Josh Downs Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Indianapolis ColtsNext game
Week 10 vs MIA · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR40WR39WR42 this weekWR62 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
vs MIA ·No injury report yet
Josh Downs is a deep-league flex at best this week. The projection: 6 targets, 4 receptions and 40 receiving yards. Big difference between games lately: 4, 12 and 5 points. There is no shift to report: Downs had 6 touches last week, 5 before. Look at the opponent: Miami has allowed the 4th-fewest points to receivers this season. He's a flex option this week, not a lock.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
9.27.45.5
pts · WR40WR39WR42 this week
range 3.72.92.2–12.610.17.5 pts
Season average
8.36.54.7
pts per game · 9 games
Projected stats
Receptions
3.7
Receiving yards
39.9
Receiving TDs
0.3
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Points behind the work: about 8 PPR points a game against about 11 that his targets and carries are usually worth.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
75.158.642.1
WR42 · 9 games
Per game
8.36.54.7
WR62WR65WR70
Touchdowns
1
WR62 of 223
Targets
57
WR21 of 223
Receptions
33
WR24 of 223
Receiving yards
354
WR36 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Week 10 fantasy points range
There is a 50% chance he scores between 4 and 13 points.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Josh Downs has 57 targets (WR21) and 354 receiving yards in 9 games, averaging 8 PPR points per game (WR62). For Week 10 vs the Miami Dolphins, Downs projects for 9 PPR points (WR40), and about half the time between 3.7 and 12.6.
| 2026 so far | Downs | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 8.3 | 15.4 | −46% |
| Targets / game | 6.3 | 7.9 | −19% |
| Target share | 20% | 24% | −18% |
| Receiving yards / game | 39 | 71 | −44% |
| Yards / target | 6.2 | 9.3 | −33% |
| Catch rate | 58% | 66% | −12% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.11 | 0.50 | −78% |
| Snap share | 80% | 76% | +6% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Middle · 20th
31.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · MIA, HOU, NYG
Rest of season
Easy · 5th
33.3 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 8 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 8th
33.7 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | vs MIA | 25.6 | Tough · 29th |
| W11 | @ HOU | 38.5 | Easy · 2nd |
| W12 | vs NYG | 29.9 | Middle · 20th |
| W14 | @ PHI | 37.9 | Easy · 4th |
| W15 | @ TEN | 40.7 | Easy · 1st |
| W16 | vs CIN | 30.8 | Middle · 18th |
| W17 | @ CLE | 29.5 | Middle · 21st |
| W18 | vs JAX | 33.2 | Middle · 14th |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs BAL | L 23–41 | 5.74.73.7 | ——— | 4 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 14% | 89% | 37 | 0 |
| W2 | @ KC | L 30–33 | 14.210.77.2 | ——— | 9 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 30% | 83% | 72 | 0 |
| W3 | vs HOU | W 19–17 | 12.710.27.7 | ——— | 11 | 5 | 77 | 0 | 31% | 68% | 77 | 0 |
| W4 | @ WAS | W 30–13 | 4.63.11.6 | 10.28.26.2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 14% | 77% | 16 | 0 |
| W5 | @ PIT | L 22–34 | 7.76.24.7 | 11.69.27.0 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 14% | 85% | 47 | 0 |
| W6 | vs TEN | L 20–26 | 8.76.74.7 | 10.98.86.7 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 21% | 86% | 47 | 0 |
| W7 | @ MIN | L 10–16 | 3.82.81.8 | 10.99.26.9 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 19% | 85% | 18 | 0 |
| W8 | @ JAX | L 7–42 | 12.310.38.3 | 9.38.86.7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 17% | 75% | 23 | 1 |
| W9 | vs DAL | L 23–27 | 5.43.92.4 | 9.67.65.7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 19% | 77% | 24 | 0 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | IND | 17 | 157.1123.189.1WR43 | 9.27.25.2WR52 | 98 | 68 | 771 | 2 | 771 | 2 |
| 2024 | IND | 14 | 183.5147.5111.5WR35 | 13.110.58.0WR32 | 107 | 72 | 803 | 5 | 815 | 5 |
| 2025 | IND | 16 | 136.4107.478.4WR44 | 8.56.74.9WR57 | 88 | 58 | 566 | 4 | 564 | 4 |
| 2026 | IND | 9 | 75.158.642.1WR42 | 8.36.54.7WR62 | 57 | 33 | 354 | 1 | 361 | 1 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0038997
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report