Through Week 9

Week 10 fantasy WR trade targets: buy low, sell high

Top WR picks on our Week 10 trade targets page: DK Metcalf, Michael Wilson and Drake London. See every position.

▲ Trade for: buy low

Startable players whose work is ahead of their points, or whose points dipped while the role held.

DK Metcalf WR · PIT · Buy low — On usage alone DK Metcalf should be scoring about 14 points a game; so far he has 10. Our trade value for Metcalf reads 21 now, against 19 last week (out of 100). Trade for him now at a WR3 price, before the points catch up to about 14 points a game. Our projection8 targets · 4 receptions · 56 receiving yards · 0.3 touchdowns12 PPR points

Michael Wilson WR · ARI · Buy low — The change at quarterback to Minshew is what moves Michael Wilson. What he gets each week is worth about 17 points a game; what he has scored is 13. His trade value was 34 last week and is 33 now, out of 100. Make an offer at a WR2 price: the role is worth about 17 points a game. Our projection7 targets · 4 receptions · 49 receiving yards · 0.3 touchdowns11 PPR pointsLast week: scored 12.09.06.0, projected 11.510.78.2.

Drake London WR · ATL · Buy low — Penix is the quarterback now, and that changes the picture for Drake London. Points are down to 11 a game from 15, but his snaps are not. A week ago his trade value was 40; today it is 37 (out of 100). Take him at a WR3 price; the work is already worth about 13 points a game. He's also a start because Penix is the quarterback. Our projection8 targets · 5 receptions · 65 receiving yards · 0.3 touchdowns13 PPR pointsLast week: scored 11.89.36.8, projected 14.211.49.1.

Chris Olave WR · NO · Buy low — Chris Olave is at 14 points a game over his last three, down from 20, and the work hasn't gone away. On our trade value scale (0 to 100) he went from 58 to 61. Start the talks at a WR2 price for a role worth about 18 points a game. Our projection10 targets · 6 receptions · 77 receiving yards · 0.4 touchdowns16 PPR pointsLast week: scored 16.813.39.8, projected 15.913.210.1.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA · Buy low — Jaxon Smith-Njigba is tied to a quarterback change: Lock is the one throwing now. Take the touchdowns away and about 30% of the recent points for Smith-Njigba disappear. The trade value for Smith-Njigba went from 83 to 81 out of 100. Pay a WR2 price, not more: the work points to about 19 points a game. Our projection9 targets · 7 receptions · 96 receiving yards · 0.6 touchdowns20 PPR pointsLast week: scored 12.18.65.1, projected 21.916.713.3.

Deeper names with the same signal are waiver adds, not trade targets: Jadarian Price · Elijah Mitchell (see waiver wire).

▼ Trade away: sell high

Points running ahead of the work behind them, often thanks to touchdowns.

Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF · Sell high — Deebo Samuel Sr.: Touches and targets worth about 8 points a game have brought him 12 a game. Cash in at a WR3 price before the points settle near 8 a game. Samuel missed Weeks 6, 7 and 9, and his status for this week is still open: check before kickoff. Our projection4 targets · 3 receptions · 38 receiving yards · 0.3 touchdowns8 PPR points

Mike Evans WR · SF · Sell high — Mike Evans' touches each week are worth about 11 points a game, less than the 15 he has scored. Last week he rated 17 out of 100 in trade value; now he rates 24. Ask for a WR2 price now: the role behind the points is worth about 11 points a game. Evans missed Weeks 7 and 9, and his status for this week is still open: check before kickoff. Our projection6 targets · 5 receptions · 67 receiving yards · 0.4 touchdowns14 PPR points

Jameson Williams WR · DET · Sell high — A big part of the points for Jameson Williams came from touchdowns. 13 points a game is more than this work usually brings, about 10 points a game. His value on the 0 to 100 scale: 30 a week ago, 25 now. Trade him for a WR2 price; the role says about 10 points a game. He's also a start: that's only about Week 10, and this one is about the rest of the season. Our projection6 targets · 4 receptions · 69 receiving yards · 0.4 touchdowns14 PPR pointsLast week: scored 5.04.54.0, projected 14.810.18.3.

Tee Higgins WR · CIN · Sell high — Be careful with Tee Higgins: the scoring is ahead of the workload. Higgins was a 53 in trade value last week and is a 54 now, out of 100. Sell him at a WR1 price; the role is worth about 14 points a game. The recent points for Higgins lean on touchdowns, about 26% of them. Our projection7 targets · 6 receptions · 76 receiving yards · 0.6 touchdowns17 PPR pointsLast week: scored 20.217.715.2, projected 18.212.39.8.

Hold, don't sell: Omar Cooper Jr. (points ahead of the work, but the workload is growing, so the role backs up more of it).

Every trade target

"Work is worth" is the points his targets and carries are usually worth at league-average rates; "Difference" is his actual points a game minus that.

AllTrade forTrade away

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
1	DK MetcalfWR · PIT	Buy	9.7	13.9	−4.1	1 (2.3)
2	Michael WilsonWR · ARI	Buy	13.4	17.1	−3.7	2 (6.3)
5	Drake LondonWR · ATL	Buy	13.5	13.0	+0.5	1
6	Chris OlaveWR · NO	Buy	17.7	17.9	−0.2	2
8	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA	Buy	25.8	19.2	+6.6	9
9	Rashee RiceWR · KC	Buy	11.0	9.2	+1.8	2
10	Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF	Sell	12.1	8.2	+3.9	3 (1.6)
11	Mike EvansWR · SF	Sell	14.8	11.2	+3.6	3 (2.1)
13	Jameson WilliamsWR · DET	Sell	13.2	10.0	+3.2	5 (2.7)
17	Tee HigginsWR · CIN	Sell	20.0	14.4	+5.5	6
18	Christian WatsonWR · GB	Sell	19.7	14.2	+5.5	7
19	Nico CollinsWR · HOU	Sell	15.3	11.4	+3.8	4

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
1	DK MetcalfWR · PIT	Buy	9.7	13.9	−4.1	1 (2.3)
2	Michael WilsonWR · ARI	Buy	13.4	17.1	−3.7	2 (6.3)
5	Drake LondonWR · ATL	Buy	13.5	13.0	+0.5	1
6	Chris OlaveWR · NO	Buy	17.7	17.9	−0.2	2
8	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA	Buy	25.8	19.2	+6.6	9
9	Rashee RiceWR · KC	Buy	11.0	9.2	+1.8	2

#	Player	Call	PPR / gamePPR / g	Work is worthExp. pts	DifferenceDiff	TDs (expected)TD (exp)
1	Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF	Sell	12.1	8.2	+3.9	3 (1.6)
2	Mike EvansWR · SF	Sell	14.8	11.2	+3.6	3 (2.1)
4	Jameson WilliamsWR · DET	Sell	13.2	10.0	+3.2	5 (2.7)
8	Tee HigginsWR · CIN	Sell	20.0	14.4	+5.5	6
9	Christian WatsonWR · GB	Sell	19.7	14.2	+5.5	7
10	Nico CollinsWR · HOU	Sell	15.3	11.4	+3.8	4

How players are picked

Expected points from usage = each target and carry valued at the league-wide PPR points per target / per carry at the position this season (e.g. WR 1.72 per target). Buy low: 3+ games, at least 10 expected points per game, actual points 3.0+ per game below expected, snaps not down 10+ points over the last 2 games, and startable (top 18 QB / 36 RB / 48 WR / 18 TE by points per game or this week's projection). Sell high: 3+ games, 12+ PPR per game, outside the top 5 at the position, actual points 3.0+ per game above expected. Also a buy: valued 40+ out of 100 in trade value last week, points down 3+ over his last 3 games against his earlier games, and snaps not down 10+ points. Also a sell: a fill-in for a teammate who is not on injured reserve. A buy is priced one tier below his level, and every other sell needs the gap above. Players out or on injured reserve are left out.