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Josh Allen Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Buffalo Bills

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

22.422.422.4ptsptspts
MUST START

QB2QB2QB2 this weekQB1 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ MIN, W 23–6

12.9 pts12.9 pts12.9 pts · 21 of 31 passing, 234 yds, 1 TD, 15 rush yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ NYJ ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Josh Allen is a locked-in start this week. The projection: 30 pass attempts, 261 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 1 interception and 31 rushing yards. The points for Allen look better than the usage. Boom or bust lately, with 18, 27 and 13 points. No change in the work: Allen had 31 pass attempts last week, 34 before that. He should be in your lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

22.422.422.4

pts · QB2QB2QB2 this week

Season average

25.125.025.0

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

260.8

Passing TDs

1.7

Rushing yards

30.5

Matchup · defense

17.6pts allowed to QBsMiddle · 14th most
Show likely range

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

Steady His weeks land close to the projection more often than most. About a 1-in-4 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-15 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

200.7200.2199.7

QB1 · 8 games

Per game

25.125.025.0

QB1QB1QB1

Passing TDs

12

QB15 of 69

Passing yards

2027

QB12 of 69

Rushing yards

285

QB1 of 69

Interceptions

6

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

22.3'24 avg21.4'25 avg35.7W140.8W217.5W318.5W430.5W518.3W626.6W812.9W922.4W10QB1QB2
22.3'24 avg21.4'25 avg35.7W140.8W217W318.5W430.5W518.3W626.6W812.9W922.4W10QB1QB2
22.3'24 avg21.4'25 avg35.7W140.8W216.5W318.5W430.5W518.3W626.6W812.9W922.4W10QB1QB2
219.5'24 avg215.8'25 avg334W1248W2204W3253W4210W5255W6289W8234W9260.8W10QB1QB2
18.1'24 avg18.8'25 avg20W120W216W323W412W523W621W821W921.6W10QB1QB2
1.6'24 avg1.5'25 avg2W13W20W31W41W52W62W81W91.7W10QB1QB2
0.4'24 avg0.6'25 avg0W10W22W31W41W50W61W81W90.7W10QB1QB2
31.2'24 avg34.1'25 avg23W169W222W34W4121W51W630W815W930.5W10QB1QB2
100%W1100%W2100%W3100%W4100%W5100%W695%W8—W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Josh Allen has thrown for 2027 yards and 12 touchdowns in 8 games, averaging 25 fantasy points per game (QB1). For Week 10 at the New York Jets, Allen projects for 22 PPR points (QB2).

2026 so farAllenAvg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game25.120.4+23%
Pass yards / game253260−3%
Pass TD / game1.51.9−23%
Rush yards / game3617+113%
Snap share99%98%+2%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 22nd

16.1 PPR allowed to QBs / game · NYJ, MIA, KC

Rest of season

Middle · 15th

16.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 9th

17.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ NYJ17.6Middle · 14th
W11vs MIA18.2Easy · 10th
W12vs KC12.4Tough · 28th
W13@ NE17.4Middle · 16th
W14@ GB13.4Tough · 26th
W15vs CHI17.8Middle · 12th
W16@ DEN16.9Middle · 19th
W17@ MIA18.2Easy · 10th
W18vs NYJ17.6Middle · 14th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game253.4 · 12th of 54
Pass attempts / game29.5 · 24th of 46
Completion %66% · 14th of 46
Passing TDs12 · 15th of 46
Yards / attempt8.6 · 5th of 46
Interceptions6 · 32nd of 46
Sacks taken17 · 32nd of 46
Rush yards / game35.6 · 2nd of 54
PPR points / game25.1 · 1st of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%95%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1@ HOUW 36–3135.735.735.7———2029334206232100%
W2vs DETW 41–3140.840.840.8———20312483014692100%
W3vs LACW 24–1617.517.016.5———1626204028222100%
W4vs NEL 26–2918.518.518.522.222.222.2233325311541100%
W5@ LAW 37–3430.530.530.519.519.519.5121921011101211100%
W6@ LVW 33–3018.318.318.321.621.621.6233325520510100%
W8vs BALW 36–1026.626.626.621.720.220.2213428921730195%
W9@ MINW 23–612.912.912.921.620.120.12131234116150—

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2018BUF12206.9206.9206.9QB2117.217.217.2QB1916831920441012366318
2019BUF16288.6288.6288.6QB618.018.018.0QB102714613089209525109
2020BUF16396.1395.6395.1QB124.824.724.7QB339657245443710514218
2021BUF17402.6402.6402.6QB123.723.723.7QB140964644073615647636
2022BUF16395.5395.5395.5QB224.724.724.7QB235956742833514567627
2023BUF17392.6392.6392.6QB123.123.123.1QB1385579430629185452415
2024BUF17379.0379.0379.0QB222.322.322.3QB230748337312865153112
2025BUF17364.6364.6364.6QB121.421.421.4QB1319460366825104657914
2026BUF8200.7200.2199.7QB125.125.025.0QB11562362027126322859

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0034857
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report