Josh Allen Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Buffalo BillsNext game
Week 10 @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
QB2QB2QB2 this weekQB1 on the season
Last game
12.9 pts12.9 pts12.9 pts · 21 of 31 passing, 234 yds, 1 TD, 15 rush yds
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ NYJ ·No injury report yet
Josh Allen is a locked-in start this week. The projection: 30 pass attempts, 261 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 1 interception and 31 rushing yards. The points for Allen look better than the usage. Boom or bust lately, with 18, 27 and 13 points. No change in the work: Allen had 31 pass attempts last week, 34 before that. He should be in your lineup this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
22.422.422.4
pts · QB2QB2QB2 this week
Season average
25.125.025.0
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Passing yards
260.8
Passing TDs
1.7
Rushing yards
30.5
Matchup · defense
Show likely range
Floor · Ceiling
There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.
Steady His weeks land close to the projection more often than most. About a 1-in-4 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-15 chance of a dud (half of it or less).
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
200.7200.2199.7
QB1 · 8 games
Per game
25.125.025.0
QB1QB1QB1
Passing TDs
12
QB15 of 69
Passing yards
2027
QB12 of 69
Rushing yards
285
QB1 of 69
Interceptions
6
—
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game
QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Josh Allen has thrown for 2027 yards and 12 touchdowns in 8 games, averaging 25 fantasy points per game (QB1). For Week 10 at the New York Jets, Allen projects for 22 PPR points (QB2).
| 2026 so far | Allen | Avg starter QBAvg QB | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 25.1 | 20.4 | +23% |
| Pass yards / game | 253 | 260 | −3% |
| Pass TD / game | 1.5 | 1.9 | −23% |
| Rush yards / game | 36 | 17 | +113% |
| Snap share | 99% | 98% | +2% |
Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Tough · 22nd
16.1 PPR allowed to QBs / game · NYJ, MIA, KC
Rest of season
Middle · 15th
16.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 9th
17.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to QBs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ NYJ | 17.6 | Middle · 14th |
| W11 | vs MIA | 18.2 | Easy · 10th |
| W12 | vs KC | 12.4 | Tough · 28th |
| W13 | @ NE | 17.4 | Middle · 16th |
| W14 | @ GB | 13.4 | Tough · 26th |
| W15 | vs CHI | 17.8 | Middle · 12th |
| W16 | @ DEN | 16.9 | Middle · 19th |
| W17 | @ MIA | 18.2 | Easy · 10th |
| W18 | vs NYJ | 17.6 | Middle · 14th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.
Role profile
Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush att | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ HOU | W 36–31 | 35.735.735.7 | ——— | 20 | 29 | 334 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 100% |
| W2 | vs DET | W 41–31 | 40.840.840.8 | ——— | 20 | 31 | 248 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 69 | 2 | 100% |
| W3 | vs LAC | W 24–16 | 17.517.016.5 | ——— | 16 | 26 | 204 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 100% |
| W4 | vs NE | L 26–29 | 18.518.518.5 | 22.222.222.2 | 23 | 33 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 100% |
| W5 | @ LA | W 37–34 | 30.530.530.5 | 19.519.519.5 | 12 | 19 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 121 | 1 | 100% |
| W6 | @ LV | W 33–30 | 18.318.318.3 | 21.621.621.6 | 23 | 33 | 255 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| W8 | vs BAL | W 36–10 | 26.626.626.6 | 21.720.220.2 | 21 | 34 | 289 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 95% |
| W9 | @ MIN | W 23–6 | 12.912.912.9 | 21.620.120.1 | 21 | 31 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 0 | — |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush att | Rush yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | BUF | 12 | 206.9206.9206.9QB21 | 17.217.217.2QB19 | 168 | 319 | 2044 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 631 | 8 |
| 2019 | BUF | 16 | 288.6288.6288.6QB6 | 18.018.018.0QB10 | 271 | 461 | 3089 | 20 | 9 | 52 | 510 | 9 |
| 2020 | BUF | 16 | 396.1395.6395.1QB1 | 24.824.724.7QB3 | 396 | 572 | 4544 | 37 | 10 | 51 | 421 | 8 |
| 2021 | BUF | 17 | 402.6402.6402.6QB1 | 23.723.723.7QB1 | 409 | 646 | 4407 | 36 | 15 | 64 | 763 | 6 |
| 2022 | BUF | 16 | 395.5395.5395.5QB2 | 24.724.724.7QB2 | 359 | 567 | 4283 | 35 | 14 | 56 | 762 | 7 |
| 2023 | BUF | 17 | 392.6392.6392.6QB1 | 23.123.123.1QB1 | 385 | 579 | 4306 | 29 | 18 | 54 | 524 | 15 |
| 2024 | BUF | 17 | 379.0379.0379.0QB2 | 22.322.322.3QB2 | 307 | 483 | 3731 | 28 | 6 | 51 | 531 | 12 |
| 2025 | BUF | 17 | 364.6364.6364.6QB1 | 21.421.421.4QB1 | 319 | 460 | 3668 | 25 | 10 | 46 | 579 | 14 |
| 2026 | BUF | 8 | 200.7200.2199.7QB1 | 25.125.025.0QB1 | 156 | 236 | 2027 | 12 | 6 | 32 | 285 | 9 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0034857
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More QB rankings · Usage report