Brian Thomas Jr. Week 10 fantasy outlook
‹ Jacksonville JaguarsNext game
Week 10 @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM
WR75WR72WR73 this weekWR99 on the season
Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET
Week 10 outlook
@ TEN ·No injury report yet
He doesn't start in most leagues. We project 2 targets, 2 receptions and 21 receiving yards.
Week 10 in numbers
Fantasy points
Projected
4.43.72.9
pts · WR75WR72WR73 this week
Season average
4.23.63.0
pts per game · 8 games
Projected stats
Receptions
1.5
Receiving yards
21.2
Receiving TDs
0.1
Matchup · defense
Trends to know
- Opportunities down: about 1 a game over the last two games, down from 3.
Show likely range
Likely low
———
Likely high
———
There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.
Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.
Fantasy points
33.728.723.7
WR93 · 8 games
Per game
4.23.63.0
WR99WR100WR103
Touchdowns
2
WR32 of 223
Targets
21
WR91 of 223
Receptions
10
WR97 of 223
Receiving yards
117
WR101 of 223
2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among WRs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.
Season so far
Overall 2026 regular season
Game by game
Last seasons Game WR1/WR2/WR3 Season avg Next game
WR1/WR2/WR3 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th and 36th WR this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.
Season summary
Brian Thomas Jr. has 21 targets (WR91) and 117 receiving yards in 8 games, averaging 4 PPR points per game (WR99). Usage is falling: 2 targets over the last two games, down from about 6 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Tennessee Titans, Jr. projects for 4 PPR points (WR75).
| 2026 so far | Jr. | Avg starter WRAvg WR | DifferenceDiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPR points / game | 4.2 | 15.4 | −73% |
| Targets / game | 2.6 | 7.9 | −67% |
| Target share | 10% | 24% | −61% |
| Receiving yards / game | 15 | 71 | −79% |
| Yards / target | 5.6 | 9.3 | −40% |
| Catch rate | 48% | 66% | −28% |
| Touchdowns / game | 0.25 | 0.50 | −50% |
| Snap share | 43% | 76% | −43% |
Average starter = the top 36 WRs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.
Schedule strength
Next 3 games
Easy · 1st
37.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · TEN, NYG, TEN
Rest of season
Easy · 2nd
34.1 PPR allowed to WRs / game · 9 games
Fantasy playoffs
Easy · 1st
36.0 PPR allowed to WRs / game · Weeks 15–17
| Week | Opponent | PPR allowed to WRs / game | Defense rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ TEN | 40.7 | Easy · 1st |
| W11 | @ NYG | 29.9 | Middle · 20th |
| W12 | vs TEN | 40.7 | Easy · 1st |
| W13 | @ CHI | 29.4 | Tough · 22nd |
| W14 | vs PIT | 28.9 | Tough · 24th |
| W15 | @ HOU | 38.5 | Easy · 2nd |
| W16 | @ DAL | 34.8 | Easy · 8th |
| W17 | vs WAS | 34.7 | Easy · 9th |
| W18 | @ IND | 29.3 | Tough · 23rd |
Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to WRs this season.
Role profile
Rank among WRs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).
Role trend
Snap share Target share
Game log · 2026
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Wk | Opp | Result | Pts | Proj | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Tgt % | Snap% | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CLE | W 34–10 | 7.05.54.0 | ——— | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 14% | 35% | 40 | 0 |
| W2 | @ DEN | L 13–20 | 7.05.54.0 | ——— | 8 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 29% | 54% | 40 | 0 |
| W3 | vs NE | W 35–6 | 1.81.30.8 | ——— | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | 37% | 8 | 0 |
| W4 | @ CIN | W 22–17 | 9.78.77.7 | 6.35.24.0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 9% | 62% | 17 | 1 |
| W5 | vs PHI | W 19–17 | 0.00.00.0 | 6.85.54.3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% | 51% | 0 | 0 |
| W6 | vs HOU | L 31–34 | 0.00.00.0 | 5.34.43.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5% | 21% | 0 | 0 |
| W8 | vs IND | W 42–7 | 8.27.77.2 | 3.83.22.5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 12% | 52% | 12 | 1 |
| W9 | @ BAL | W 33–10 | 0.00.00.0 | 5.24.33.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 34% | 0 | 0 |
Season by season
Swipe sideways for more columns
| Season | Team | G | Pts | Pts / g | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Total yds | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 284.0240.5197.0WR4 | 16.714.111.6WR12 | 133 | 87 | 1282 | 10 | 1330 | 10 |
| 2025 | JAX | 14 | 138.8114.890.8WR42 | 9.98.26.5WR47 | 91 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 728 | 3 |
| 2026 | JAX | 8 | 33.728.723.7WR93 | 4.23.63.0WR99 | 21 | 10 | 117 | 2 | 117 | 2 |
Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.
How these numbers are made
- Player ID
- 00-0039893
- Projection made
- Data snapshot
- Season stats
- nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
- Fantasy scoring
- Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.
More WR rankings · Usage report