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Trevor Lawrence Week 10 fantasy outlook

‹ Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 10 fantasy outlook

No injury report yet

Next game

Week 10 @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM

19.719.719.7ptsptspts
MUST START

QB5QB5QB5 this weekQB11 on the season

Last game

Week 9 @ BAL, W 33–10

13.6 pts13.6 pts13.6 pts · 16 of 26 passing, 242 yds, 1 TD, -1 rush yds

Updated Tuesday, Nov 10, 6:27 AM ET

Week 10 outlook

@ TEN ·

No injury report yet

Must start

Trevor Lawrence is a locked-in start this week. We're looking for 31 pass attempts, 259 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 1 interception and 19 rushing yards. A big part of the points for Lawrence came from touchdowns. He scored 27 points, then 19, then 14: each game worse than the last. The Tennessee defense has been easy on quarterbacks, with the 8th-most points allowed. He should be in your lineup this week.

Week 10 in numbers

Fantasy points

Projected

19.719.719.7

pts · QB5QB5QB5 this week

Season average

18.418.418.4

pts per game · 8 games

Projected stats

Passing yards

259.1

Passing TDs

1.9

Rushing yards

18.6

Matchup · defense

18.4pts allowed to QBsEasy · 8th most
Show likely range

There is a 50% chance he scores between these two numbers.

About a 1-in-3 chance of a big game (35% or more above the projection); about a 1-in-11 chance of a dud (half of it or less).

Ranks compare players at the position this week. Projections assume the player is active.

Fantasy points

147.2147.2147.2

QB10 · 8 games

Per game

18.418.418.4

QB11QB11QB11

Passing TDs

18

QB4 of 69

Passing yards

1932

QB15 of 69

Rushing yards

79

QB22 of 69

Interceptions

4

—

2026 regular season through Week 9. Ranks among QBs who have played; per-game ranks need 2+ games.

Season so far

Overall 2026 regular season

Game by game

14.5'24 avg19.9'25 avg26.1W16.2W219.8W313.1W421.7W527.3W619.4W813.6W919.7W10QB1QB2
14.5'24 avg19.9'25 avg26.1W16.2W219.8W313.1W421.7W527.3W619.4W813.6W919.7W10QB1QB2
14.5'24 avg19.9'25 avg26.1W16.2W219.8W313.1W421.7W527.3W619.4W813.6W919.7W10QB1QB2
204.5'24 avg235.7'25 avg245W1189W2182W3227W4331W5306W6210W8242W9259.1W10QB1QB2
17.2'24 avg20.1'25 avg18W117W219W318W424W524W610W816W921.7W10QB1QB2
1.1'24 avg1.7'25 avg4W10W23W31W42W54W63W81W91.9W10QB1QB2
0.7'24 avg0.7'25 avg0W11W21W30W41W51W60W80W90.8W10QB1QB2
11.9'24 avg21.1'25 avg3W16W225W30W425W511W610W8-1W918.6W10QB1QB2
88%W1100%W295%W3100%W4100%W5100%W681%W8100%W9QB1QB2

Last seasons Game QB1/QB2 Season avg Next game

QB1/QB2 lines: the per-game level of the 12th, 24th QB this season (12-team league). Last seasons = that season's per-game average.

Season summary

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1932 yards and 18 touchdowns in 8 games, averaging 18 fantasy points per game (QB11). Usage is falling: 40 pass attempts over the last two games, down from about 61 per two games before that. For Week 10 at the Tennessee Titans, Lawrence projects for 20 PPR points (QB5).

2026 so farLawrenceAvg starter QBAvg QBDifferenceDiff
PPR points / game18.420.4−10%
Pass yards / game242260−7%
Pass TD / game2.21.9+16%
Rush yards / game1017−41%
Snap share96%98%−2%

Average starter = the top 12 QBs by PPR points per game (2+ games). Difference: green = 10%+ better, red = 10%+ worse. Updated with every data refresh.

Schedule strength

Next 3 games

Easy · 2nd

18.5 PPR allowed to QBs / game · TEN, NYG, TEN

Rest of season

Easy · 2nd

17.7 PPR allowed to QBs / game · 9 games

Fantasy playoffs

Easy · 4th

18.6 PPR allowed to QBs / game · Weeks 15–17

WeekOpponentPPR allowed to QBs / gameDefense rank
W10@ TEN18.4Easy · 8th
W11@ NYG18.8Easy · 6th
W12vs TEN18.4Easy · 8th
W13@ CHI17.8Middle · 12th
W14vs PIT12.1Tough · 29th
W15@ HOU17.8Middle · 13th
W16@ DAL19.1Easy · 4th
W17vs WAS18.9Easy · 5th
W18@ IND18.2Easy · 9th

Rank of 32 by PPR points allowed to QBs this season.

Role profile

Pass yards / game241.5 · 15th of 54
Pass attempts / game28.0 · 28th of 46
Completion %65% · 19th of 46
Passing TDs18 · 4th of 46
Yards / attempt8.6 · 4th of 46
Interceptions4 · 21st of 46
Sacks taken13 · 21st of 46
Rush yards / game9.9 · 28th of 54
PPR points / game18.4 · 11th of 54

Rank among QBs with 2+ games this season (1st = best at the position; for interceptions and sacks, 1st = fewest); the bar shows where that sits in the field. Efficiency needs at least 10 targets or carries (quarterbacks: 30 pass attempts).

Role trend

0%50%100%100%W1W2W3W4W5W6W8W9

Snap share

Game log · 2026

Swipe sideways for more columns

WkOppResultPtsProjCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TDSnap%
W1vs CLEW 34–1026.126.126.1———18232454023088%
W2@ DENL 13–206.26.26.2———172918901260100%
W3vs NEW 35–619.819.819.8———192918231425095%
W4@ CINW 22–1713.113.113.117.017.017.0182322710300100%
W5vs PHIW 19–1721.721.721.716.716.716.72439331213250100%
W6vs HOUL 31–3427.327.327.316.616.616.62441306413110100%
W8vs INDW 42–719.419.419.419.917.917.9101421030310081%
W9@ BALW 33–1013.613.613.619.117.717.71626242101-10100%

Season by season

Swipe sideways for more columns

SeasonTeamGPtsPts / gCmpAttPass ydsPass TDINTRush attRush ydsRush TD
2021JAX17199.0199.0199.0QB2311.711.711.7QB3435960236411217343342
2022JAX17295.6295.6295.6QB717.417.417.4QB113875844113258312915
2023JAX16262.5262.5262.5QB1216.416.416.4QB1737056440162114183394
2024JAX10145.2145.2145.2QB2714.514.514.5QB231722842045117101193
2025JAX17338.2338.2338.2QB419.919.919.9QB534156040072912313599
2026JAX8147.2147.2147.2QB1018.418.418.4QB1114622419321848790

Regular season. The tag under each number is his rank at the position that season (PPR; per game: 4+ games). Green = top 12, blue = 13–24.

How these numbers are made
Player ID
00-0036971
Projection made
Data snapshot
Season stats
nflverse play-by-play and player stats (CC-BY 4.0)
Fantasy scoring
Standard rules: PPR, half PPR (0.5 per catch), standard. Scored points use the official stats, including 2-point conversions and return touchdowns. Projections leave those two out: they are rare and not modeled.

Methodology

More QB rankings · Usage report