Through Week 9

Week 10 fantasy RB trade targets: buy low, sell high

Top RB picks on our Week 10 trade targets page: Derrick Henry and Bijan Robinson. See every position.

▲ Trade for: buy low

Startable players whose work is ahead of their points, or whose points dipped while the role held.

Derrick Henry RB · BAL · Buy low — Recent games: 8 points a game. Earlier games: 19. The snaps haven't moved. Derrick Henry's value was 44 out of 100 a week ago and is 44 today. Stop at an RB3 price: the work is worth about 14 points a game. Our projection17 carries · 69 rushing yards · 1 reception · 8 receiving yards · 0.7 touchdowns13 PPR pointsLast week: scored 5.65.65.6, projected 12.214.013.2.

Bijan Robinson RB · ATL · Buy low — Bijan Robinson is seeing more of the ball, with no injury behind it. His touchdowns are overdue, judging by the chances he has had inside the 20. He moved from 74 to 73 in trade value (out of 100) in a week. He costs an RB2 price today and the work is worth about 18 points a game. Our projection18 carries · 81 rushing yards · 3 receptions · 31 receiving yards · 0.6 touchdowns18 PPR pointsLast week: scored 26.723.720.7, projected 21.220.117.9.

Deeper names with the same signal are waiver adds, not trade targets: Jadarian Price · Elijah Mitchell (see waiver wire).

▼ Trade away: sell high

Points running ahead of the work behind them, often thanks to touchdowns.

Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX · Sell high — The points for Bhayshul Tuten look better than the usage. His scoring is 16 points a game, and his usage is worth about 12 points a game. Tuten was a 7 in trade value last week and is a 20 now, out of 100. Sell at an RB2 price while the box scores still look good. Tuten got about 35% of his recent points from touchdowns. He's also a boom pick: that's only about Week 10, and this one is about the rest of the season. Our projection12 carries · 63 rushing yards · 2 receptions · 19 receiving yards · 0.7 touchdowns14 PPR pointsLast week: scored 8.98.98.9, projected 14.86.05.4.

Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET · Sell high — Touchdowns are doing most of the work for Jahmyr Gibbs. On usage alone he would be at about 22 points a game, not 26. Value check: 100 last week, 100 now, on a scale of 100. Get an RB1 price for him; the work only supports about 22 points a game. Our projection20 carries · 107 rushing yards · 3 receptions · 28 receiving yards · 1.1 touchdowns24 PPR pointsLast week: scored 13.413.413.4, projected 23.518.817.3.

Christian McCaffrey RB · SF · Sell high — Christian McCaffrey has scored 21 points a game while the workload says about 16 points a game. Close to 39% of the points McCaffrey has scored lately were touchdowns. He moved from 87 to 88 in trade value (out of 100) in a week. A trade at an RB1 price is a good exit from a role worth about 16 points a game. He's also a star with a big ceiling: that's only about Week 10, and this one is about the rest of the season. Our projection15 carries · 75 rushing yards · 5 receptions · 41 receiving yards · 1.0 touchdown22 PPR pointsLast week: scored 22.721.720.7, projected 21.615.413.0.

Kenneth Walker III RB · KC · Sell high — Kenneth Walker III gets his points from the end zone more than from volume. Our trade value for Walker reads 66 now, against 59 last week (out of 100). Move him for an RB1 price: the role is worth about 19 points a game. Touchdowns supplied about 36% of the recent production from Walker. Our projection15 carries · 80 rushing yards · 3 receptions · 22 receiving yards · 0.7 touchdowns17 PPR pointsLast week: scored 36.334.332.3, projected 17.613.412.3.

Hold, don't sell: Omar Cooper Jr. (points ahead of the work, but the workload is growing, so the role backs up more of it).

Every trade target

"Work is worth" is the points his targets and carries are usually worth at league-average rates; "Difference" is his actual points a game minus that.

AllTrade forTrade away

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
3	Derrick HenryRB · BAL	Buy	15.8	14.2	+1.6	9
7	Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL	Buy	20.0	18.2	+1.8	6
12	Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX	Sell	15.9	12.3	+3.6	7 (4.2)
14	Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET	Sell	26.1	22.0	+4.1	11
15	Christian McCaffreyRB · SF	Sell	20.8	16.3	+4.5	10
16	Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC	Sell	24.6	18.9	+5.6	11

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
3	Derrick HenryRB · BAL	Buy	15.8	14.2	+1.6	9
7	Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL	Buy	20.0	18.2	+1.8	6

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
3	Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX	Sell	15.9	12.3	+3.6	7 (4.2)
5	Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET	Sell	26.1	22.0	+4.1	11
6	Christian McCaffreyRB · SF	Sell	20.8	16.3	+4.5	10
7	Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC	Sell	24.6	18.9	+5.6	11

How players are picked

Expected points from usage = each target and carry valued at the league-wide PPR points per target / per carry at the position this season (e.g. WR 1.72 per target). Buy low: 3+ games, at least 10 expected points per game, actual points 3.0+ per game below expected, snaps not down 10+ points over the last 2 games, and startable (top 18 QB / 36 RB / 48 WR / 18 TE by points per game or this week's projection). Sell high: 3+ games, 12+ PPR per game, outside the top 5 at the position, actual points 3.0+ per game above expected. Also a buy: valued 40+ out of 100 in trade value last week, points down 3+ over his last 3 games against his earlier games, and snaps not down 10+ points. Also a sell: a fill-in for a teammate who is not on injured reserve. A buy is priced one tier below his level, and every other sell needs the gap above. Players out or on injured reserve are left out.