Isaiah Likely Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ New York GiantsNext game
Week 10 vs WAS · Thu, Nov 12 · 8:15 PM
TE4TE4TE4 this weekTE3 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs WAS ·No injury report yet
Isaiah Likely is a locked-in start this week. Our projection for the game: 6 targets, 5 receptions and 55 receiving yards. Everything for Likely starts with McCarthy at quarterback. The recent points for Likely lean on touchdowns, about 31% of them. There is no shift to report: Likely had 6 targets last week, 4 before. The Washington defense has been easy on tight ends, with the 3rd-most points allowed. His usage is down, about 5 targets a game over the last two after 10, but that is still a starter's share, so the call holds. Yes, start him this week.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
13.110.68.1
pts · TE4TE4TE4 this week
range 6.14.93.8–22.518.213.9 pts
Season average
16.113.210.3
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
5.0
Receiving yards
54.8
Receiving TDs
0.4
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities down: about 5 a game over the last two games, down from 10.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
128.8105.882.8
TE3 · 8 games
Per game
16.113.210.3
TE3TE3TE2
Touchdowns
6
TE1 of 135
Targets
69
TE2 of 135
Receptions
46
TE3 of 135
Receiving yards
448
TE6 of 135
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among TEs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 6 and 22 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game TE1/TE2 Season avg Next game
TE1/TE2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th TE this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Isaiah Likely has 69 targets (TE2) and 448 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 16 PPR points per game (TE3). Usage is falling: 10 targets over the last two games, down from about 20 per two games before that. For Week 10 vs the Washington Commanders, Likely projects for 13 PPR points (TE4), and about half the time between 6.1 and 22.5.
| 2026 so far | Likely | Avg starter TEAvg TE | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 16.1 | 13.2 | +22% |
| Targets / game | 8.6 | 6.9 | +25% |
| Target share | 27% | 21% | +25% |
| Receiving yards / game | 56 | 55 | +3% |
| Yards / target | 6.5 | 8.0 | −19% |
| Catch rate | 67% | 73% | −8% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.75 | 0.47 | +59% |
| Snap share | 75% | 80% | −6% |
Average starter = the top 12 TEs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 13th
14.6 PPR allowed to TEs / game · WAS, JAX, IND
Rest of season
Easy · 11th
14.6 PPR allowed to TEs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 2nd
17.7 PPR allowed to TEs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to TEs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs WAS | 19.0 | Easy · 3rd |
| W11 | vs JAX | 10.3 | Tough · 28th |
| W12 | @ IND | 14.4 | Middle · 13th |
| W13 | vs SF | 13.7 | Middle · 15th |
| W14 | @ SEA | 10.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W15 | vs CLE | 14.8 | Easy · 10th |
| W16 | @ DET | 25.1 | Easy · 1st |
| W17 | @ DAL | 13.1 | Middle · 18th |
| W18 | vs PHI | 10.3 | Tough · 27th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to TEs this season.
Role profile
Rank among TEs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs DAL | W 28–20 | 27.823.819.8 | ——— | 8 | 8 | 78 | 2 | 28% | 49% | 78 | 2 |
| W2 | @ LA | L 6–28 | 8.35.83.3 | ——— | 10 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 31% | 69% | 33 | 0 |
| W3 | vs TEN | W 12–7 | 3.32.31.3 | ——— | 5 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 24% | 84% | 13 | 0 |
| W4 | vs ARI | W 36–24 | 13.610.16.6 | 10.48.46.3 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 41% | 66% | 66 | 0 |
| W5 | @ WAS | T 27–27 | 32.426.921.4 | 8.56.85.2 | 13 | 11 | 94 | 2 | 25% | 80% | 94 | 2 |
| W6 | vs NO | L 27–34 | 23.920.917.9 | 11.59.27.0 | 11 | 6 | 99 | 1 | 26% | 91% | 99 | 1 |
| W7 | @ HOU | W 27–21 | 3.22.21.2 | 13.19.27.1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 15% | 86% | 12 | 0 |
| W9 | @ PHI | W 19–11 | 16.313.811.3 | 12.28.86.7 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 22% | 75% | 53 | 1 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | BAL | 16 | 91.373.355.3TE27 | 5.74.63.5TE33 | 60 | 36 | 373 | 3 | 373 | 3 |
| 2023 | BAL | 17 | 101.186.171.1TE24 | 5.95.14.2TE29 | 40 | 30 | 411 | 5 | 411 | 5 |
| 2024 | BAL | 16 | 123.7102.781.7TE16 | 7.76.45.1TE20 | 58 | 42 | 477 | 6 | 477 | 6 |
| 2025 | BAL | 14 | 61.748.234.7TE45 | 4.43.42.5TE43 | 36 | 27 | 307 | 1 | 307 | 1 |
| 2026 | NYG | 8 | 128.8105.882.8TE3 | 16.113.210.3TE3 | 69 | 46 | 448 | 6 | 448 | 6 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0037838
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More TE rankings · Usage report