchdowns in 8 games, averaging 25 fantasy points per game (QB2). For Week 10 vs the Pittsburgh Steelers, Burrow projects for 25 PPR points (QB1).
| 2026 so far | Burrow | Avg starter QBAvg QB | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 24.9 | 20.4 | +22% |
| Pass yards / game | 298 | 260 | +15% |
| Pass TD / game | 2.9 | 1.9 | +48% |
| Rush yards / game | 10 | 17 | −42% |
| Snap share | 99% | 98% | +2% |
Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 21st
16.3 PPR allowed to QBs / game · PIT, WAS, NO
Rest of season
Tough · 25th
15.8 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 11th
17.5 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to QBs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs PIT | 12.1 | Tough · 29th |
| W11 | @ WAS | 18.9 | Easy · 5th |
| W12 | vs NO | 17.9 | Easy · 11th |
| W13 | @ CLE | 14.1 | Tough · 25th |
| W14 | vs KC | 12.4 | Tough · 28th |
| W15 | @ CAR | 16.7 | Middle · 20th |
| W16 | @ IND | 18.2 | Easy · 9th |
| W17 | vs BAL | 17.6 | Middle · 15th |
| W18 | vs CLE | 14.1 | Tough · 25th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.
Role profile
Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush att | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs TB | W 33–27 | 14.214.214.2 | ——— | 25 | 35 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 100% |
| W2 | @ HOU | W 20–6 | 16.216.216.2 | ——— | 20 | 31 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 100% |
| W3 | @ PIT | L 27–30 | 22.622.622.6 | ——— | 28 | 37 | 282 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 100% |
| W4 | vs JAX | L 17–22 | 23.723.723.7 | 17.817.817.8 | 39 | 54 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 100% |
| W5 | @ MIA | W 31–24 | 24.624.624.6 | 17.517.517.5 | 23 | 32 | 190 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 100% |
| W7 | @ BAL | W 35–13 | 28.928.928.9 | 19.317.617.6 | 22 | 30 | 292 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 94% |
| W8 | vs TEN | W 43–36 | 39.539.539.5 | 22.218.118.1 | 38 | 48 | 462 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 100% |
| W9 | @ ATL | W 34–17 | 29.529.529.5 | 24.219.019.0 | 24 | 29 | 271 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 100% |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush att | Rush yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | CIN | 10 | 173.7173.7173.7QB25 | 17.417.417.4QB18 | 264 | 404 | 2688 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 142 | 3 |
| 2021 | CIN | 16 | 314.2314.2314.2QB8 | 19.619.619.6QB10 | 366 | 520 | 4611 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 118 | 2 |
| 2022 | CIN | 16 | 350.7350.7350.7QB4 | 21.921.921.9QB4 | 414 | 606 | 4475 | 35 | 12 | 26 | 257 | 5 |
| 2023 | CIN | 10 | 147.2147.2147.2QB25 | 14.714.714.7QB25 | 244 | 365 | 2309 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 88 | 0 |
| 2024 | CIN | 17 | 372.8372.8372.8QB3 | 21.921.921.9QB3 | 460 | 652 | 4918 | 43 | 9 | 9 | 201 | 2 |
| 2025 | CIN | 8 | 134.5134.5134.5QB29 | 16.816.816.8QB15 | 173 | 259 | 1809 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 2026 | CIN | 8 | 199.1199.1199.1QB2 | 24.924.924.9QB2 | 219 | 296 | 2386 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 77 | 3 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0036442
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More QB rankings · Usage report