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Tyler Warren Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Indianapolis Colts

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 vs MIA · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

12.29.77.1pts · range 6.8–16.3 ptspts · range 5.4–12.9 ptspts · range 4.0–9.4 pts
START

TE6TE6TE6 this weekTE6 on the season

Last game

Week 9 vs DAL, L 23–27

8.4 pts6.4 pts4.4 pts · 4 catches on 7 targets, 44 yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

vs MIA ·

No injury report yet

Start ▲

Tyler Warren is a high-end TE1 this week. His projected line: 8 targets, 5 receptions and 51 receiving yards. Points have jumped around: 21, then 6, then 8 points. Miami gives tight ends room: the 4th-most points allowed this season. Start him this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

12.29.77.1

pts · TE6TE6TE6 this week

range 6.85.44.0–16.312.99.4 pts

Season average

12.09.36.6

pts per game · 7 games

Projected stats

Receptions

5.1

Receiving yards

50.7

Receiving TDs

0.3

Matchup · defense

17.7pts allowed to TEsEasy · 4th most

Trends to know

  • Points behind the work: about 12 PPR points a game against about 14 that his targets and carries are usually worth.

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

84.165.146.1

TE11 · 7 games

Per game

12.09.36.6

TE6TE8TE12

Touchdowns

3

TE12 of 135

Targets

53

TE5 of 135

Receptions

38

TE5 of 135

Receiving yards

275

TE20 of 135

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Week 10 fantasy points range

Big game: 17 or more pts25% a real chance, about 1 in 4
Dud: 6 or fewer pts20% an outside chance

There is a 50% chance he scores between 7 and 16 points.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

11.1'25 avg10.3W114.4W214.7W39.1W421.4W5—W6—W75.8W88.4W912.2W10TE1TE2
8.9'25 avg8.8W111.4W210.2W36.6W417.9W5—W6—W73.8W86.4W99.7W10TE1TE2
6.6'25 avg7.3W18.4W25.7W34.1W414.4W5—W6—W71.8W84.4W97.1W10TE1TE2
6.6'25 avg5W17W210W35W49W5—W6—W710W87W97.7W10TE1TE2
17%W123%W229%W317%W421%W5—W6—W733%W822%W9TE1TE2
4.5'25 avg3W16W29W35W47W5—W6—W74W84W95.1W10TE1TE2
48.1'25 avg13W121W255W341W483W5—W6—W718W844W950.7W10TE1TE2
0.3'25 avg1W11W20W30W41W5—W6—W70W80W9TE1TE2
93%W189%W294%W385%W494%W5—W6—W772%W883%W9TE1TE2

Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game

TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Tyler Warren has 53 targets (TE5) and 275 receiving yards in 7 games, averaging 12 PPR points per game (TE6). For Week 10 vs the Miami Dolphins, Warren projects for 12 PPR points (TE6), and about half the time between 6.8 and 16.3.

2026 so farWarrenAvg starter TEAvg TEDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game12.013.2−9%
Targets / game7.66.9+9%
Target share23%21%+9%
Receiving yards / game3955−28%
Yards / target5.28.0−35%
Catch rate72%73%−1%
Touchdowns / game0.430.47−9%
Snap share87%80%+9%

Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Tough · 23rd

13.3 PPR allowed to TEs / game · MIA, HOU, NYG

Rest of season

Tough · 25th

13.0 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 8 games

Fantasy playoffs

Middle · 12th

14.4 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to TEs / gameDefense rank
W10vs MIA17.7Easy · 4th
W11@ HOU10.1Tough · 29th
W12vs NYG12.0Tough · 22nd
W14@ PHI10.3Tough · 27th
W15@ TEN12.6Middle · 21st
W16vs CIN15.9Easy · 8th
W17@ CLE14.8Easy · 10th
W18vs JAX10.3Tough · 28th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.

Role profile

Targets / game7.6 · 4th of 131
Target share23% · 4th of 131
Snap share87% · 4th of 131
Red-zone targets5.0 · 21st of 131
Yards / target5.2 · 49th of 54
PPR points / game12.0 · 6th of 131

Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%Did not playDid not play83%22%W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9

Snap share Target share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjTgtRecYdsTDTgt %Snap%Total ydsTotal TD
W1vs BALL 23–4110.38.87.3———5313117%93%131
W2@ KCL 30–3314.411.48.4———7621123%89%241
W3vs HOUW 19–1714.710.25.7———10955029%94%570
W4@ WASW 30–139.16.64.114.611.58.55541017%85%410
W5@ PITL 22–3421.417.914.415.212.08.89783021%94%841
W6vs TENL 20–26Did not play—————————
W7@ MINL 10–16Did not play—————————
W8@ JAXL 7–425.83.81.811.59.26.710418033%72%180
W9vs DALL 23–278.46.44.412.89.87.27444022%83%440

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gTgtRecYdsTDTotal ydsTotal TD
2025IND17188.5150.5112.5TE411.18.96.6TE101127681748255
2026IND784.165.146.1TE1112.09.36.6TE6533827522813

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0040128
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More TE rankings · Usage report