Boom or bust · Week 10
Who has the ceiling, who has the risk
A boom is a game 35% or more above our projection; a bust is half of it or less. A typical player here booms about 1 week in 4; these picks are above that. Chances, not promises: a bust-risk star is usually still in your lineup. Published on Monday, before the week's injury reports; the page is rechecked after each report.
Boom picks: the best chance of a big game
Tyler Shough QB · NO Boom — A big game is in the cards for Tyler Shough more often than for most players. The game should be high-scoring: New Orleans is expected to score about 24. Around 39% of the points Shough has put up lately were touchdowns. We see a strong chance that Shough clears 20 fantasy points (about 40%). Last week: scored 19.719.719.7, projected 14.214.114.1.
Dak Prescott QB · DAL Boom — Dak Prescott is one of this week's likeliest players to have a big game. Points should come in this one, with Dallas expected to score about 26. Take the touchdowns away and about 44% of the recent points for Prescott disappear. Our read on the ceiling: a strong chance that Prescott goes over 23 fantasy points (about 35%). Last week: scored 19.519.519.5, projected 16.915.715.7.
Stars with the biggest ceilings this week: Christian McCaffrey (a strong chance, about 40%, that he clears 30 points) He's also a sell-high candidate: that's a rest-of-season call, and this one is only about Week 10. and George Kittle (a strong chance, about 35%, that he clears 21 points).