Boom or bust · Week 10
Who has the ceiling, who has the risk
A boom is a game 35% or more above our projection; a bust is half of it or less. A typical player here booms about 1 week in 4; these picks are above that. Chances, not promises: a bust-risk star is usually still in your lineup. Published on Monday, before the week's injury reports; the page is rechecked after each report.
Boom picks: the best chance of a big game
Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX Boom — Bhayshul Tuten stands out for upside this week. Expect a high-scoring game, with about 28 points for Jacksonville. Tuten got about 35% of his recent points from touchdowns. A strong chance that this is a 19-plus point week for Tuten (about 40%). He's also a sell-high candidate because his points lean on touchdowns; that's a rest-of-season call, and this one is only about Week 10. Last week: scored 8.98.98.9, projected 14.86.05.4.
Stars with the biggest ceilings this week: Christian McCaffrey (a strong chance, about 40%, that he clears 30 points) He's also a sell-high candidate: that's a rest-of-season call, and this one is only about Week 10. and George Kittle (a strong chance, about 35%, that he clears 21 points).
Bust risks: starters most likely to disappoint
Josh Jacobs RB · GB Bust — Josh Jacobs plays Minnesota this week, a defense that has been hard to score on at his position. On the downside, an outside chance that Jacobs scores 6 or fewer fantasy points (about 25%). He comes in off games of 20, 23 and 0 points. Last week: scored 0.50.50.5, projected 17.315.213.4.